BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: It was recently reported that there was no significant overall association between interferon beta exposure and disability progression in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients in an observational study from Canada. In the current study, the potential for heterogeneity in the association between exposure to interferon beta and disability progression across patients' baseline characteristics was investigated. METHODS: RRMS patients treated with interferon beta (n = 868) and two cohorts of untreated patients (829 contemporary and 959 historical controls) were included. The main outcome was time from interferon beta treatment eligibility (baseline) to a confirmed and sustained Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score 6 using a multivariable Cox model, with treatment as a time-varying predictor, testing interaction effects for five pre-specified baseline characteristics: sex, age, disease duration, EDSS and annualized relapse rate (ARR) based on the previous 2 years. RESULTS: Significant heterogeneity was found in the association of interferon beta exposure and disability progression only across ARR, and only when treated patients were compared with historical controls (P = 0.005 at a Bonferroni-adjusted alpha of 0.01). For patients with ARR>1, treatment-exposed time was associated with a hazard ratio of 0.38 (95%CI 0.20-0.75) for disability progression compared with the unexposed time. CONCLUSIONS: RRMS patients with more frequent relapses at baseline may be more likely to benefit from interferon beta treatment with respect to long-term disability progression.
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: It was recently reported that there was no significant overall association between interferon beta exposure and disability progression in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients in an observational study from Canada. In the current study, the potential for heterogeneity in the association between exposure to interferon beta and disability progression across patients' baseline characteristics was investigated. METHODS: RRMS patients treated with interferon beta (n = 868) and two cohorts of untreated patients (829 contemporary and 959 historical controls) were included. The main outcome was time from interferon beta treatment eligibility (baseline) to a confirmed and sustained Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score 6 using a multivariable Cox model, with treatment as a time-varying predictor, testing interaction effects for five pre-specified baseline characteristics: sex, age, disease duration, EDSS and annualized relapse rate (ARR) based on the previous 2 years. RESULTS: Significant heterogeneity was found in the association of interferon beta exposure and disability progression only across ARR, and only when treated patients were compared with historical controls (P = 0.005 at a Bonferroni-adjusted alpha of 0.01). For patients with ARR>1, treatment-exposed time was associated with a hazard ratio of 0.38 (95%CI 0.20-0.75) for disability progression compared with the unexposed time. CONCLUSIONS: RRMS patients with more frequent relapses at baseline may be more likely to benefit from interferon beta treatment with respect to long-term disability progression.
Authors: Mohammad Ehsanul Karim; John Petkau; Paul Gustafson; Robert W Platt; Helen Tremlett Journal: Stat Methods Med Res Date: 2016-09-21 Impact factor: 3.021
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Authors: T Zhang; A Shirani; Y Zhao; M E Karim; P Gustafson; J Petkau; C Evans; E Kingwell; M van der Kop; F Zhu; J Oger; H Tremlett Journal: Eur J Neurol Date: 2015-04-06 Impact factor: 6.089
Authors: Gavin Giovannoni; Per Soelberg Sorensen; Stuart Cook; Kottil W Rammohan; Peter Rieckmann; Giancarlo Comi; Fernando Dangond; Christine Hicking; Patrick Vermersch Journal: Mult Scler Date: 2018-05-02 Impact factor: 6.312