Literature DB >> 21772131

Risk factors for mortality in major digestive surgery in the elderly: a multicenter prospective study.

Jean-Jacques Duron1, Emmanuelle Duron, Thimothée Dugue, José Pujol, Fabrice Muscari, Denis Collet, Patrick Pessaux, Jean-Marie Hay.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To identify the mortality risk factors of elderly patients (≥65 years old) during major digestive surgery, as defined according to the complexity of the operation.
BACKGROUND: In the aging populations of developed countries, the incidence rate of major digestive surgery is currently on the rise and is associated with a high mortality rate. Consequently, validated indicators must be developed to improve elderly patients' surgical care and outcomes.
METHODS: We acquired data from a multicenter prospective cohort that included 3322 consecutive patients undergoing major digestive surgery across 47 different facilities. We assessed 27 pre-, intra-, and postoperative demographic and clinical variables. A multivariate analysis was used to identify the independent risk factors of mortality in elderly patients (n = 1796). Young patients were used as a control group, and the end-point was defined as 30-day postoperative mortality.
RESULTS: In the entire cohort, postoperative mortality increased significantly among patients aged 65-74 years, and an age ≥65 years was by itself an independent risk factor for mortality (odds ratio [OR], 2.21; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.36-3.59; P = 0.001). The mortality rate among elderly patients was 10.6%. Six independent risk factors of mortality were characteristic of the elderly patients: age ≥85 years (OR, 2.62; 95% CI, 1.08-6.31; P = 0.032), emergency (OR, 3.42; 95% CI, 1.67-6.99; P = 0.001), anemia (OR, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.02-3.17; P = 0.041), white cell count > 10,000/mm³ (OR, 1.90; 95% CI, 1.08-3.35; P = 0.024), ASA class IV (OR, 9.86; 95% CI, 1.77-54.7; P = 0.009) and a palliative cancer operation (OR, 4.03; 95% CI, 1.99-8.19; P < 0.001).
CONCLUSION: Characterization of independent validated risk indicators for mortality in elderly patients undergoing major digestive surgery is essential and may lead to an efficient specific workup, which constitutes a necessary step to developing a dedicated score for elderly patients.

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Year:  2011        PMID: 21772131     DOI: 10.1097/SLA.0b013e318226a959

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Ann Surg        ISSN: 0003-4932            Impact factor:   12.969


  42 in total

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