Increasing trend of colorectal cancer incidence in Korea, 1999-2009.

PURPOSE: This study was conducted in order to demonstrate changing trends in colorectal cancer incidence according to sex, age group, and anatomical location in the Korean population.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data from the Korea Central Cancer Registry between 1999 and 2009 were analyzed. Annual percent changes (APCs) of sex- and age-specific incidence rates for cancer of the proximal colon (International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th revision [ICD-10] code C18.0-18.5), distal colon (C18.6-18.7), and rectum (C19-20), and male-to-female incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated.
RESULTS: The age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) of colorectal cancer was 27 (per 100,000) in 1999 and increased to 50.2 in 2009 among men (APC, 6.6%). The ASR for women was 17.2 in 1999 and 26.9 in 2009 (APC, 5.1%). The rectum was the most common site of cancer among both men and women during 1999 and 2009. However, the distal colon had the highest APC (10.8% among men and 8.4% among women), followed by the proximal colon (7.9% among men and 6.6% among women), and rectum (5.2% among men and 2.4% among women). The proportion of rectal cancer decreased from 51.5% in 1999 to 47.1% in 2009 among men, and from 50.5% to 42.8% among women. An increase in the male-to-female IRR was observed for distal colon cancer and rectal cancer, whereas the IRR for proximal colon cancer was stable.
CONCLUSION: The rapid increase in colorectal cancer incidence is mainly attributed to the increase in colon cancer, especially distal colon cancer, and may be explained by a transition of risk factors for subsites or by the effect of colorectal cancer screening.

Introduction

Colorectal cancer is the third most common incident cancer among men and the second most common cancer among women worldwide [1]. Incidence rates vary 10-fold in both sexes worldwide, and the highest rates are estimated in more developed regions, such as North America and Western Europe, whereas the lowest rates are estimated in Africa (except Southern Africa) and South-Central Asia [1]. In Asia, colorectal cancer is the fourth most common incident cancer among men and the fifth most common cancer among women [1]. Although incidence rates are relatively low in Asian countries, those for East Asian countries are relatively high [1].

In Korea, incidence of colorectal cancer has increased. Annual percentage changes in age-standardized incidence rates were 6.2% in men and 6.8% in women between 1999 and 2009 using the world standard population as a standard population [2]. In 2009, 24,986 new colorectal cancer cases (15,068 men and 9,918 women) were diagnosed, accounting for 13.0% of all cancer occurrences [2]. Colorectal cancer is the second most common cancer after stomach cancer among men and the third most common cancer after cancers of the thyroid and breast among women [2].

There have been several reports on differences in patterns of colorectal incidence trends according to age group, sex, and anatomical location [3-5]. However, it has not been properly investigated whether colorectal cancers of a specific age group, sex, or anatomical location show more rapid increases in the Korean population. The aim of the current study was to demonstrate changing trends of colorectal cancer incidence according to age group, sex, and anatomical location.

Materials and Methods

The Korea Central Cancer Registry (KCCR), a nation-wide, hospital-based cancer registry, was initiated by the Ministry of Health and Welfare, Korea in 1980. The registry collected information on approximately 80-90% of cancer cases from more than 150 training hospitals across the country, and, in 1999, the KCCR expanded cancer registration to cover the entire Korean population under the Population-Based Regional Cancer Registry program [6]. Age (five-year intervals) and sex-specific incidence rates and the number of cases of colorectal cancer between 1999 and 2009 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database. Anatomical subsites were defined based on the tenth version of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th revision (ICD-10) [7]. We defined the proximal colon as the cecum (C18.0), appendix (C18.1), ascending colon (C18.2), hepatic flexure (C18.3), transverse colon (C18.4), and splenic flexure of the colon (C18.5); the distal colon was defined as the descending colon (C18.6) and sigmoid colon (C18.7). The rectum included the rectosigmoid colon (C19) and rectum (C20). Overlapping lesions of the colon (C18.8) and colon not otherwise specified (C18.9) were not included in the subsite analysis.

