| Literature DB >> 24466236 |
Shina Lee1, Jung-Hwa Ryu1, Hyunwook Kim2, Kyoung Hoon Kim3, Hyeong Sik Ahn4, Hoo Jae Hann5, Yongjae Cho5, Young Mi Park5, Seung-Jung Kim1, Duk-Hee Kang1, Kyu Bok Choi1, Dong-Ryeol Ryu1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Although the proportion of the elderly patients with incident end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients has been increasing in Korea, there has been a lack of information on outcomes of dialysis treatment. This study aimed to assess the survival rate and to elucidate predictors for all-cause mortality among elderly Korean patients initiating dialysis.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2014 PMID: 24466236 PMCID: PMC3899356 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0086776
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Baseline characteristics.
| Age categories | 65∼69 (N = 4,491) | 70∼74 (N = 3,591) | 75∼79 (N = 2,102) | 80∼84 (N = 849) | 85∼ (N = 268) | Total (N = 11,301) |
| ||||||
| Vintage | 0.0000 | ||||||||||||
| 2005 | 1,101 | (24.5) | 755 | (21.0) | 440 | (20.9) | 176 | (20.7) | 45 | (16.8) | 2,517 | (22.3) | – |
| 2006 | 1,055 | (23.5) | 872 | (24.3) | 501 | (23.8) | 200 | (23.6) | 54 | (20.1) | 2,682 | (23.7) | – |
| 2007 | 1,115 | (24.8) | 953 | (26.5) | 519 | (24.7) | 209 | (24.6) | 74 | (27.6) | 2,870 | (25.4) | – |
| 2008 | 1,220 | (27.2) | 1,011 | (28.2) | 642 | (30.5) | 264 | (31.1) | 95 | (35.4) | 3,232 | (28.6) | – |
| Male | 2,559 | (57.0) | 1,977 | (55.1) | 1,043 | (49.6) | 419 | (49.4) | 140 | (52.2) | 6,138 | (54.3) | 0.0000 |
| Dialysis modality (ITT) | 0.0000 | ||||||||||||
| Peritoneal dialysis | 976 | (21.7) | 657 | (18.3) | 332 | (15.8) | 122 | (14.4) | 28 | (10.4) | 2,115 | (18.7) | – |
| Hemodialysis | 3,515 | (78.3) | 2,934 | (81.7) | 1,770 | (84.2) | 727 | (85.6) | 240 | (89.6) | 9,186 | (81.3) | – |
| Health security system | 0.0499 | ||||||||||||
| National HealthInsurance | 4,026 | (89.6) | 3,228 | (89.9) | 1,872 | (89.1) | 744 | (87.6) | 228 | (85.1) | 10,098 | (89.4) | – |
| Medical Aid | 465 | (10.4) | 363 | (10.1) | 230 | (10.9) | 105 | (12.4) | 40 | (14.9) | 1,203 | (10.6) | – |
| Comorbidities | |||||||||||||
| Diabetes mellitus | 2,769 | (61.7) | 2,021 | (56.3) | 1,031 | (49.0) | 353 | (41.6) | 90 | (33.6) | 6,264 | (55.4) | 0.0000 |
| Myocardial infarction | 230 | (5.1) | 220 | (6.1) | 135 | (6.4) | 44 | (5.2) | 14 | (5.2) | 643 | (5.7) | 0.1587 |
| Congestive heart failure | 775 | (17.3) | 672 | (18.7) | 463 | (22.0) | 183 | (21.6) | 65 | (24.3) | 2,158 | (19.1) | 0.0000 |
| Peripheral vasculardisease | 342 | (7.6) | 302 | (8.4) | 201 | (9.6) | 72 | (8.5) | 21 | (7.8) | 938) | (8.3 | 0.4549 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 816 | (18.2) | 674 | (18.8) | 414 | (19.7) | 166 | (19.6) | 57 | (21.3) | 2,127 | (18.8) | 0.4549 |
| Dementia | 79 | (1.8) | 102 | (2.8) | 100 | (4.8) | 50 | (5.9) | 20 | (7.5) | 351 | (3.1) | 0.0000 |
| Chronic pulmonarydisease | 877 | (19.5) | 810 | (22.6) | 545 | (25.9) | 209 | (24.6) | 70 | (26.1) | 2,511 | (22.2) | 0.0000 |
| Connective tissuedisease | 141 | (3.1) | 105 | (2.9) | 73 | (3.5) | 29 | (3.4) | 9 | (3.4) | 357 | (3.2) | 0.8180 |
