| Literature DB >> 24788751 |
Marianne van der Mark1, Peter C G Nijssen2, Jelle Vlaanderen1, Anke Huss1, Wim M Mulleners3, Antonetta M G Sas4, Teus van Laar5, Hans Kromhout1, Roel Vermeulen6.
Abstract
The aim of this study was to investigate the possible reduced risk of Parkinson Disease (PD) due to coffee, alcohol, and/or cigarette consumption. In addition, we explored the potential effect modification by intensity, duration and time-since-cessation of smoking on the association between cumulative pack-years of cigarette smoking (total smoking) and PD risk. Data of a hospital based case-control study was used including 444 PD patients, diagnosed between 2006 and 2011, and 876 matched controls from 5 hospitals in the Netherlands. A novel modeling method was applied to derive unbiased estimates of the potential modifying effects of smoking intensity, duration, and time-since-cessation by conditioning on total exposure. We observed no reduced risk of PD by alcohol consumption and only a weak inverse association between coffee consumption and PD risk. However, a strong inverse association of total smoking with PD risk was observed (OR=0.27 (95%CI: 0.18-0.42) for never smokers versus highest quartile of tobacco use). The observed protective effect of total smoking was significantly modified by time-since-cessation with a diminishing protective effect after cessation of smoking. No effect modification by intensity or duration of smoking was observed indicating that both intensity and duration have an equal contribution to the reduced PD risk. Understanding the dynamics of the protective effect of smoking on PD risk aids in understanding PD etiology and may contribute to strategies for prevention and treatment.Entities:
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Year: 2014 PMID: 24788751 PMCID: PMC4005732 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0095297
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
General Characteristics of Parkinson Disease Cases and Hospital Controls.
| Cases | Controls | |
| (n = 444) | (n = 876) | |
| Men, No (%) | 281 (63.3) | 557 (63.6) |
| Age at interview, median (range) | 68 (34–91) | 68 (34–90) |
| Age at diagnosis, median (range) | 67 (34–90) | - |
| Higher education | 268 (60.5) | 477 (54.5) |
| Ever smoking cigarettes, No. (%) | 237 (53.4) | 633 (72.3) |
| Ever regular coffee consumption | 427 (96.2) | 855 (97.7) |
| Ever regular alcohol consumption, No. (%) | 340 (76.6) | 679 (77.5) |
Information on education was missing for one case.
Information on coffee consumption was missing for one control.
Parkinson Disease and Cigarette Smoking: Conditional Logistic Regression Analysis on Data of Patients and Hospital Controls.
| Cases | Controls | Crude | Adjusted | |
| No. (%) | No. (%) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | |
| Total smoking (pack-years) | ||||
| Never smokers | 207 (46.6) | 243 (27.7) | 1 | 1 |
| >0–7.8 | 86 (19.4) | 161 (18.4) | 0.58 (0.42–0.82) | 0.58 (0.42–0.82) |
| >7.8–17.5 | 67 (15.1) | 155 (17.7) | 0.45 (0.32–0.65) | 0.46 (0.32–0.66) |
| >17.5–29.4 | 45 (10.1) | 160 (18.3) | 0.28 (0.18–0.42) | 0.28 (0.18–0.42) |
| >29.4–103 | 39 (8.8) | 157 (17.9) | 0.26 (0.17–0.40) | 0.27 (0.18–0.42) |
|
| <0.0001/0.0004 | <0.0001/0.0006 | ||
| Smoking intensity (cigarettes/day) | ||||
| Never smokers | 207 (46.6) | 243 (27.7) | 1 | 1 |
| >0–7.0 | 77 (17.3) | 158 (18.0) | 0.53 (0.37–0.75) | 0.53 (0.38–0.76) |
| >7.0–12.7 | 54 (12.2) | 159 (18.2) | 0.37 (0.25–0.53) | 0.37 (0.25–0.54) |
| >12.7–19.2 | 50 (11.3) | 158 (18.0) | 0.33 (0.23–0.49) | 0.34 (0.23–0.51) |
| >19.2–60.0 | 56 (12.6) | 158 (18.0) | 0.38 (0.26–0.54) | 0.39 (0.27–0.57) |
|
| <0.0001/0.16 | <0.0001/0.20 | ||
| Smoking duration (years) | ||||
| Never smokers | 207 (46.6) | 243 (27.7) | 1 | 1 |
| >0–18 | 98 (22.1) | 165 (18.8) | 0.66 (0.48–0.91) | 0.66 (0.48–0.91) |
| >18–28 | 56 (12.6) | 152 (17.4) | 0.37 (0.25–0.54) | 0.36 (0.24–0.53) |
| >28–41 | 48 (10.8) | 166 (18.9) | 0.29 (0.19–0.43) | 0.29 (0.20–0.44) |
| >41–66 | 35 (7.9) | 150 (17.1) | 0.24 (0.15–0.37) | 0.25 (0.16–0.39) |
|
| <0.0001/<0.0001 | <0.0001/<0.0001 | ||
| Time-since-cessation (years) | ||||
| Never smokers | 207 (46.6) | 243 (27.7) | 1 | 1 |
| >31–53 | 93 (20.9) | 158 (18.0) | 0.67 (0.47–0.95) | 0.65 (0.46–0.93) |
| >19–31 | 68 (15.3) | 147 (16.8) | 0.52 (0.36–0.76) | 0.53 (0.36–0.77) |
| >0–19 | 54 (12.2) | 166 (18.9) | 0.35 (0.24–0.51) | 0.36 (0.25–0.52) |
| 0 | 22 (5.0) | 162 (18.5) | 0.15 (0.09–0.24) | 0.15 (0.09–0.25) |
|
| n.a./<0.0001 | n.a./<0.0001 |
Abbreviations: OR = odds ratio, CI = confidence interval.
