| Literature DB >> 23193394 |
Theophilus O Ogunyemi1, Mohammad-Reza Siadat, Suzan Arslanturk, Kim A Killinger, Ananias C Diokno.
Abstract
Longitudinal data for studying urinary incontinence (UI) risk factors are rare. Data from one study, the hallmark Medical, Epidemiological, and Social Aspects of Aging (MESA), have been analyzed in the past; however, repeated measures analyses that are crucial for analyzing longitudinal data have not been applied. We tested a novel application of statistical methods to identify UI risk factors in older women. MESA data were collected at baseline and yearly from a sample of 1955 men and women in the community. Only women responding to the 762 baseline and 559 follow-up questions at one year in each respective survey were examined. To test their utility in mining large data sets, and as a preliminary step to creating a predictive index for developing UI, logistic regression, generalized estimating equations (GEEs), and proportional hazard regression (PHREG) methods were used on the existing MESA data. The GEE and PHREG combination identified 15 significant risk factors associated with developing UI out of which six of them, namely, urinary frequency, urgency, any urine loss, urine loss after emptying, subject's anticipation, and doctor's proactivity, are found most highly significant by both methods. These six factors are potential candidates for constructing a future UI predictive index.Entities:
Year: 2012 PMID: 23193394 PMCID: PMC3501817 DOI: 10.1155/2012/276501
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Adv Urol ISSN: 1687-6369
Percentages among 73 common attributes in the baseline and follow-up data with missing values.
| Percent of attributes with the range of missing values | |
|---|---|
| Baseline data | |
| 0%–9% | 95% |
| 10%–48% | 5% |
| Follow-up data | |
| 0%–14% | 90% |
| 15%–52% | 10% |
Significant risk factors identified by the GEE and/or PHREG methods.
| Questions | Possible responses | Response associated with higher incontinence risk | GEE* | PHREG** | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
| Hazard ratio | ||||
| F1 | What about problems with constipation in the past 12 months? | (1) Yes | Yes | 0.0108 | 0.0162 | 1.53 |
| F2 | In general, how would you describe your health? Would you say that it is excellent, very good, good, fair, or poor? | (1) Excel | Poor | 0.0139 | 0.0122 | 0.57 |
| F3 | Have you had any blood, cloudiness, or foul smell in your urine in the past 12 months? | (1) Yes | Yes | 0.0287 | 0.0241 | 2.02 |
| F4 | In general, over a 24-hour period, about how many times do you go to the toilet and urinate? | At least 8 times | 0.0038 | 0.0026 | 1.60 | |
| F5 | Have you ever had female surgery such as your ovaries, vagina, fallopian tubes, uterus, rectum, or urethra? | (1) Yes | Yes | 0.0044 | 0.0620 | 1.70 |
| F6 | Do you have trouble getting to the bathroom on time? | (1) Yes | Yes | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | 6.86 |
| F7 | How often do you wet or soil yourself during the day or night? | (1) Would you say never | At least once a week | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | 31.53 |
| F8 | Some people find that occasionally they experience wet undergarments soon after they empty their bladders into the toilet. In other words, the bladder feels empty, but later leaks more. Is this ever true for you? | (1) Yes | Yes | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | 4.75 |
| F9 | How about your memory? Has it become worse within the last five years? | (1) Yes | Yes | 0.0224 | 0.0141 | 1.47 |
| F10 | How likely do you think it is that you will have a urine loss condition in the future? | (1) Is it very likely | (1) Very likely | 0.0003 | <0.0001 | 3.34 |
| F11 | In an average week, would you say that you get a large amount of exercise, a fair amount of exercise, a little exercise, or no exercise? | (1) Large amount, | (3) A little | 0.0098 | 0.0563 | 1.44 |
| F12 | How often do you run errands outside the home for either family members or friends? (Would you say…) | (1) Al. everyday | (4) Few/year, or | 0.0333 | 0.0236 | 0.69 |
| F13 | In the past 12 months, have you had to use a catheter or urine tube to empty your bladder? | (1) Yes | Yes | 0.0133 | 0.0038 | 0.20 |
| F14 | Have you ever been told by a doctor that you had high blood pressure? | (1) Yes | Yes | 0.0287 | 0.0148 | 0.66 |
| F15 | When you go for visits to your doctor (regular doctor), does your doctor ask you if you are having any problems with urine loss or bladder control problems? | (1) Yes | (2) No | 0.0062 | 0.0028 | 0.62 |
*GEE: generalized estimating equation.
