| Literature DB >> 21539729 |
Marije F Bakker1, Suzanne M M Verstappen, Paco M J Welsing, Johannes W G Jacobs, Zalima N Jahangier, Maaike J van der Veen, Johannes W J Bijlsma, Floris P J G Lafeber.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to investigate whether serum biomarker levels of C2C, C1,2C, CS846, and CPII can predict the long-term course of disease activity and radiographic progression early in the disease course of rheumatoid arthritis (RA).Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2011 PMID: 21539729 PMCID: PMC3218879 DOI: 10.1186/ar3331
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Arthritis Res Ther ISSN: 1478-6354 Impact factor: 5.156
Overview of the literature on the (significant) relation between biomarker and radiographic progression
| Author | Population | Biomarker | Classification | Results | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syversen | RA ≤4 yr | 136 | C2C (baseline serum) | SHS rapid >1 vs. slow <1 | NS |
| (radiographic progression per yr, progression change baseline to 5 or 10 yr) | |||||
| Mullan | RA | 45 | C2C (baseline,1, 3, 6, 9,12-mo serum) | C2C ↑ at 1, 3 mo | |
| PsA | 17 | C1,2C | C1,2C ↑ at 1, 3 mo | ||
| (mean 11 yr, DAS28 >3.2) | CPII | NS | |||
| ΔCOL (ΔC2C + ΔC1,2C + ΔCPII) | ΔCOL ↑ at 1, 3, 6, 9 mo | ||||
| Verstappen | RA ≤1 yr | 87 | C2C (1, 2, 3, 4-yr serum) | C2C ↑ | |
| C1,2C | C1,2C ↑ | ||||
| CS846 | CS846 ↑ | ||||
| CPII | NS | ||||
| Ishiguro | RA | 63 | C2C (knee SF) | Mild vs. moderate vs. severe RA | NS |
| (mean 10 yr) | CS846 | Mild vs. moderate RA | CS846 ↓ | ||
| CPII | Mild vs. moderate vs. severe RA | NS | |||
| (Larsen score: 0, 1 = mild; 2, 3 = moderate; 4, 5 = severe) | |||||
| Mansson | RA ≤2 yr | 18 | CS846 (baseline serum) | Rapid vs. slow hip-joint radiographic progression | CS846 ↓ |
| CPII | (Larsen score: rapid = 46; slow = 4 at 2 yr) | NS |
Number, number of patients investigated in the studies; DAS28, disease activity score based on 28 joints; mo, month; NS, not significant. PsA, psoriatic arthritis; RA, rheumatoid arthritis; SF, synovial fluid; SHS, SharpvanderHeijde score; yr, year.
Overview of the literature on the (significant) relation between biomarker and the disease activity
| Author | Population | Biomarker | Classification | Results | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mullan | RA | 45 | C2C (baseline,1, 3, 6, 9,12-mo serum) | C2C ↓ | |
| PsA | 17 | C1,2C | NS | ||
| (mean 11 yr, DAS28 > 3.2) | CPII | NS | |||
| ΔCOL (ΔC2C + ΔC1, 2C + ΔCPII) | ΔCOL ↓ | ||||
| Mullan | RA | 45 | C2C (baseline,1, 3, 6, 9, 12-mo serum) | C2C ↓ at 1 mo | |
| PsA | 17 | C1,2C | C1,2C ↓ at 1 mo | ||
| (mean, 11 yr, | CPII | NS | |||
| DAS28 > 3.2) | ΔCOL (ΔC2C + ΔC1,2C + ΔCPII) | ΔCOL ↓ change 1 mo |
DAS28, disease activity score based on 28 joints; mo, month; NS, not significant; number, number of patients investigated in the studies; PsA, psoriatic arthritis; RA, rheumatoid arthritis; SF, synovial fluid; yr, year.
Clinical and biomarker characteristics obtained at baseline and follow-up of all available patients
| Characteristic | No. = 133 | |
|---|---|---|
| Female gender (%) | 87 (65) | |
| Age (years) | 53 (14) | |
| RF positivity (%) | 87 (65) | |
| Baseline DAS28 | 5.6 (1.0) | |
| Baseline joint damage | 0.0 (0.0-0.0) | |
| EULAR good responders (%) | 50 (38) | |
| EULAR moderate responders (%) | 58 (44) | |
| EULAR no responders (%) | 24 (18) | |
| Time-averaged DAS28 | 3.0 (0.9) | |
| Radiographic progression rate | 1.0 (0.0-3.4) | |
| C2C (ng/ml) | Baseline | 90 (71-124) |
| 1 yr | 86 (70-109) | |
| C1,2C (ng/ml) | Baseline | 359 (286-427) |
| 1 yr | 349 (269-415) | |
| CS846 (ng/ml) | Baseline | 100 (68-155) |
| 1 yr | 113 (69-183) | |
| CPII (ng/ml) | Baseline | 335 (207-551) |
| 1 yr | 436 (220-613) |
Mean (SD) is shown for age and (baseline and time-averaged) DAS28; median (IQR) is shown for all other (non-normally distributed) continuous variables. For all categoric variables, number (%) of patients is shown. The EULAR response was determined after 6 months of treatment; time-averaged DAS28 and radiographic progression rate were calculated over 5 years of treatment; all other variables were determined at baseline unless otherwise stated. RF, rheumatoid factor; DAS28, disease activity score based on 28 joints.
