OBJECTIVE: To develop models for prediction of preeclampsia (PE) based on maternal characteristics, biophysical and biochemical markers at 11-13 weeks' gestation in which the gestation at the time of delivery for PE is treated as a continuous variable. METHODS: This was a screening study of singleton pregnancies at 11-13 weeks including 1,426 (2.4%) that subsequently developed PE and 57,458 that were unaffected by PE. We developed a survival time model for the time of delivery for PE in which Bayes' theorem was used to combine the prior information from maternal characteristics with uterine artery pulsatility index (PI), mean arterial pressure (MAP), serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and placental growth factor (PLGF) multiple of the median (MoM) values. RESULTS: In pregnancies with PE, there was a linear correlation between MoM values of uterine artery PI, MAP, PAPP-A and PLGF with gestational age at delivery and therefore the deviation from normal was greater for early than late PE for all four biomarkers. Screening by maternal characteristics, biophysical and biochemical markers detected 96% of cases of PE requiring delivery before 34 weeks and 54% of all cases of PE at a fixed false-positive rate of 10%. CONCLUSIONS: A new model has been developed for effective first-trimester screening for PE.
OBJECTIVE: To develop models for prediction of preeclampsia (PE) based on maternal characteristics, biophysical and biochemical markers at 11-13 weeks' gestation in which the gestation at the time of delivery for PE is treated as a continuous variable. METHODS: This was a screening study of singleton pregnancies at 11-13 weeks including 1,426 (2.4%) that subsequently developed PE and 57,458 that were unaffected by PE. We developed a survival time model for the time of delivery for PE in which Bayes' theorem was used to combine the prior information from maternal characteristics with uterine artery pulsatility index (PI), mean arterial pressure (MAP), serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and placental growth factor (PLGF) multiple of the median (MoM) values. RESULTS: In pregnancies with PE, there was a linear correlation between MoM values of uterine artery PI, MAP, PAPP-A and PLGF with gestational age at delivery and therefore the deviation from normal was greater for early than late PE for all four biomarkers. Screening by maternal characteristics, biophysical and biochemical markers detected 96% of cases of PE requiring delivery before 34 weeks and 54% of all cases of PE at a fixed false-positive rate of 10%. CONCLUSIONS: A new model has been developed for effective first-trimester screening for PE.
Authors: Liona C Poon; Andrew Shennan; Jonathan A Hyett; Anil Kapur; Eran Hadar; Hema Divakar; Fionnuala McAuliffe; Fabricio da Silva Costa; Peter von Dadelszen; Harold David McIntyre; Anne B Kihara; Gian Carlo Di Renzo; Roberto Romero; Mary D'Alton; Vincenzo Berghella; Kypros H Nicolaides; Moshe Hod Journal: Int J Gynaecol Obstet Date: 2019-05 Impact factor: 3.561
Authors: H Stepan; S Kuse-Föhl; W Klockenbusch; W Rath; B Schauf; T Walther; D Schlembach Journal: Geburtshilfe Frauenheilkd Date: 2015-09 Impact factor: 2.915