| Literature DB >> 24577561 |
Riccardo E Marioni1, Cecile Proust-Lima, Helene Amieva, Carol Brayne, Fiona E Matthews, Jean-Francois Dartigues, Helene Jacqmin-Gadda.
Abstract
Cognitive lifestyle measures such as education, occupation, and social engagement are commonly associated with late-life cognitive ability although their associations with cognitive decline tend to be mixed. However, longitudinal analyses of cognition rarely account for death and dropout, measurement error of the cognitive phenotype, and differing trajectories for different population sub-groups. This paper applies a joint latent class mixed model (and a multi-state model in a sensitivity analysis) that accounts for these issues to a large (n = 3,653), population-based cohort, Paquid, to model the relationship between cognitive lifestyle and cognitive decline. Cognition was assessed over a 20-year period using the Mini-Mental State Examination. Three cognitive lifestyle variables were assessed: education, mid-life occupation, and late-life social engagement. The analysis identified four latent sub-populations with class-specific longitudinal cognitive decline and mortality risk. Irrespective of the cognitive trajectory, increased social engagement was associated with a decreased mortality risk. High education was associated with the most favourable cognitive trajectory, and after adjusting for cognitive decline, with an increased mortality risk. Mid-life occupational complexity was also associated with more favourable trajectories but not with mortality risk. To realistically examine the link between cognitive lifestyle and cognitive decline, complex statistical models are required. This paper applies and compares in a sensitivity analysis two such models, and shows education to be linked to a compression of cognitive morbidity irrespective of cognitive trajectory. Furthermore, a potentially modifiable variable, late-life social engagement is associated with a decreased mortality risk in all of the population sub-groups.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2014 PMID: 24577561 PMCID: PMC4003346 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-014-9881-8
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Eur J Epidemiol ISSN: 0393-2990 Impact factor: 8.082
Fig. 1Pictorial representation of the joint latent class mixed model
Fig. 2Pictorial representation of the multi-state model. There are six transition specific hazards, qrs(t), where r and s are contained within the state set (1 no impairment, 2 slight impairment, 3 moderate/severe impairment, 4 death) and t represents time. The three cognitive lifestyle covariates plus sex and the time-dependent variable age are linked to each hazard via log-linear regression
Description of the Paquid cohort
| Total (n = 3,653) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Age (mean, s.d.) | 75.3 | 6.8 |
| Sex (n, %) | ||
| Male | 1,539 | 42.1 |
| Education (n, %) | ||
| Low | 1,283 | 35.1 |
| Medium | 1,992 | 54.5 |
| High | 378 | 10.3 |
| Mid-life occupation (n, %) | ||
| Non-intellectual | 1,889 | 51.7 |
| Intellectual | 1,764 | 48.3 |
| Late-life social engagement (n, %) | ||
| Low | 568 | 15.5 |
| Medium | 1,964 | 53.8 |
| High | 1,121 | 30.7 |
| MMSE group (n, %) | ||
| No impairment (27–30) | 1,908 | 52.2 |
| Slight impairment (23–26) | 1,039 | 28.4 |
| Moderate/Severe impairment (0–22) | 706 | 19.3 |
Fig. 3a Predicted MMSE evolution over time (age in years) for the four latent classes, b predicted survival curves by latent class (for a man with low education, a non-intellectual occupation, and low social engagement)
Joint latent class mixed model output for the association between cognitive lifestyle and cognitive decline and mortality
| Latent class | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immediate decliners (1) | Slow decliners (2) | Low baseline cognition (3) | High baseline cognition (4) | |||||
| Number assigned to each class | 133 | 413 | 1,236 | 1,871 | ||||
| Class membership probability—OR (95 % CI) | ||||||||
| Sex (female vs. male) |
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| 1.1 | 0.8, 1.6 | Ref | |
| Education (medium vs. low) |
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| – | |
| Education (high vs. low) |
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| 0.0 | 0, ∞ | – | |
| Occupation (intellectual vs. non-intellectual) |
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| 1.0 | 1.0, 1.0 |
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| – | |
| Social engagement (medium vs. low) |
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| – | |
| Social engagement (high vs. low) |
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| – | |
| Risk of death—HR (95 % CI) | ||||||||
| Class-specific intercept |
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| Ref | |
| Sex (female vs. male) |
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| Education (medium|high vs. low) | 1.4 | 0.9, 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.6, 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.0, 1.5 |
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| Occupation (non-intellectual vs. intellectual) | 0.8 | 0.5, 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.8, 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.7, 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.8, 1.1 |
| Social engagement (medium|high vs. low) | 1.1 | 0.7, 1.8 |
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Bold values indicate the estimates where p < 0.05
Hazard Ratios and 95 % CIs for education, mid-life occupation and late-life social engagement on late-life cognitive change
| Covariate transition | Education (med vs. low) | Education (high vs. low) | Occupation (int vs. non-int) | Social engagement (med vs. low) | Social engagement (high vs. low) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State 1—State 2 |
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| 0.9 | 0.6, 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.6, 1.1 |
| State 1—Death | 0.9 | 0.6, 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.6, 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.8, 1.2 |
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| 0.4, 0.8 |
| State 2—State 1 |
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| 1.0 | 0.4, 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.8, 5.3 |
| State 2—State 3 | 1.0 | 0.8, 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.7, 1.7 |
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| 1.1 | 0.8, 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.8, 1.4 |
| State 2—Death | 1.0 | 0.8, 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.5, 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.7, 1.2 |
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| 0.3, 0.7 |
| State 3—Death |
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| 1.1 | 0.9, 1.2 |
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| 0.6, 0.9 |
State 1 (no impairment): MMSE 27-30, State 2 (slight impairment): MMSE 23-26, State 3 (moderate to severe impairment): MMSE 0-22
Bold values indicate the estimates where p < 0.05