| Literature DB >> 25251376 |
Iñigo Zuberogoitia1, Javier del Real2, Juan José Torres1, Luis Rodríguez2, María Alonso2, Jabi Zabala3.
Abstract
Ungulate vehicle collisions (UVC) provoke serious damage, including human casualties, and a large number of measures have been developed around the world to avoid collisions. We analyse the main factors involved in UVC in a road network built in the absence of ungulates, where mitigation structures to avoid UVC were not adequately considered. Ungulate population greatly increased during the last two decades and now Roe Deer and Wild Boars are widely distributed over the study area, but even after this increase, the road network was not adapted to avoid UVC. A total of 235 Roe Deer (RDVC) and 153 Wild Boar vehicle collisions (WBVC) were recorded between January 2008 and December 2011. We randomly selected 289 sample points (87 RDVC, 60 WBVC and 142 controls) separated by at least 500 metres from the next closest point and measured 19 variables that could potentially influence the vehicle collisions. We detected variations in the frequency of RDVC on a monthly basis, and WBVC was higher at weekends but no significant differences were detected on a monthly basis. UVC were more likely to occur at locations where sinuosity of the road, velocity, surface of shrub and deciduous forest area were greater, the presence of fences entered with positive relationship and distance to the nearest building was less. RDVC were more likely to occur at locations where timber forest area increased and distance to the nearest building decreased and WBVC was related to open fields cover and also to the presence of fences. Sinuosity and velocity entered in both cases as significant factors. Major roads, in which the traffic volume is greater and faster, caused more accidents with ungulates than secondary roads. Nowadays, the high frequency of ungulate road-kills deserves a new strategy in order to adapt infrastructure and adopt mitigation measures.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2014 PMID: 25251376 PMCID: PMC4174520 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0107713
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Figure 1Sampling point distribution.
Map showing the distribution of the sample points randomly selected for the Generalized Lineal Model (GLM) analysis: 87 Roe Deer vehicle collisions (RDVC, red dots), 60 Wild Boar vehicle collisions (WBVC, blue dots) and 142 non-accident control points (white dots) on the roads and highways in the study area, Bizkaia, Northern Iberian Peninsula, between 2008 and 2011.
Environmental parameters, measured within 500-m radius buffers, surrounding ungulate vehicle collision (UVC) and control sites in the model.
| Variables/codes | Description |
|
| |
| DECD | Deciduous forest surface area (m2) |
| HOAK | Holm Oak forest surface area (m2) |
| TIMB | Exotic timber plantation surface area (m2) |
| SHBR | Shrub cover surface area (m2) |
| OPEN | Open grass fields and agricultural surface area (m2) |
| FRAG | The number of vegetation patches |
| AFRAG | The average surface of vegetation patches (m2) |
| DRIV | Distance to the nearest river (m) |
| DFOR | Distance to the nearest forested patch (m) |
| DBFOR | Distance between two forested patches placed in each side of the road (m) |
| DBUIL | Distance to the nearest building (m) |
| DPOP | Distance to the nearest population nuclei (>5 buildings) (m) |
|
| |
| ALT | Altitude of the sampling point (m a.s.l.) |
| SIN | Road sinuosity. The relationship between the actual length of the road and the Euclidean distance between each end of the road in the 500 m radius buffer area. Larger values of sinuosity indicate more curves in the road. |
| SLOP | Slope. The number of 20 m contour lines which cross a circle of 100 m radius around the sampling point |
|
| |
| VEL | Average velocity of vehicles in each sampling point (km/h) |
| TRAF | Traffic volume. Number of vehicles per day |
| TRAFH | Traffic volume of heavy vehicles per day |
| FENCE | Presence of fence (categorical variable) |
Mean, standard deviation and range (brackets) of the environmental and road variables of 147 ungulate vehicle collisions (UVC) localities and 142 non-collision control sites.
| Variables | UVC (n = 147) | Control (n = 142 | U Mann-Whitney |
|
| 60003±70267 | 55130±73565 | 6534.5 |
| (631–356006) | (14–508430) | ||
|
| 12723±41636 | 10053±40308 | 10287 |
| (0–283668) | (0–349371) | ||
|
| 325580±195471 | 322478±230581 | 10205 |
| (0–752813) | (0–769761) | ||
|
| 50890±93760 | 27854±53512 | 9037 (*) |
| (0–544428) | (0–261814) | ||
|
| 329670±191652 | 358419±231107 | 9809 |
| (0–772543) | (0–772542) | ||
|
| 97210±50139 | 104420±58577 | 9524 |
| (32189–257514) | (32189–386271) | ||
|
| 188±224 | 237±310 | 9715.5 |
| (3–1509) | (5–2500) | ||
|
| 55±124 | 88±150 | 9976 |
| (3–1293) | (2–997) | ||
|
| 149±178 | 203±298 | 10291 |
| (3–1419) | (3–1731) | ||
|
| 178±147 | 200±154 | 9449.5 |
| (10–680) | (10–720) | ||
|
| 1.13±0.20 | 1.14±0.16 | 9025.5 (*) |
| (1–2.1) | (1–1.7) | ||
|
| 2.9±1.5 | 2.8±1.5 | 10221 |
| (0–7) | (0–6) | ||
|
| 73.9±19.0 | 61.0±24.6 | 6255 (**) |
| (30–120) | (20–120) | ||
|
| 11682±17665 | 9096±18955 | 7534.5 (**) |
| (191–119113) | (25–136190) |
Significance of the Mann-Whitney test is indicated with asterisks (* P<0.05, ** P<0.01).
