| Literature DB >> 21637836 |
Julia Hussein1, Jacqueline Bell, Maureen Dar Iang, Natasha Mesko, Jenny Amery, Wendy Graham.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: A decline in the national maternal mortality ratio in Nepal has been observed from surveys conducted between 1996 and 2008. This paper aims to assess the plausibility of the decline and to identify drivers of change.Entities:
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Year: 2011 PMID: 21637836 PMCID: PMC3102673 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0019898
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Figure 1Estimates of maternal mortality with 95% confidence intervals, Nepal.
National and sub-national maternal mortality ratios, Nepal.
| Maternal mortality ratio | |||
| Area | 1993 | 2003 | Difference(95% Confidence interval) |
| All | 539 | 281 | 258 (91,507) |
| Rural | 513 | 284 | 228 (−8,465) |
| Hill | 408 | 287 | 121 (−180,423) |
| Terai (plains) | 645 | 284 | 361 (36,686) |
Data source: Nepal demographic and health surveys 1996 and 2006.
Timing of the estimates is 3.5 years prior to the dates of the surveys.
*Denotes statistical significance of difference at less than 5%.
Associations between maternal mortality rate or ratio and potential drivers of variation, Nepal.
| Drivers of variation | Maternal mortality ratioβ and R2 | Maternal mortality rateβ and R2 |
| % Professional delivery care | 38 | −0.173 |
| % Hospital delivery | 8.4 | −0.174 |
| % Health facility delivery | 93 | −0.086 |
| % Emergency obstetric care facility delivery | 0.87 | 0.0001 0.000 |
| % Caesarean section delivery | 0.760 | −0.003 |
| % Met need for emergency obstetric care | 0.942 | 0.0006 |
| Mean birth order | −28 | 0.026 |
| Mean wealth quintile | 5.8 | −0.015 |
| Mean total children born | −12 | 0.035 |
| Mean age at first birth | −44 | 0.023 |
| Mean haemoglobin | −2.50 | −0.0008 |
| % anaemia moderate/severe | 118 | −0.095 |
| % any birth preparation | −4.38 | 0.0048 |
| Human Development Index (regional) | −713 | −1.176 |
| Gross Domestic Product (regional) | 5.48 0.000 | 0.071 |
| Gender Empowerment Measure (regional) | −575 | −0.714 |
| General Fertility Rate | 1.12 | 0.003 |
Data source: Maternal mortality and morbidity survey, 2008 weighted by number of live births. β is the slope of the regression line and R2 the coefficient of determination.
**Denotes statistical significance of difference at less than 1%.
Drivers are of district variation unless stated otherwise, depending on availability of data.
Figure 2National fertility rate and contraceptive coverage, Nepal.
Figure 3Maternal mortality rate by fertility for eight districts in Nepal.
National and sub-national maternal mortality rates, Nepal.
| Maternal mortality rate | |||
| Area | 1993 | 2003 | Difference(95% Confidence interval) |
| All | 0.872 | 0.333 | 0.54 (0.2,0.9) |
| Rural | 0.882 | 0.361 | 0.52 (0.2,0.9) |
| Hill | 0.666 | 0.315 | 0.35 (−0.1,0.8) |
| Terai | 1.007 | 0.339 | 0.67 (0.2,1.1) |
Data source: Nepal Demographic and Health Surveys 1996 and 2006.
Timing of the estimates is 3.5 years prior to the dates of the surveys.
*Denotes statistical significance of difference at less than 5%.
Figure 4Changes in pregnancy related risk factors over time, Nepal.
Figure 5Trends in obstetric care indicators for selected districts, Nepal.
Figure 6Estimates of maternal mortality ratio by births with a health professional for eight districts in Nepal.
Figure 7Regional estimates of changes in Caesarean section rates, Nepal.
Trend in Nepal's national estimate of maternal mortality rate, adjusted for respondent characteristics using Poisson regression.
| Adjusted for: | Incidence rate ratio (95% Confidence interval) |
| (reference) | 2.69 (1.8,4.0) |
| education | 2.15 (1.4,3.3) |
| wealth quintile | 1.92 (1.2,3.0) |
| rurality | 2.61 (1.8,3.8) |
| eco zone | 2.72 (1.9,4.0) |
Data source: Nepal demographic and health surveys 1996 and 2006.
maternal mortality rate from the later survey was used as the reference, so the incidence rate ratio in the earlier survey was 2.69 times greater.
**denotes statistical significance at p<0.001;
*p<0.01.
Non-maternal mortality, women of reproductive age, Nepal.
| Non maternal mortality, women of reproductive age | |||
| Area | 1993 | 2003 | Difference (95% confidence intervals) |
| All | 3.84 | 2.12 | 1.72 (0.9,2.5) |
| Rural | 3.97 | 2.27 | 1.71 (0.9,2.6) |
| Hill | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.50 (0.4,2.6) |
| Terai | 4.45 | 2.24 | 2.20 (1.1,3.7) |
Data source: Nepal demographic and health surveys 1996 and 2006.
Timing of the estimates is 3.5 years prior to the dates of the surveys.
*Denotes statistical significance of difference at less than 5%.