The adjusted model includes coffee consumption (in quartiles).
The first P value for trend was based on analyses with the exposure as a continuous variable including the persons from the reference category. The second p value for trend was based on analysis whereby the persons from the reference category are excluded.
Parkinson Disease and Coffee and Alcohol Consumption: Conditional Logistic Regression Analysis on Data of Patients and Hospital Controls.
| Cases | Controls | Crude | Adjusted | |
| No. (%) | No. (%) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | |
| Coffee consumption (Consumption-years) | ||||
| 0–97 | 128 (28.8) | 220 (25.1) | 1 | 1 |
| >97–156 | 146 (32.9) | 221 (25.3) | 1.13 (0.84–1.53) | 1.30 (0.95–1.77) |
| >156–214 | 90 (20.3) | 216 (24.7) | 0.70 (0.50–0.97) | 0.79 (0.56–1.12) |
| >214–720 | 80 (18.0) | 218 (24.9) | 0.61 (0.43–0.87) | 0.83 (0.57–1.21) |
|
| 0.0016/0.0060 | 0.33/0.28 | ||
| Coffee intensity (consumptions/day) | ||||
| 0–2.1 | 129 (29.1) | 223 (25.5) | 1 | 1 |
| >2.1–3.4 | 134 (30.2) | 215 (24.6) | 1.07 (0.79–1.45) | 1.16 (0.85–1.59) |
| >3.4–4.7 | 103 (23.2) | 218 (24.9) | 0.79 (0.57–1.10) | 0.92 (0.65–1.30) |
| >4.7–17.1 | 78 (17.6) | 219 (25.0) | 0.60 (0.42–0.85) | 0.80 (0.55–1.16) |
|
| 0.0002/0.0020 | 0.10/0.12 | ||
| Alcohol consumption (consumption-years) | ||||
| Never drinkers | 104 (23.4) | 197 (22.5) | 1 | 1 |
| >0–21 | 93 (20.9) | 170 (19.4) | 1.05 (0.74–1.49) | 1.10 (0.75–1.60) |
| >21–48 | 99 (22.3) | 172 (19.6) | 1.10 (0.77–1.56) | 1.44 (0.99–2.11) |
| >48– | 80 (18.0) | 169 (19.3) | 0.87 (0.60–1.27) | 1.27 (0.84–1.91) |
| >87–457 | 68 (15.3) | 168 (19.2) | 0.75 (0.50–1.11) | 1.28 (0.82–1.98) |
|
| 0.14/0.18 | 0.38/0.73 | ||
| Alcohol intensity (Consumptions/day) | ||||
| Never drinkers | 104 (23.4) | 197 (22.5) | 1 | 1 |
| >0–0.6 | 98 (22.1) | 169 (19.3) | 1.09 (0.77–1.55) | 1.23 (0.85–1.78) |
| >0.6–1.2 | 96 (21.6) | 169 (19.3) | 1.08 (0.76–1.55) | 1.37 (0.94–2.01) |
| >1.2–2 | 80 (18.0) | 172 (19.6) | 0.87 (0.60–1.26) | 1.21 (0.80–1.81) |
| >2–17.1 | 66 (14.9) | 169 (19.3) | 0.72 (0.48–1.06) | 1.13 (0.74–1.74) |
|
| 0.021/0.042 | 0.92/0.70 | ||
| Regular binge drinking (>4 drinks/occasion) | ||||
| At age 20 ( | 130 (29.3) | 240 (27.4) | 1.14 (0.86–1.52) | 1.45 (1.07–1.96) |
| At age 40 ( | 118 (26.9) | 258 (29.8) | 0.85 (0.64–1.13) | 1.11 (0.82–1.49) |
| At age 60 ( | 53 (18.2) | 122 (20.4) | 0.84 (0.59–1.22) | 1.03 (0.70–1.51) |
Abbreviations: OR = odds ratio, CI = confidence interval.
Coffee consumption information was missing for one control, and was thus excluded in analyses including coffee consumption.
The adjusted model includes smoking and/or coffee consumption (in quartiles).
The first P value for trend was based on analyses with the exposure as a continuous variable including the persons from the reference category. The second P value for trend was based on analysis whereby the persons from the reference category are excluded.
Figure 1The modifying effects of time-since-cessation on the relation between smoking and PD.
The fitted excess OR model with a spline function for total smoking and effect modification by time-since-cessation. 95% confidence intervals were estimated via 100 bootstrap replications. A: The OR for different levels of total pack-years, plotted for 21 years-since-cessation. B: The OR for different levels of time-since-cessation, plotted for 15 pack-years of total smoking.
Figure 2Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for time-since-cessation within categories of total pack-years of smoking.
A–E: Ever smokers were divided according to quintiles of total-smoking and the effect of time-since-cessation within those groups was plotted. ORs were located at the quintile-specific average time-since-cessation and based on unconditional logistic regression relative to never-smokers adjusted for age, sex and center. The lines represent the predicted ORs and 95% confidence intervals for different levels of time-since-cessation based on the excess OR model plotted for the quintile-specific average pack-years of total smoking.