Age-standardized rates (ASRs) were calculated using the middle-year population of 2,000 as the standard population. The structure of the standard population is shown in Appendix 1. Annual percent changes (APCs) for the incidence rates were calculated using a linear model, according to the following formula; (exp(b)-1)×100, where b is the slope of the regression of the natural logarithm of the ASR in a calendar year [8]. The 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were obtained with a standard error from the fit of the regression and the t-distribution function. All analyses were conducted by sex, subsite, and age group (10-year intervals). The R-2.12.2 (http://cran.r-project.org) software was used for the APC analyses. Male-to-female incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated using the numbers of cancer patients for each site and the sex-specific population structure for each year using Stata/SE 10.0 for Windows (Stata Corp LP, College Station, TX) [9]. Statistical significance in difference between IRRs is determined if the 95% CIs do not overlap between IRRs.

Results

The ASRs and APCs overall and for each subsite of colorectal cancer by sex are shown in Tables 1 and 2 and Fig. 1. Among men, the ASR for colorectal cancer was 27 per 100,000 in 1999 and increased to 50.2 in 2009 (APC, 6.6%). The ASR for colorectal cancer among women was 17.2 in 1999 and 26.9 in 2009 (APC, 5.1%). The rectum was the most common cancer site among both men and women in 1999 and 2009. However, among the subsites, rectal cancer showed the lowest increase. Cancer of the distal colon showed the highest APC (10.8% among men and 8.4% among women), followed by the proximal colon (7.9% among men and 6.6% among women) and rectum (5.2% among men and 2.4% among women). As a result, the proportion of rectal cancer decreased from 51.5% in 1999 to 47.1% in 2009 among men, and from 50.5% in 1999 to 42.8% in 2009 among women, whereas the proportion of proximal and distal colon cancers increased among both men and women (Appendix 2). In all subsites, significantly higher APCs were observed among men, compared with women. As a result, the male-to-female IRRs showed a significant increase between 1999 and 2009 for overall colorectal cancer (1.20 in 1999 to 1.51 in 2009), distal colon cancer (1.32 to 1.60), and rectal cancer (1.22 to 1.67), whereas the IRR for proximal colon cancer did not show a significant change (1.09 to 1.16) (Table 3).

Table 1

Age-standardized colorectal cancer incidence ratesa) per 100,000 and APC by subsites in male, the Korea Central Cancer Registry, 1999-2009

APC, annual percent change; ICD-10, International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th revision; CI, confidence interval. a)Age adjusted to the Korean population in 2000.

Table 2

Age-standardized colorectal cancer incidence ratesa) per 100,000 and APC by subsites in female, the Korea Central Cancer Registry, 1999-2009

APC, annual percent change; ICD-10, International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th revision; CI, confidence interval. a)Age adjusted to the Korean population in 2000.

Fig. 1

Age-standardized incidence curve for proximal colon, distal colon, and rectal cancers for male (A) and female (B) in 1999 and 2009, the Korea Central Cancer Registry.

Table 3

Male-to-female colorectal cancer IRR by subsites, the Korea Central Cancer Registry, 1999 and 2009

IRR, incidence rate ratios; ICD-10, International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th revision; CI, confidence interval.

The ASRs and APCs for colorectal cancer subsites by age group are shown in Tables 4 and 5. For overall colorectal cancer, men who were in their 60s showed the highest increase, whereas, for women, those in their 80s showed the highest increase. Distal colon cancer consistently showed the highest APC in most age groups among both men and women, except for women in their 80s, who showed the highest APC for proximal colon cancer. Among women, for almost every subsite, the most notable increases in incidence were observed for the oldest age group. Proximal colon cancer in men also showed the highest APC in the oldest age groups, whereas APCs were significantly higher only in the 60s for distal colon cancer and 40s and 60s for rectal cancer. However, the APCs showed narrow ranges of between 10.1 and 11.7 for distal colon cancer and between 4.7 and 5.8 for rectal cancer among men over 40 years old.