**PHREG: proportional hazard regression model.
Baseline risk factors found significant by logistic regression.
| Questions | Possible responses | Response associated with higher incontinence risk |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F16 | Did your mother or your father have a urine loss condition as an adult? | (1) Yes | Yes | 0.0135 |
| F17 | Do you sneeze often, sometimes, rarely, or never? | (1) Often | (1) Often | 0.0171 |
| F18 | Do you cough often, sometimes, rarely, or never? | (1) Often | (1) Often | 0.0972* |
*Not significant at 5% significance level, but it is included for a future closer look.
(a) Stress urinary incontinence
| Factor | Estimate | SE | Chi-Square |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F17 | 0.0535 | 0.0237 | 5.09 | 0.0241 |
| F11 | 0.0470 | 0.0237 | 3.93 | 0.0475 |
(b) Predicated values for response functions
| Observed function | SE | Predicted function | SE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F17 | 0.394822 | 0.027808 | 0.394822 | 0.027808 |
| F11 | 0.381818 | 0.06551 | 0.381818 | 0.06551 |
(c) Urge urinary incontinence
| Factor | Estimate | SE | Chi-square |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F6 | 0.0812 | 0.0221 | 13.49 | 0.0002 |
| F7 | 0.2791 | 0.0215 | 168.37 | <0.0001 |
(d) Predicated values for response functions
| Observed function | SE | Predicted function | SE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F6 | 0.433962 | 0.068079 | 0.351143 | 0.044893 |
| F7 | 0.791045 | 0.049669 | 0.74696 | 0.041532 |
(e) Overflow urinary incontinence
| Factor | Estimate | SE | Chi-square |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F4 | 0.0727 | 0.0182 | 15.89 | <0.0001 |
| F8 | 0.2392 | 0.0219 | 119.32 | <0.0001 |
(f) Predicated values for response functions
| Observed function | SE | Predicted function | SE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F4 | 0.43128 | 0.034095 | 0.416656 | 0.031473 |
| F8 | 0.8 | 0.063246 | 0.749681 | 0.044325 |
(g) Disease
| Factor | Estimate | SE | Chi-square |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F14 | 0.0197 | 0.0184 | 1.14 | 0.2857 |
| F3 | 0.1558 | 0.0304 | 26.34 | <0.0001 |
| F9 | 0.0498 | 0.0185 | 7.22 | 0.0072 |
(h) Predicated values for response functions
| Observed function | SE | Predicted function | SE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F14 | 0.8 | 0.126491 | 0.639677 | 0.63708 |
| F3 | 0.456044 | 0.036919 | 0.427493 | 0.031484 |
| F9 | 0.555556 | 0.117121 | 0.699794 | 0.062957 |
(i) Anticipatory factors
| Factor | Estimate | SE | Chi-Square |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F15 | 0.1008 | 0.0255 | 15.55 | <0.0001 |
| F10 | 0.1917 | 0.0255 | 56.29 | <0.0001 |
| F10 × F15 | 0.0729 | 0.0255 | 8.14 | 0.0043 |
(j) Predicated values for response functions
| Observed function | SE | Predicted function | SE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F15 | 0.347578 | 0.025418 | 0.347578 | 0.025418 |
| F10 | 0.529412 | 0.085601 | 0.529412 | 0.085601 |
| F10 × F15 | 0.291866 | 0.031447 | 0.291866 | 0.031447 |
(k) Hereditary factors
| Factor | Estimate | SE | Chi-square |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F16 | 0.0791 | 0.0218 | 13.11 | 0.0003 |
(l) Predicated values for response functions
| Observed function | SE | Predicated function | SE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F16 | 0.356275 | 0.021547 | 0.356275 | 0.021547 |