| Literature DB >> 21801351 |
Livio Azzoni1, Andrea S Foulkes2, Cynthia Firnhaber3, Xiangfan Yin1, Nigel J Crowther4, Deborah Glencross5, Denise Lawrie5, Wendy Stevens5, Emmanouil Papasavvas1, Ian Sanne3, Luis J Montaner1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The degree of immune reconstitution achieved in response to suppressive ART is associated with baseline individual characteristics, such as pre-treatment CD4 count, levels of viral replication, cellular activation, choice of treatment regimen and gender. However, the combined effect of these variables on long-term CD4 recovery remains elusive, and no single variable predicts treatment response. We sought to determine if adiposity and molecules associated with lipid metabolism may affect the response to ART and the degree of subsequent immune reconstitution, and to assess their ability to predict CD4 recovery.Entities:
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Year: 2011 PMID: 21801351 PMCID: PMC3163506 DOI: 10.1186/1758-2652-14-37
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Int AIDS Soc ISSN: 1758-2652 Impact factor: 5.396
Baseline (pre-ART) cohort characteristics
| Variable | 25th quantile | Median | 75th quantile | Mean | Standard deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender (female/male ratio) | 2.29 (48/21) | ||||
| Age (years) | 29.0 | 33.0 | 39.0 | 34.6 | 8.2 |
| Baseline CD4 count (cells/mm3) | 221.0 | 243.0 | 292.0 | 259.8 | 61.6 |
| Baseline log10 VL | 4.0 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 4.5 | 0.8 |
| Total fat mass (DEXA, g) | 9356.1 | 19451.7 | 28589.5 | 20719.7 | 11801.5 |
| Total lean mass (DEXA, g) | 39458.8 | 42455.1 | 48867.2 | 43582.5 | 6038.0 |
| Fat ratio (DEXA, %) | 16.2 | 32.7 | 39.5 | 29.6 | 12.6 |
| Total abdominal fat (MRI, cm2) | 144.0 | 294.7 | 414.6 | 311.3 | 191.3 |
| Cholesterol (mmol/L) | 3.1 | 3.5 | 4 | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| HDL-associated cholesterol (mmol/L) | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| LDL-associated cholesterol (mmol/L) | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Triglycerides (mmol/L) | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| LDL/HDL cholesterol ratio | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| Waist circumference (cm) | 73.0 | 78.5 | 87.5 | 80.9 | 11.3 |
| Waist/hip ratio | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Fasting glucose (mmol/l) | 4.0 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 0.6 |
| BMI (kg/m2) | 24.5 | 26.8 | 29.9 | 28.1 | 5.1 |
| CD95+ CD8+ T cells (%) | 81.9 | 89.9 | 95.9 | 85.7 | 14.6 |
Association of baseline variables with ΔCD4: model fitting with single variables
| Predictor | Estimate | Pr(> |t|) | Adjusted R2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | -2.773 | 1.751 | 0.1180 | 0.0217 |
| Sex | -26.283 | 31.231 | 0.4030 | -0.0043 |
| CD4BL | -0.607 | 0.224 | 0.0085 | 0.0854 |
| Log10VL | 56.048 | 17.110 | 0.0017 | 0.1252 |
| Total fat mass (DEXA) | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.8935 | -0.0147 |
| Total lean mass (DEXA) | -0.002 | 0.002 | 0.3068 | 0.0009 |
| Total fat % (DEXA) | 0.745 | 1.148 | 0.5184 | -0.0086 |
| Total abdominal fat (MRI) | -0.007 | 0.076 | 0.9293 | -0.0148 |
| LDL/HDL ratio | -9.432 | 5.358 | 0.0829 | 0.0299 |
| Waist circumference | -1.128 | 1.281 | 0.3817 | -0.0033 |
| Waist/hip ratio | -458.084 | 183.071 | 0.0148 | 0.0718 |
| Fasting glucose | -28.171 | 23.307 | 0.2310 | 0.0067 |
| BMI | -0.962 | 2.828 | 0.7348 | -0.0132 |
| CD95+ CD8+ T cells | 3.136 | 0.919 | 0.0011 | 0.1354 |
Figure 1Effect of BMI on the time to ART-mediated suppression. The proportion (%) of viremic subjects was assessed at each study visit for six months following ART initiation. Kaplan-Meier curves are displayed for normal/underweight (BMI < 25 kg/m2; n = 21; continuous line), overweight (BMI 25-30 kg/m2; n = 31; dashed line) and obese (BMI > 30 kg/m2; n = 17; dotted line). Differences between curves are not significant.
Adjusted R2 for linear models of ΔCD4
| Variable(s) included as predictors | Adjusted R2 | -2 log ^L |
|---|---|---|
| CD4BL | 0.0854 | 847.28 |
| log10VL | 0.1252 | 844.20 |
| CD4BL + log10VL | 0.1828 | 838.47 |
| CD4BL + log10VL + (CD4BL × Log10VL)a | 0.2190 | 834.29 |
| CD4BL + log10VL + (CD4BL × Log10VL) + Waist/hip ratio | 0.2453 | 830.85 |
| CD4BL + log10VL + (CD4BL × Log10VL) + LDL/HDL ratio | 0.3380 | 828.08 |
| CD4BL + log10VL + (CD4BL × Log10VL) + CD8+CD95+ T cells | 0.2751 | 821.81 |
| CD4BL + log10VL + (CD4BL × Log10VL) + LDL/HDL ratio + Waist/hip ratio | 0.3673 | 817.60 |
| CD4BL + log10VL + (CD4BL × Log10VL) + LDL/HDL ratio + Waist/hip ratio + CD8+CD95+ T cells | 0.4377 | 808.36 |
a: interaction term
Figure 2Mixed effect modelling of the effect of baseline CD4 percentile and viral load on CD4+ T cell reconstitution. The complete model (Table 3) was fitted to the data: linear predicted ΔCD4 as a function of log10VL is plotted for baseline CD4 count = 25th quantile (circles), 50 quantile (squares) and 75 quantile (triangles) of the baseline CD4 distribution.
Multivariable analysis: complete model parameter estimates
| Coefficient | Estimate | Standard error | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | -721.3331 | 372.7459 | 0.0575 |
| CD4BL | 2.8829 | 1.2345 | 0.0228 |
| log10VLBL | 238.3317 | 72.7549 | 0.0017 |
| CD4BL × log10VLBL | -0.7369 | 0.2753 | 0.0095 |
| LDL/HDL ratio | -17.3449 | 4.2669 | 0.0001 |
| Waist/hip ratio | -294.0370 | 146.6771 | 0.0494 |
| CD95+ CD8+ T cells | 2.3330 | 0.7827 | 0.0041 |
Adjusted R2 = 0.4377