Mean, standard deviation and range (between brackets) of the environmental and road variables of 87 Roe Deer vehicle collisions (RDVC) and 60 Wild Boar vehicle collisions (WBVC) localities.
| RDVC (n = 87) | WBVC (n = 60) | |||||||||
| Mean | SD | Range | U | Mean | SD | Range | U | |||
|
| 59289 | ± | 73911 | (631–356006) | 4052 | 61096 | ± | 65026 | (2076–325041) | 2482 |
|
| 10470 | ± | 38918 | (0–245449) | 6102 | 15990 | ± | 45428 | (0–283668) | 4035 |
|
| 347995 | ± | 195452 | (0–692298) | 5668 | 293078 | ± | 192490 | (0–752813) | 3983 |
|
| 45987 | ± | 85489 | (0–462583) | 5440 | 58000 | ± | 104948 | (0–544428) | 3597 |
|
| 314278 | ± | 179345 | (0–772543) | 5592 | 351989 | ± | 207731 | (2970–756319) | 4217 |
|
| 97088 | ± | 45137 | (32189–257514) | 5798 | 97388 | ± | 57019 | (34847–257514) | 3725 |
|
| 175 | ± | 189 | (3–949) | 5654 | 206 | ± | 267 | (5–1509) | 4061 |
|
| 58 | ± | 151 | (3–1293) | 5721 | 52 | ± | 71 | (3–330) | 4255 |
|
| 145 | ± | 143 | (3–718) | 6117 | 156 | ± | 221 | (3–1419) | 4174 |
|
| 191 | ± | 151 | (20–680) | 5946 | 160 | ± | 142 | (10–640) | 3504* |
|
| 1.1 | ± | 0.2 | (1–2.1) | 5611 | 1.1 | ± | 0.2 | (1–1.7) | 3414* |
|
| 2.9 | ± | 1.5 | (0–7) | 6128 | 3.0 | ± | 1.6 | (0–7) | 4093 |
|
| 70.0 | ± | 17.5 | (30–109) | 4191** | 79.6 | ± | 19.9 | (30–120) | 2064** |
|
| 10111 | ± | 16156 | (295–98780) | 4873** | 13960 | ± | 19566 | (191–119113) | 2622** |
Results of Mann-Whitney’s U test for the comparisons between RDVC and WBVC with control sites. Significance levels: * P<0.05, ** P<0.01.
Figure 2Mean velocities.
Mean values of velocity (km/h) for non-collision control sites, Roe Deer vehicle collisions (RDVC) and Wild Boar vehicle collisions (WBVC) of the resample (1000 times) after Monte Carlo simulations.
Figure 3Mean traffic volume.
Mean values of traffic volume (TRAF, vehicles/day) for non-collision control sites, Roe Deer vehicle collisions (RDVC) and Wild Boar vehicle collisions (WBVC) of the resample (1000 times) after Monte Carlo simulations.
Number of cases of control sites, ungulate vehicle collisions (UVC), Roe Deer vehicle collisions (RDVC) and Wild Boar vehicle collisions (WBVC) depending on the absence or presence of fences and the statistical value of the Chi square test.
| Fence | Control | UVC | RDVC | WBVC |
|
| 126 | 130 | 79 | 51 |
|
| 16 | 17 | 8 | 9 |
|
| 0.006 | 0.246 | 0.542 | |
|
| 0.936 | 0.620 | 0.462 |
Candidate road and landscape based models predicting ungulate vehicle collisions (UVC), Roe Deer vehicle collisions (RDVC) and Wild Boar vehicle collisions (WBVC) in the study area, Bizkaia, from 2008 to 2011.
