| Literature DB >> 24921627 |
Virak Khieu1, Fabian Schär2, Armelle Forrer2, Jan Hattendorf2, Hanspeter Marti3, Socheat Duong4, Penelope Vounatsou2, Sinuon Muth4, Peter Odermatt2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The threadworm, Strongyloides stercoralis, endemic in tropical and temperate climates, is a neglected tropical disease. Its diagnosis requires specific methods, and accurate information on its geographic distribution and global burden are lacking. We predicted prevalence, using Bayesian geostatistical modeling, and determined risk factors in northern Cambodia.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2014 PMID: 24921627 PMCID: PMC4055527 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002854
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis ISSN: 1935-2727
Figure 1Map of the study villages in Preah Vihear province, Cambodia, 2010.
Koga agar plate (KAP) culture and Baermann method for the detection of S. stercoralis in 2,396 participants, Preah Vihear province, Cambodia, 2010.
| Combined Methods (KAP culture and Baermann) | Total | |||
| Positive | Negative | |||
|
| 877 | 0 | 877 | |
|
|
| 194 | 1,325 | 1,519 |
|
| 1,071 | 1,325 | 2,396 | |
|
| 823 | 0 | 823 | |
|
|
| 248 | 1,325 | 1,573 |
|
| 1,071 | 1,325 | 2,396 | |
Figure 2Smoothed age prevalence of S. stercoralis infection by sex among 2,396 participants in Preah Vihear province, Cambodia, 2010.
Risk factors for S. stercoralis infection in the multivariate GEE among 2,396 participants, Preah Vihear province, Cambodia, 2010.
|
|
| mOR (95% CI) | p-Value | |
| (N = 1325) | (N = 1071) | |||
| n (%) | n (%) | |||
|
| 507 (38.37) | 534 (49.9) | 1.7 (1.4–2.0) | <0.001 |
|
| ||||
| 1–5 years | 129 (9.7) | 59 (5.5) | Reference | |
| 6–15 years | 453 (34.2) | 366 (34.2) | 2.3 (1.4–3.6) | <0.001 |
| 16–30 years | 352 (26.6) | 287 (26.8) | 1.8 (1.2–3.0) | 0.01 |
| 31–45 years | 220 (16.6) | 174 (16.2) | 1.7 (1.0–2.8) | 0.04 |
| >45 years | 171 (12.9) | 185 (17.3) | 2.2 (1.4–3.7) | 0.001 |
|
| ||||
| Farmer/Rice-Grower | 615 (46.4) | 547 (51.1) | Reference | |
| Schoolchildren | 451 (34.0) | 339 (31.6) | 0.8 (0.6–1.2) | 0.275 |
| Others | 259 (19.6) | 185 (17.3) | 1.0 (0.7–1.3) | 0.859 |
| Has been treated for worms (yes) | 450 (33.9) | 279 (26.0) | 0.7 (0.6–0.8) | <0.001 |
| Knows about worms/infection with worms (yes) | 240 (18.1) | 234 (21.8) | 1.3 (1.1–1.7) | 0.017 |
| Usually defecates in toilet (yes) | 195 (14.7) | 81 (7.5) | 0.6 (0.4–0.8) | 0.001 |
| Has shoes (yes) | 1203 (90.8) | 999 (93.3) | 1.1 (0.8–1.6) | 0.657 |
| Night temperature (year mean) | - | - | 0.9 (0.8–1.1) | 0.359 |
| Rainfall (year mean) | - | - | 0.8 (0.7–0.9) | 0.004 |
| Soil organic carbon content (10–20 g/kg) | 773 (58.3) | 485 (45.3) | 0.6 (0.5–0.9) | 0.003 |
|
| ||||
| Savanna and shrubland | 441 (33.3) | 283 (26.4) | Reference | |
| Forest | 155 (11.7) | 130 (12.1) | 1.3 (0.8–2.1) | 0.233 |
| Grassland | 114 (8.6) | 70 (6.6) | 1.4 (0.8–2.4) | 0.315 |
| Cropland and crop-natural vegetation mosaic | 615 (46.4) | 588 (54.9) | 1.7 (1.2–2.4) | 0.004 |
mOR: Multiple Odds Ratio; 95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval.
Model parameters in absence or presence of covariates for the spatial models and their non-spatial counterparts.
| No covariates | Environmental covariates | |||||||
| Model parameters | non spatial | spatial | non spatial | spatial | ||||
| Median | 95% CI | Median | 95% CI | Median | 95% CI | Median | 95% CI | |
| DIC | 3136.4 | 3135.6 | 3130.6 | 3130.8 | ||||
| Σ | 0.4 | (0.2–0.7) | 0.4 | (0.2–0.7) | 0.2 | (0.1–0.4) | 0.2 | (0.1–0.4) |
| Ρ | n.a. | n.a. | 317.8 | (23.6–1558.0) | n.a. | n.a. | 812.5 | (98.8–1594.0) |
| Range (km) | n.a. | n.a. | 1.1 | (0.2–14.0) | n.a. | n.a. | 0.4 | (0.2–3.2) |
CI, credible interval; DIC, deviance information criterion (a measure of model fit; a lower DIC indicates a better fit).
σ is the location-specific unexplained variance.
ρ is the decay parameter. The range (range = 3/ρ) is the distance at which the spatial correlation becomes less than 5%.
Figure 3Predicted S. stercoralis median prevalence (a), error coefficient (b); lower (c), and higher (d) estimates of S. stercoralis predicted prevalence in Preah Vihear province, Cambodia.
Legend: The error coefficient is the ratio of the predicted median over its standard deviation; a higher value indicates a higher precision. The lower and upper estimates correspond to the 2.5% and 97.5% borders of the Bayesian credible interval, respectively.