| Literature DB >> 23435797 |
Bénédicte Gaillard Leroux1, Sylvie N'guyen The Tich, Bernard Branger, Géraldine Gascoin, Valérie Rouger, Isabelle Berlie, Yannis Montcho, Pierre-Yves Ancel, Jean-Christophe Rozé, Cyril Flamant.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To develop a predictive risk stratification model for the identification of preterm infants at risk of 2-year suboptimal neuromotor status.Entities:
Year: 2013 PMID: 23435797 PMCID: PMC3586154 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2012-002431
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMJ Open ISSN: 2044-6055 Impact factor: 2.692
Figure 1Cohort profile.
Figure 2Five of the 13 items from the Amiel-Tison neurological assessment tool at term were significantly associated with suboptimal neuromotor developmental status at 2 years. (A) Active tone in flexor and extensor muscles of the neck: pull to site manoeuvre from left to right and back-to-lying response from back to left. Both responses are comparable at term; (B) passive tone in the body axis: ventral incurvation (B1) typically exceeds dorsal incurvation (B2); (C) non-nutritive sucking: sucking movements occur by burst. The resulting negative pressure is perceived; (D) visual fixing and tracking: semireclined position on a flat hand; when visual fixation of the target is obtained, tracking is tested on both sides; (E) active tone in the body axis: when placed in the standing position, a strong contraction of the antigravity muscles is observed; the infant is able to support his/her body weight for a few seconds without hyperextension.
Comparison between infants examined and not examined at 2 years of corrected age
| Examined at 2 years | Not examined at 2 years | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| n=3321 (%) | n=675 (%) | p Value | ||
| Gestational age (weeks) | ||||
| 22–26 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 0.06 | |
| 27–28 | 9.0 | 8.0 | ||
| 29–30 | 14.8 | 12.4 | ||
| 31–32 | 25.4 | 23.3 | ||
| 33–34 | 46.1 | 52.3 | ||
| Birth weight (g) | ||||
| 450–999 | 12.8 | 11.3 | 0.29 | |
| 1000–1499 | 25.5 | 23.4 | ||
| 1500–1999 | 36.0 | 36.9 | ||
| 2000 and more | 25.7 | 28.4 | ||
| Male | 54.6 | 51.4 | 0.13 | |
| Birth year | ||||
| 2003–2004 | 32.1 | 23.6 | 0.001 | |
| 2005–2006 | 33.3 | 36.2 | ||
| 2007–2008 | 34.6 | 42.5 | ||
| Cranial ultrasound/MRI abnormalities | ||||
| No cranial ultrasound, no MRI | 23.0 | 24.0 | 0.54 | |
| No lesions at cranial ultrasound and/or MRI | 69.6 | 70.7 | ||
| Intraventricular haemorrhage (grade II) | 3.6 | 2.7 | ||
| Intraventricular haemorrhage (grades III and IV) | 0.5 | 0.3 | ||
| White matter damage | 3.1 | 2.2 | ||
| White matter damage and intraventricular haemorrhage | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Comparison between the training and validation groups
| Training Group | Validation group | p Value | |
|---|---|---|---|
| (n=2015) (%) | (n=2015) (%) | ||
| Gestational age (weeks) | |||
| 22–26 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 0.24 |
| 27–28 | 9.1 | 8.6 | |
| 29–30 | 15.6 | 13.3 | |
| 31–32 | 24.2 | 25.9 | |
| 33–34 | 46.7 | 47.4 | |
| Birthweight (g) | |||
| 450–999 | 12.2 | 12.8 | 0.96 |
| 1000–1499 | 25.5 | 25.1 | |
| 1500–1999 | 36.1 | 36.2 | |
| ≥2000 | 26.2 | 25.9 | |
| Male | 53.6 | 54.6 | 0.45 |
| Birth year | |||
| 2003–2004 | 30.0 | 30.5 | 0.62 |
| 2005–2006 | 34.6 | 33.2 | |
| 2007–2008 | 35.6 | 36.3 | |
| Cranial ultrasound/MRI abnormalities | |||
| No cranial ultrasound, no MRI | 23.8 | 22.2 | 0.13 |
| No lesion on cranial ultrasound and/or MRI | 68.4 | 71.1 | |
| Intraventricular haemorrhage (grade II) | 3.5 | 3.5 | |
| Severe cranial ultrasound/MRI abnormalities | 4.2 | 3.2 | |
| Intraventricular haemorrhage (grades III and IV) | 0.6 | 0.3 | |
| White matter damage | 3.5 | 2.6 | |
| White matter damage and intraventricular haemorrhage | 0.1 | 0.3 | |
| Outcome at 2 years | |||
| Not examined at 2 years | 15.9 | 17.6 | 0.71 |
| Death after discharge | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Genetic syndrome | 0.7 | 0.7 | |
| Optimal neuromotor development | 74.2 | 73.0 | |
| Suboptimal neuromotor development | 8.9 | 8.7 | |
| Cerebral palsy without independent walking | 1.6 | 2.1 | |
| Cerebral palsy with independent walking | 3.8 | 4.2 | |
| Gross and/or fine motor domain impairment (ASQ) | 3.5 | 2.4 |
ASQ, ages and stages questionnaires.