| Peptic ulcer disease | 726 | (16.2) | 637 | (17.7) | 383 | (18.2) | 141 | (16.6) | 41 | (15.3) | 1,928 | (17.1) | 0.1699 |
| Hemiparesis | 92 | (2.0) | 77 | (2.1) | 42 | (2.0) | 14 | (1.6) | 4 | (1.5) | 229 | (2.0) | 0.8673 |
| Liver disease | 424 | (9.4) | 312 | (8.7) | 171 | (8.1) | 65 | (7.7) | 17 | (6.3) | 989 | (8.8) | 0.1405 |
| Any cancer | 341 | (7.6) | 309 | (8.6) | 195 | (9.3) | 73 | (8.6) | 18 | (6.7) | 936 | (8.3) | 0.1351 |
| Modified CCI | 0.2483 | ||||||||||||
| 0∼1 | 1,463 | (32.6) | 1,142 | (31.8) | 675 | (32.1) | 290 | (34.2) | 90 | (33.6) | 3,660 | (32.4) | – |
| 2∼3 | 1,589 | (35.4) | 1,246 | (34.7) | 722 | (34.3) | 310 | (36.5) | 104 | (38.8) | 3,971 | (35.1) | – |
| ≥4 | 1,439 | (32.0) | 1,203 | (33.5) | 705 | (33.5) | 249 | (29.3) | 74 | (27.6) | 3,670 | (32.5) | – |
Statistical differences according to age group were calculated in χ2 test.
ITT, intention-to-treat; CCI, Charlson comorbidity index.
Figure 1Kaplan-Meier survival curves and comparisons of survival rates by log-rank test.
(A) Mortality rates gradually increased with the increment of age categories (P = 0.0000). (B) Females showed better survival rate compared to males (P = 0.0004). (C) Survival rate was better for patients without diabetes than that with diabetics (P = 0.0000). (D) Patients covered by National Health Insurance experienced higher better survival rate compared to Medical Aid beneficiaries (P = 0.0000). (E) Patients on hemodialysis experienced significant survival benefit over patients on peritoneal dialysis in the intention-to-treat analysis (P = 0.0000). (F) As the modified Charlson comorbidity index for end-stage renal disease patients increased, survival rates significantly decreased (P = 0.0000).
Cumulative survival rate at each 1-year interval*.
| Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| All | 78.3 | 64.3 | 54.1 | 45.0 | 37.6 | 31.6 | 27.6 |
| Sex | |||||||
| Male | 77.8 | 63.1 | 52.5 | 43.6 | 36.3 | 30.0 | 26.2 |
| Female | 78.9 | 65.8 | 56.0 | 46.5 | 39.2 | 33.5 | 29.3 |
| Age groups | |||||||
| 65∼69 | 83.5 | 71.2 | 61.8 | 53.4 | 45.9 | 40.0 | 35.7 |
| 70∼74 | 78.6 | 64.3 | 53.5 | 44.5 | 37.5 | 30.9 | 26.4 |
| 75∼79 | 73.1 | 57.3 | 47.1 | 35.9 | 28.4 | 22.3 | 18.4 |
| 80∼84 | 70.1 | 54.7 | 42.2 | 33.1 | 24.1 | 18.4 | 15.1 |
| 85∼ | 54.1 | 35.1 | 26.1 | 17.9 | 13.7 | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| Dialysis modality (ITT) | |||||||
| Hemodialysis | 78.6 | 65.4 | 55.9 | 46.7 | 39.3 | 33.1 | 28.9 |
| Peritoneal dialysis | 76.9 | 59.7 | 46.5 | 37.5 | 30.5 | 25.2 | 22.1 |
| Dialysis modality (AT) | |||||||
| Hemodialysis | 78.9 | 65.7 | 56.3 | 47.1 | 39.6 | 33.5 | 29.1 |
| Peritoneal dialysis | 75.1 | 57.5 | 43.6 | 34.4 | 28.3 | 22.8 | 20.3 |
| Diabetes mellitus | |||||||
| No | 77.4 | 65.4 | 56.8 | 48.3 | 41.5 | 35.3 | 32.2 |
| Yes | 79.0 | 63.4 | 51.9 | 42.3 | 34.4 | 28.5 | 23.6 |
| Modified CCI | |||||||
| 0∼1 | 83.4 | 71.5 | 63.2 | 54.1 | 47.2 | 40.6 | 35.4 |
| 2∼3 | 78.5 | 64.5 | 53.7 | 43.9 | 36.2 | 31.0 | 27.7 |
| ≥4 | 73.0 | 56.9 | 45.5 | 36.9 | 29.5 | 22.8 | 19.0 |
All data are presented as percent (%).
