| Literature DB >> 21811567 |
Karim Aghcheli1, Haji-Amin Marjani, Dariush Nasrollahzadeh, Farhad Islami, Ramin Shakeri, Masoud Sotoudeh, Behnoush Abedi-Ardekani, Mohammad-Reza Ghavamnasiri, Ezzatollah Razaei, Elias Khalilipour, Samira Mohtashami, Yasha Makhdoomi, Rabea Rajabzadeh, Shahin Merat, Rasoul Sotoudehmanesh, Shahryar Semnani, Reza Malekzadeh.
Abstract
Golestan Province in northern Iran is an area with a high incidence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). We aimed to investigate prognostic factors for ESCC and survival of cases in Golestan, on which little data were available. We followed-up 426 ESCC cases participating in a population-based case-control study. Data were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and the Cox proportional hazard models. Median survival was 7 months. Age at diagnosis was inversely associated with survival, but the association was disappeared with adjustment for treatment. Residing in urban areas (hazard ratio, HR = 0.70; 95% CI 0.54-0.90) and being of non-Turkmen ethnic groups (HR = 0.76; 95% CI 0.61-0.96) were associated with better prognosis. In contrast to other types of tobacco use, nass (a smokeless tobacco product) chewing was associated with a slightly poorer prognosis even in models adjusted for other factors including stage of disease and treatment (HR = 1.38; 95% CI 0.99-1.92). Opium use was associated with poorer prognosis in crude analyses but not in adjusted models. Almost all of potentially curative treatments were associated with longer survival. Prognosis of ESCC in Golestan is very poor. Easier access to treatment facilities may improve the prognosis of ESCC in Golestan. The observed association between nass chewing and poorer prognosis needs further investigations; this association may suggest a possible role for ingestion of nass constituents in prognosis of ESCC.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2011 PMID: 21811567 PMCID: PMC3141005 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0022152
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Figure 1Survival of participants with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in Golestan Province, Iran.
Figure 2Survival of participants with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma by treatment (p-values come from log-rank tests for equality of survivor functions).
Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for death by patient and tumor characteristics.
| HR (95% CI) | ||||
| Characteristics | Number (%) | Non-adjusted Model | Adjusted Model 1 | Adjusted Model 2 |
|
| ||||
| <56 | 90 (21.1) | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| 56–65 | 116 (27.2) | 0.82 (0.60–1.13) | 0.86 (0.63–1.19) | 0.70 (0.50–0.98) |
| 66–75 | 144 (33.8) | 1.48 (1.11–1.99) | 1.65 (1.23–2.22) | 1.22 (0.90–1.66) |
| ≥76 | 76 (17.8) | 2.11 (1.52–2.94) | 2.05 (1.45–2.89) | 1.23 (0.85–1.77) |
|
| <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.01 | |
|
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| Women | 215 (50.5) | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| Men | 211 (49.5) | 1.17 (0.95–1.44) | 1.04 (0.83–1.30) | 1.10 (0.87–1.38) |
|
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| Rural | 304 (71.4) | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| Urban | 122 (28.6) | 0.78 (0.62–0.99) | 0.75 (0.58–0.95) | 0.70 (0.54–0.90) |
