| Literature DB >> 24040428 |
Cristian Koepfli1, Kathryn L Colborn, Benson Kiniboro, Enmoore Lin, Terence P Speed, Peter M Siba, Ingrid Felger, Ivo Mueller.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: When both parasite species are co-endemic, Plasmodium vivax incidence peaks in younger children compared to P. falciparum. To identify differences in the number of blood stage infections of these species and its potential link to acquisition of immunity, we have estimated the molecular force of blood-stage infection of P. vivax ((mol)FOB, i.e. the number of genetically distinct blood-stage infections over time), and compared it to previously reported values for P. falciparum.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2013 PMID: 24040428 PMCID: PMC3764149 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002403
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis ISSN: 1935-2727
Figure 1Age and seasonal patterns of molecular force of blood-stage infection (molFOB, Panel A) and incidence of clinical P. vivax malaria (Panel B), and effects of ITN use on these parameters.
Smooth splines from generalized additive models with single predictors and 95% confidence intervals.
Parameter estimates from GLMMs predicting the molecular force of P. vivax blood-stage infections (molFOB) and the number of incident clinical episodes of P. vivax malaria with density >500 parasites/µl with and without adjustment for molFOB.
| FOB |
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| IRR | p-value | IRR | p-value | IRR | p-value | |
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| Age | 0.55 [0.46–0.67] | <0.0001 | 0.52 [0.44–0.62] | <.0001 | ||
| Sin(week) | 0.99 [0.93–1.05] | <0.0001 | 0.89 [0.77–1.03] | <0.0001 | 0.94 [0.81–1.09] | <0.01 |
| Cos(week) | 1.23 [1.18–1.29] | <0.0001 | 1.45 [1.25–1.67] | <0.0001 | 1.24 [1.07–1.44] | <0.01 |
| Average ITN use | 0.66 [0.56–0.77] | <0.0001 | ||||
| Treated | 1.24 [1.16–1.33] | <0.0001 | ||||
| Year 2007 | 0.84 [0.77–0.92] | 0.0002 | ||||
| FOB∧1/3 | 1.99 [1.8–2.19] | <0.0001 | ||||
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| Village | 0.007 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0001 | 0.35 | <0.0001 |
| Child | 0.2 | <0.0001 | 0.56 | <0.0001 | 0.28 | <0.0001 |
| Log likelihood | −669 | −551 | ||||
| AIC | 1349 | 1115 | ||||
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| Amplitude | 0.21 | 0.39 | 0.22 | |||
| Month of Peak | early January | early December | early December | |||
| Month of Trough | early July | early June | early June | |||
IRR: incidence rate ratio, CI95: 95% confidence interval.
insecticide treated net use: 0% vs 100% use.
Treated with antimalarials within 28days prior to start of interval.
Akaike Information Criterium.
joint p-value for sine and cosine.
Figure 2Seasonality of P. vivax clinical episodes (as compared to the first week of January, where incidence peaked) excluding molFOB (blue) and adjusted for molFOB (red).
molFOB accounts for approximately 50% of the seasonal variation in incidence. IRR = incidence rate ratio.
Figure 3Association of incidence of P. vivax episodes with age in children with low (molFOB: 0–10.7), medium (molFOB: 10.7–18.0) and high average exposure (molFOB: 18.1–39.0) to P. vivax infections.
Incidence rate ratio and 95% confidence intervals for changes associated with 1 year increase in age.