| Ranking | Model | n | k | AIC | ΔAICc | AIC |
|
| ||||||
| 1 | SIN+VEL+SHRB+FENCE+DBUIL+DECD | 223 | 6 | 303.52 | 0 | 0.269 |
| 2 | SIN+VEL+SHRB+FENCE+DBUIL | 223 | 5 | 303.76 | 0.24 | 0.238 |
| 3 | SIN+VEL+SHRB+FENCE | 223 | 4 | 304.64 | 1.12 | 0.154 |
| 4 | SIN+VEL+SHRB+FENCE+DBUIL+DECD+TIMB | 223 | 7 | 304.47 | 0.95 | 0.167 |
| 5 | SIN+VEL+SHRB+FENCE+DBUIL+DECD+TIMB+HOAK | 223 | 8 | 306.39 | 2.87 | 0.064 |
| 6 | SIN+VEL+SHRB+FENCE+DBUIL+DECD+TIMB+HOAK+OPEN | 223 | 9 | 306.35 | 2.83 | 0.065 |
| 7 | SIN+VEL+SHRB+FENCE+DBUIL+DECD+TIMB+HOAK+OPEN+TRAF | 223 | 10 | 308.05 | 4.53 | 0.028 |
| 8 | All variables | 223 | 15 | 318.81 | 15.29 | 0.001 |
|
| ||||||
| 1 | TIMB+DBUIL | 223 | 2 | 297.16 | 0 | 0.285 |
| 2 | TIMB+DBUIL+SIN+VEL | 223 | 4 | 297.99 | 0.8 | 0.189 |
| 3 | TIMB+DBUIL+SIN | 223 | 3 | 297.69 | 0.5 | 0.220 |
| 4 | TIMB+DBUIL+SIN+VEL+DECD | 223 | 5 | 298.99 | 1.8 | 0.115 |
| 5 | TIMB+DBUIL+SIN+VEL+DECD +SHBR | 223 | 6 | 299.99 | 2.8 | 0.070 |
| 6 | TIMB+DBUIL+SIN+VEL+DECD +SHBR+SLOP | 223 | 7 | 300.47 | 3.28 | 0.055 |
| 7 | TIMB+DBUIL+SIN+VEL+DECD +SHBR+SLOP+FENCE | 223 | 8 | 301.19 | 4.00 | 0.038 |
| 8 | TIMB+DBUIL+SIN+VEL+DECD +SHBR+SLOP+FENCE+DRIV | 223 | 9 | 302.74 | 5.55 | 0.018 |
| 9 | All variables | 223 | 15 | 315.01 | 17.82 | 0.000 |
|
| ||||||
| 1 | VEL+FENCE | 223 | 2 | 224.35 | 0 | 0.271 |
| 2 | VEL+FENCE+SLOP | 223 | 3 | 225.09 | 0.74 | 0.186 |
| 3 | VEL+FENCE+SLOP+OPEN | 223 | 4 | 225.40 | 1.05 | 0.159 |
| 4 | VEL+FENCE+SLOP+OPEN+SHRB | 223 | 5 | 225.49 | 1.14 | 0.153 |
| 5 | VEL+FENCE+SLOP+OPEN+SHRB+DECD | 223 | 6 | 226.78 | 2.43 | 0.080 |
| 6 | VEL+FENCE+SLOP+OPEN+SHRB+DECD+HOAK+TIMBER | 223 | 8 | 227.12 | 2.77 | 0.068 |
| 7 | VEL+FENCE+SLOP+OPEN+SHRB+DECD+HOAK | 223 | 7 | 228.10 | 3.75 | 0.041 |
| 8 | VEL+FENCE+SLOP+OPEN+SHRB+DECD+HOAK+ALT | 223 | 9 | 229.01 | 4.66 | 0.026 |
| 9 | All variables | 223 | 15 | 242.10 | 17.75 | 0.000 |
Models estimated and ranked by Akaike Information Criteria (AICc). K is the number of estimable parameters, ΔAICc shows the difference between the top model and each candidate model, and AIC w is the relative weighting of that model.
Coefficients of the three most parsimonious GLM models describing the influence of environmental and road traffic factors on the probability of ungulate vehicle collisions (UVC), Roe Deer vehicle collisions (RDVC) and Wild Boar vehicle collisions (WBVC) on the roads of the study area between 2008–2011.
| β Coefficient |
|
|
| |
|
| ||||
| Constant | 7.608 | 1.6941 | 20.170 | 0.000 |
| FENCE | 1.971 | 0.5988 | 10.833 | 0.001 |
| SIN | 2.074 | 0.8602 | 5.813 | 0.016 |
| VEL | 0.051 | 0.0097 | 27.449 | 0.000 |
| DECD | 3.25E-6 | 2.122E-6 | 2.348 | 0.125 |
| SHBR | 5.001E-6 | 2.312E-6 | 4.678 | 0.031 |
| DBUIL | -0.001 | 0.0007 | 2.839 | 0.092 |
|
| ||||
| Constant | 1.061 | 0.2766 | 14.719 | 0.000 |
| TIMB | 1.696E-6 | 7.951E-7 | 4.355 | 0.037 |
| DBUIL | −0.002 | 0.0008 | 3.811 | 0.051 |
|
| ||||
| Constant | 5.949 | 1.2227 | 23.673 | 0.000 |
| FENCE | 1.513 | 0.6452 | 5.495 | 0.001 |
| VEL | 0.046 | 0.0102 | 19.968 | 0.000 |
Figure 4Poor fencing detected in the highways of the study area.
Examples include: openings in fences (a), stretches inadequately buried into the ground (b) and damaged stretches in which agile ungulates may jump over the fence (c).