Table 4

Incidence rates per 10,000 (1999 and 2009) and APC of colorectal cancer by subsite and age groups in male, the Korea Central Cancer Registry, 1999-2009

APC, annual percent change; ICD-10, International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th revision; CI, confidence interval. a)p<0.001.

Table 5

Incidence rates per 10,000 (1999 and 2009) and annual percent change (APC) of colorectal cancer by subsite and age groups in female, the Korea Central Cancer Registry, 1999-2009

APC, annual percent change; ICD-10, International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th revision; CI, confidence interval. a)p<0.05, b)p<0.001.

The highest male-to-female IRRs for overall colorectal cancer were observed for the oldest age groups, whereas the lowest IRRs were observed for younger age groups (Table 6). However, significant increases in male-to-female IRRs were observed in their 50s and 60s between 1999 and 2009. In the subsite-specific analyses, the changes in male-to-female IRRs between 1999 and 2009 showed a statistically significantly increase for rectal cancer among men and women in their 50s, and 60s and for distal colon cancer among those in their 60s.

Table 6

Male-to-female colorectal cancer IRR by subsites and age groups, the Korea Central Cancer Registry, 1999 and 2009

IRR, incidence rate ratios; ICD-10, International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th revision; CI, confidence interval.

Discussion

Incidence of colorectal cancer has increased in most countries, except for the United States and some areas of Japan [10]. The most significant increases have been observed in Eastern European countries and most Asian countries [10]. Although the Korean population has experienced a rapid increase in colorectal cancer incidence, it has not been properly investigated whether the increasing pattern differs according to age group, sex, or anatomical location. There have been suggestions that colorectal cancer incidence by subsite differs according to race, sex, age group, and time period [4,11,12]. In our study, rectal cancer accounted for the highest proportion among all subsites and ranged from 41% to 51% of all colorectal cancers. This result is consistent in part with a report from the US, which showed that the rectum (C19.9 and C20.9) was the most common subsite for male Asians and Pacific Islanders living in the US (35%), whereas the proximal colon was the most common site for Whites and Blacks among both men and women, as well as female Asians and Pacific Islanders [11,12]. However, in the current study, the APC for rectal cancer was the lowest among the subsites included, thus, it appears that the proportion of rectal cancer has decreased among both men and women in Korea. Instead, colon cancer, particularly distal colon cancer, has shown a rapid increase. We expect that the proportion of rectal cancer will continue to decrease in the future, and the proportion will eventually reach a level similar to that of Western countries.

One study suggested that incidence of colorectal cancer has increased among younger age groups in the US population, although overall incidence of colorectal cancer has declined [4]. The increases observed in the younger population were mainly attributed to rectal cancer [4]. In our study, we did not find clear evidence for a more rapid increase in overall incidence of colorectal cancer or rectal cancer in younger age groups, compared to older age groups in women. In men, however, it is worthy of mention that, unlike proximal colon cancer and distal colon cancer, where the APCs were lowest in their 30s and 40s, the APCs of rectal cancer in men in their 30s and 40s were statistically higher than those for men in their 70s and 80s.

It is notable that although the incidence was higher among men than among women, the APCs were also higher among men than among women for most subsites. As a result, the male-to-female IRR for overall colorectal cancer increased from 1.20 in 1999 to 1.51 in 2009. A high male-to-female IRR was observed for most subsites across ethnic groups in the US population [11]. Our study also showed that the lowest male-to-female IRR was observed for proximal colon cancer, indicating that the proportion of proximal colon cancer was higher among women than men. This result is consistent with results reported from the US [11], Germany [13], and Japan [14]. Traditionally, differences in the distribution of colorectal cancer subsites between men and women have been explained by the role of female hormonal factors [15,16].