Association between biomarker values and the long-term outcome measures
| Long-term outcome (5 years after treatment) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yearly radiographic progression rate | Time-averaged DAS28 | ||||||
| C2C | Baseline | 126 | 0.08 | -0.28 to 0.44 | 120 | 0.11 | -0.25 to 0.47 |
| 1 yr | 126 | -0.23 | -0.67 to 0.20 | 120 | 0.18 | -0.25 to 0.61 | |
| Change | 126 | 120 | 0.04 | -0.52 to 0.60 | |||
| C1,2C | Baseline | 126 | 120 | 0.10 | -0.40 to 0.60 | ||
| 1 yr | 127 | 0.14 | -0.36 to 0.65 | 121 | 0.22 | -0.29 to 0.73 | |
| Change | 126 | 120 | 0.33 | -0.52 to 1.18 | |||
| CS846 | Baseline | 127 | -0.06 | -0.27 to 0.16 | 121 | -0.08 | -0.29 to 0.14 |
| 1 yr | 126 | -0.07 | -0.29 to 0.15 | 120 | -0.03 | -0.26 to 0.20 | |
| Change | 126 | -0.01 | -0.23 to 0.21 | 120 | 0.05 | -0.18 to 0.28 | |
| CPII | Baseline | 124 | 0.14 | -0.07 to 0.35 | 118 | -0.05 | -0.26 to 0.17 |
| 1 yr | 125 | 0.13 | -0.09 to 0.34 | 119 | 0.10 | -0.12 to 0.31 | |
| Change | 122 | -0.07 | -0.34 to 0.20 | 122 | |||
| ZC2C + ZC1,2C | Baseline | 125 | 0.07 | -0.02 to 0.17 | |||
| 1 yr | 126 | 0.01 | -0.11 to 0.08 | ||||
| Change | 126 | ||||||
Biomarkers with B (95% confidence interval (CI)) values, which are shown in Bold type have a P value < 0.05 and have been included in the multiple regression analyses. Biomarkers values were determined at baseline, at 1 year, and the change between 1 year and baseline. Next are the sum and ratio scores (based on Z-values), determined when individual biomarkers had a significant association with the outcome in the initial analysis.
DAS28, disease activity score based on 28 joints; n, number of patients investigated; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval.
Added predictive value of biomarkers over already known predictors for mean yearly radiographic progression rate over 5 years of treatment
| Item | B | 95% CI | Standardized beta |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 0.54 | 0.12 to 0.96 | 0.013 | ||
| Treatment strategy | 0.13 | -0.16 to 0.43 | 0.08 | 0.375 | 0.000 |
| RF positive | 0.29 | -0.02 to 0.60 | 0.15 | 0.063 | 0.029 |
| Baseline joint damage | 0.09 | 0.06 to 0.13 | 0.44 | 0.211 | |
| EULAR good responsea | -0.36 | -0.78 to 0.07 | -0.20 | 0.100 | |
| EULAR moderate responsea | -0.13 | -0.52 to 0.27 | -0.07 | 0.534 | 0.229 |
| C1,2C change from 1 yr to baseline | -1.11 | -1.87 to -0.36 | -0.24 | 0. | 0.283 |
aEULAR nonresponse was used as reference category. 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; RF, rheumatoid factor.
Added predictive value of biomarkers over already known predictors for time-averaged disease activity (DAS28) over 5 years of treatment
| Item | B | 95% CI | Standardized beta |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 1.90 | 0.99 to 2.81 | 0.000 | ||
| Treatment strategy | -0.29 | -0.62 to 0.03 | -0.16 | 0.076 | 0.076 |
| RF positive | 0.35 | 0.02 to 0.68 | 0.18 | 0.098 | |
| Baseline disease activity | 0.25 | 0.10 to 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.169 | |
| EULAR good response | -0.84 | -1.30 to -0.37 | -0.46 | ||
| EULAR moderate response | -0.19 | -0.64 to 0.25 | -0.11 | 0.393 | 0.322 |
| CPII change 1 yr to baseline | 0.18 | -0.08 to 0.43 | 0.12 | 0.178 | 0.335 |
EULAR nonresponse was used as reference category. 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; RF, rheumatoid factor.