| Literature DB >> 23873507 |
Margaret Hellard1, Joseph S Doyle, Rachel Sacks-Davis, Alexander J Thompson, Emma McBryde.
Abstract
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Year: 2013 PMID: 23873507 PMCID: PMC4298812 DOI: 10.1002/hep.26623
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Hepatology ISSN: 0270-9139 Impact factor: 17.425
Figure 1Annual scaled-up treatment rate required to reduce prevalence by 1/4, 1/2, or 3/4 in Edinburgh, Melbourne, and Vancouver within 15 years (by 2027). Bars (and numbers) indicate the mean value, with whiskers representing the 95% credibility interval.
Assessing HCV Eradicability
| Criteria for Assessing Eradicability | Application of the Criteria to HCV | |
|---|---|---|
| Scientific Feasibility 4 | Facilitators | Challenges |
| Epidemiologic susceptibility (e.g., no nonhuman reservoir, ease of spread, naturally induced immunity, ease of diagnosis) | No nonhuman reservoir | Limited naturally induced immunity |
| Transmission limited to specific risk groups and preventable through behavior change. Simple diagnostic test | ||
| Effective, practical intervention available (e.g., vaccine, curative treatment) | Curative treatments with improving efficacy and tolerability | No current effective vaccine |
| Demonstrated feasibility of elimination (e.g., documented elimination from island or other geographic unit) | Mathematical modeling demonstrating a reduction in prevalence and incidence | No actual demonstrated feasibility of elimination |
| Political will and popular support 4 | ||
| Perceived burden of the disease (e.g., extent, deaths, other effects; relevance to rich and poor countries) | Globally it is recognized that HCV morbidity and mortality are increasing as are the associated costs of managing chronic infection | There is significant stigma against people who inject drugs, the group most affected by HCV |
| Growing political will to address HCV burden in developed countries (e.g., birth-cohort screening programs in USA) | ||
| Expected cost of eradication | Modeling suggesting reducing HCV prevalence and incidence through treatment is cost effective | Modeling suggesting reducing HCV prevalence and incidence through treatment is expensive |
| Synergy of eradication efforts with other interventions (e.g., potential for added benefits or savings) | Strategies are available to reduce the cost of eradication e.g. using a contact tracing (network) approach for HCV treatment | |
| Harm reduction strategies are inexpensive and contribute to reductions in HCV burden – needle and syringe programs, OST | ||
| Need for eradication rather than control | Despite the short-term expense of eradication it would lead to long-term savings. If eradicated the costs associated with HCV screening, vaccination, treatment, and management of disease progression would be reduced | |