Rapid increases in colorectal cancer incidence and the stabilization of colorectal cancer mortality in the Korean population could be explained by introduction of colorectal cancer screening. Colorectal cancer screening programs were introduced in 2004 as a part of the National Cancer Screening Program for Medical Aid recipients and National Health Insurance beneficiaries in the lower income bracket [17]. The fecal occult blood test (FOBT) is provided free of charge as a primary modality for men and women aged 50 years or older. FOBT-positive individuals were provided follow-up by either colonoscopy or double-contrast barium enema [17]. The participation rate was only 10.5% in 2004, however, it increased to 21.1% in 2008 [17]. According to the Korea National Cancer Screening Survey, which covers organized and opportunistic cancer screening programs, lifetime screening rates for colorectal cancer were 25.3% in 2004 and 54.2% in 2010, whereas screening rates by recommended guidelines were 19.9% in 2004 and 35.5% in 2010 [18].

In the early phase of screening, increases in incidence are due to detection of prevalent cancers. However, the introduction of colorectal cancer screening cannot completely explain the differential increase in colorectal cancer incidence by subsite. FOBT usually has a higher sensitivity for advanced neoplasia, including colorectal cancer and advanced colorectal adenomas, in the left vs. right colon [19]. This explains in part the increase in the rate of distal colon cancer, but not the low increase in rectal cancer. In addition, the National Cancer Screening Program Guidelines recommend colono-scopy or double-contrast barium enema as a follow-up modality for FOBT positive patients [17]. Sigmoidoscopy, which is used as a screening tool for an average-risk population in the US [20], is not considered as a follow-up modality in Korea. Therefore, there is little possibility that screening-detected cancers are more likely to be distal colon and rectal cancer.

A transition in risk factors may explain the differential increase in colorectal cancer according to incidence according to subsite. In a large insurance database-based study, frequent alcohol consumption and high consumption amount were more strongly associated with risk of distal colon cancer among men and risk of rectal cancer risk among women [21]. High body mass index (BMI≥25 kg/m2) was associated with increased risk for distal colon cancer among men and for proximal colon cancer among women. In addition, frequent meat intake was associated with proximal colon cancer risk among men and risk of proximal colon and rectal cancer among women [21]. Daily alcohol consumption in Korea increased from 10.6 g in 1999 to 17.3 g in 2007 among men and from 1.4 g in 1999 to 2.9 g in 2007 among women [22]. The proportion of adult men with a BMI of 25 kg/m2 and was 25.1% in 1998 and increased to 35.3% in 2008 [22]. Daily per capita meat consumption was 6.6 g in 1969 and increased to 95.1 g in 2005 [23]. In contrast, the cigarette smoking rate in the adult population decreased from 75.1% in 1992 to 43.1% in 2009 among men and from 5.1% in 1992 to 3.9% in 2009 among women [24]. Cigarette smoking has shown a stronger association with risk of rectal cancer than colon cancer [25].

In our subsite analysis, we excluded overlapping lesions of the colon (C18.8) and colon not otherwise specified (C18.9). The proportions of C18.8 did not change between 1999 and 2009 (1.0% for men and 0.8% for women), however, the proportions of C18.9 during the same period decreased from 9.8% to 5.5% among men and from 11.1% to 5.9% among women. Improved accuracy in topology classification may explain in part the increase in the incidence of distal colon cancer, however, the changes exceeded the portion that might be explained by improved accuracy in topology coding.

Conclusion

The rapid increase in colorectal cancer incidence in Korea between 1999 and 2009 is mainly attributed to increases in colon cancer, especially distal colon cancer. Increases in the proportion of colon cancer may be explained by a transition in risk factors for subsites and the effect of colorectal cancer screening programs. The male-to-female IRRs were higher for distal colon and rectal cancer and increased between 1999 and 2009 due to more rapid changes in male colorectal cancer incidence.