ITT, intention-to-treat; AT, as-treated; CCI, Charlson comorbidity index.
Results of the Cox proportional hazards analysis for all-cause mortality.
| Univariate | Multivariate | |||||
| HR | 95% CI |
| HR | 95% CI |
| |
| Age (per 1-yr increase) | 1.05 | 1.04–1.05 | 0.0000 | 1.05 | 1.04–1.05 | 0.0000 |
| Female ( | 0.92 | 0.87–0.96 | 0.0004 | 0.91 | 0.87–0.96 | 0.0002 |
| Medical Aid ( | 1.27 | 1.18–1.37 | 0.0000 | 1.25 | 1.16–1.34 | 0.0000 |
| Hemodialysis ( | 0.81 | 0.76–0.85 | 0.0000 | 0.75 | 0.71–0.80 | 0.0000 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 1.17 | 1.11–1.22 | 0.0000 | 1.24 | 1.18–1.30 | 0.0000 |
| Myocardial Infarction | 1.39 | 1.26–1.53 | 0.0000 | 1.23 | 1.12–1.36 | 0.0000 |
| Congestive heart failure | 1.30 | 1.23–1.37 | 0.0000 | 1.21 | 1.14–1.28 | 0.0000 |
| Peripheral vascular disease | 1.19 | 1.09–1.29 | 0.0000 | 1.11 | 1.02–1.21 | 0.0142 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 1.42 | 1.34–1.51 | 0.0000 | 1.34 | 1.26–1.42 | 0.0000 |
| Dementia | 1.64 | 1.45–1.86 | 0.0000 | 1.30 | 1.15–1.48 | 0.0000 |
| Chronic pulmonary disease | 1.15 | 1.09–1.21 | 0.0000 | 1.09 | 1.03–1.16 | 0.0017 |
| Connective tissue disease | 1.08 | 0.95–1.23 | 0.2571 | – | – | – |
| Peptic ulcer disease | 0.97 | 0.91–1.04 | 0.4181 | – | – | – |
| Hemiparesis | 1.42 | 1.22–1.65 | 0.0000 | 1.20 | 1.03–1.41 | 0.0228 |
| Liver disease | 1.09 | 1.00–1.18 | 0.0401 | 1.09 | 1.00–1.18 | 0.0427 |
| Any malignancy | 1.47 | 1.35–1.59 | 0.0000 | 1.48 | 1.36–1.60 | 0.0000 |
All-cause mortality was adjusted for all parameters with <0.10 of P-value in the univariate analysis.
Mortality rates between patients on hemodialysis and those on peritoneal dialysis were compared in the intention-to-treat analysis.
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Figure 2Comparision of hazard ratios of all independent predictors for mortality in the multivariate Cox analysis according to the age categories.
Age, peripheral vascular disease, and hemiparesis were the factors by which mortality risk gradually increased with increasing age groups. However, the influences of Medical Aid, peritoneal dialysis, diabetes mellitus, congestive heart failure, liver disease, and any malignancy on the mortality sequentially decreased with aging. * Mortality rates between patients on hemodialysis and those on peritoneal dialysis were compared in the intention-to-treat analysis. HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.