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| Turkmen | 228 (53.5) | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| Non-Turkmen | 198 (46.5) | 0.73 (0.59–0.90) | 0.76 (0.61–0.95) | 0.76 (0.61–0.96) |
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| Cigarette | 73 (17.3) | 1.05 (0.79–1.38) | 0.85 (0.62–1.15) | 0.85 (0.62–1.18) |
| Hookah (water pipe) | 33 (7.8) | 1.22 (0.84–1.78) | 1.32 (0.88–1.98) | 1.22 (0.81–1.83) |
| Nass chewing | 50 (11.8) | 1.85 (1.36–2.51) | 1.57 (1.13–2.18) | 1.38 (0.99–1.92) |
| Opium use | 131 (31.0) | 1.23 (0.98–1.54) | 1.09 (0.86–1.39) | 1.06 (0.83–1.35) |
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| Upper One third | 38 (8.9) | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| Middle one third | 220 (51.6) | 0.83 (0.58–1.21) | 0.89 (0.61–1.30) | 0.92 (0.63–1.36) |
| Lower one third | 127 (29.8) | 0.88 (0.60–1.30) | 0.96 (0.65–1.43) | 0.94 (0.63–1.40) |
| Unknown | 41 (9.6) | 0.62 (0.37–1.04) | 0.65 (0.38–1.11) | 0.80 (0.47–1.37) |
|
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| I/II | 43 (10.1) | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| III | 61 (14.3) | 1.48 (0.94–2.33) | 1.48 (0.93–2.34) | 1.09 (0.67–1.76) |
| IV | 18 (4.2) | 1.59 (0.87–2.92) | 1.93 (1.05–3.56) | 1.47 (0.78–2.76) |
|
| <0.001 | 0.002 | 0.27 | |
| Unknown | 304 (71.4) | 1.98 (1.36–2.90) | 1.83 (1.24–2.70) | 1.25 (0.83–1.89) |
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| None | 208 (48.8) | Reference | Reference | - |
| Only surgery | 43 (10.1) | 0.30 (0.21–0.45) | 0.32 (0.21–0.49) | - |
| Surgery+chemotherapy | 24 (5.6) | 0.19 (0.11–0.33) | 0.26 (0.14–0.48) | - |
| Surgery+radiotherapy | 6 (1.4) | 0.31 (0.11–0.85) | 0.52 (0.19–1.46) | - |
| Surgery+chemoradiotherapy | 29 (6.8) | 0.18 (0.10–0.30) | 0.18 (0.10–0.31) | - |
| Only chemotherapy | 26 (6.1) | 0.79 (0.51–1.22) | 1.02 (0.65–1.62) | - |
| Only radiotherapy | 34 (8.0) | 0.63 (0.43–0.92) | 0.67 (0.46–0.99) | - |
| Only chemoradiotherapy | 56 (13.2) | 0.29 (0.20–0.41) | 0.30 (0.21–0.44) | - |
Adjusted 1 model included other variables in the list excluding tumor location and treatment. Adjusted model 2 was further adjusted for treatment.
The reference group was the participants who did not use the respective substance.
No surgery, chemotherapy or radiotherapy.
Coefficients for correlation of demographic characteristics and nass chewing with receiving surgery or any curative treatment.
| Surgery | Any curative treatment | |||
| β (95% CI) |
| β (95% CI) |
| |
| Urban dwellers | 0.40 (−0.15–0.96) | 0.16 | 0.31 (−0.17–0.79) | 0.21 |
| Non-Turkmens | 0.72 (0.21–1.23) | 0.006 | 0.56 (0.13–1.00) | 0.01 |
| Interaction of place of residence and ethnicity | 0.06 (−1.08–1.20) | 0.92 | 0.94 (−0.04–1.93) | 0.06 |
| Age (years) | ||||
| 56–65 | −0.83 (−1.45–−0.21) | 0.009 | −0.29 (−0.90–0.31) | 0.34 |
| 66–75 | −1.33 (−1.96–−0.70) | <0.001 | −0.81 (−1.39–−0.23) | 0.006 |
| ≥76 | −3.44 (−4.94–−1.94) | <0.001 | −1.76 (−2.48–−1.04) | <0.001 |
| Men | 0.43 (−0.08–0.93) | 0.10 | 0.36 (−0.08–0.79) | 0.11 |
| Nass chewers | −0.72 (−1.68–0.24) | 0.14 | −1.07 (−1.78–−0.36) | 0.003 |
Correlation coefficients and p-values come from multivariate logistic models in which all other variables listed in the table (excluding the interaction) and stage of ESCC (I/II, III, IV, unknown) were included. Reference categories were rural dwellers, Turkmens, age <56 years, women and those who never chewed nass.