Sensitivity, specificity and positive likelihood ratio for predicting suboptimal neuromotor status at 2 years
| Items | Validation group (n=1645) | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | Positive likelihood ratio (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neurosensory function and spontaneous activity during assessment | ||||
| Spontaneous motor activity | 19 | 0.05 (0.02 to 0.09) | 0.99 (0.99 to 0.99) | 6.11 (2.50 to 14.98) |
| Response to voice | 43 | 0.07 (0.04 to 0.12) | 0.98 (0.98 to 0.98) | 3.64 (1.94 to 6.85) |
| Visual fixing and tracking | 179 | 0.18 (0.13 to 0.24) | 0.90 (0.88 to 0.91) | 1.76 (1.24 to 2.50) |
| Social interaction | 48 | 0.08 (0.05 to 0.13) | 0.98 (0.97 to 0.98) | 3.46 (1.90 to 6.31) |
| Excitability | 28 | 0.05 (0.03 to 0.09) | 0.99 (0.99 to 0.99) | 3.98 (1.83 to 8.66) |
| Passive tone | ||||
| Upper limbs recoil | 78 | 0.08 (0.05 to 0.13) | 0.96 (0.95 to 0.97) | 1.84 (1.05 to 3.21) |
| Lower limbs recoil | 55 | 0.06 (0.03 to 0.10) | 0.97 (0.96 to 0.98) | 1.87 (0.96 to 3.64) |
| Comparison of curvatures | 42 | 0.09 (0.06 to 0.14) | 0.98 (0.98 to 0.99) | 5.17 (2.83 to 9.45) |
| Active tone | ||||
| Pull to sit manoeuvre | 187 | 0.18 (0.13 to 0.24) | 0.89 (0.88 to 0.91) | 1.67 (1.17 to 2.37) |
| Righting reaction | 51 | 0.06 (0.03 to 0.10) | 0.97 (0.97 to 0.98) | 2.05 (1.05 to 4.02) |
| Others | ||||
| Adaptedness during assessment | 132 | 0.19 (0.05 to 0.14) | 0.97 (0.97 to 0.98) | 7.32 (1.05 to 4.02) |
| Non-nutritive sucking/feeding autonomy | 54 | 0.09 (0.05 to 0.14) | 0.97 (0.96 to 0.98) | 3.23 (1.81 to 5.73) |
| Head circumference | 167 | 0.19 (0.14 to 0.26) | 0.91 (0.89 to 0.92) | 2.15 (1.52 to 3.02) |
| Items combination | ||||
| One item or more | 615 | 0.55 (0.47 to 0.62) | 0.65 (0.62 to 0.67) | 1.55 (1.33 to 1.81) |
| Three items or more | 108 | 0.19 (0.14 to 0.25) | 0.95 (0.94 to 0.96) | 3.70 (2.53 to 5.40) |
Figure 3Rates of suboptimal neuromotor developmental status at 2 years of corrected age according to the number of abnormal items observed during neurological assessment at term. Circles indicate rates observed in the validation group. Intervals indicate the range of virtual rates calculated in 50 datasets by imputation in case of missing items.
Figure 4Classification and regression trees predicting suboptimal neuromotor status at 2 years of corrected age. Trees were built by χ2 automatic interaction detector analysis in the training set. The classifications obtained in the validation group are shown. Each node shows the selected splitting variable, number and proportion (95% CI) of infants with suboptimal outcome at 2 years. The terminal nodes marked in grey represent the subgroup of infants considered at ‘low risk’. Neuromotor assessment at term, gestational age and the presence of cerebral lesions on imaging were included in this first model.
Figure 5Classification and regression trees predicting suboptimal neuromotor status at 2 years of corrected age. Trees were built by χ2 automatic interaction detector analysis in the training set. The classifications obtained in the validation group are shown. Each node shows the selected splitting variable, number and proportion (95% CI) of infants with suboptimal outcome at 2 years. The terminal nodes marked in grey represent the subgroup of infants considered at ‘low risk’. Neuromotor assessment at term and birth weight were included in this second model.