Literature DB >> 21352774

Modelling the spatial spread of H7N1 avian influenza virus among poultry farms in Italy.

I Dorigatti1, P Mulatti, R Rosà, A Pugliese, L Busani.   

Abstract

We analysed the between-farm transmission of the H7N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza virus that disrupted the Italian poultry production in the 1999-2000 epidemic with a SEIR model with a spatial transmission kernel, accounting for the containment measures actually undertaken. We found significant differences in susceptibility between species and a reduction in transmissibility after the first phase. We performed simulations to assess the effectiveness of the implemented and new control measures. The most effective measure was the ban on restocking. An earlier start of pre-emptive culling promotes eradication; restricted pre-emptive culling delays eradication but causes lower losses.
Copyright © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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Year:  2010        PMID: 21352774     DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2010.01.002

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Epidemics        ISSN: 1878-0067            Impact factor:   4.396


  13 in total

1.  An avian-only Filippov model incorporating culling of both susceptible and infected birds in combating avian influenza.

Authors:  Nyuk Sian Chong; Benoit Dionne; Robert Smith
Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  2016-02-10       Impact factor: 2.259

2.  Scientific Opinion on the assessment of the control measures of the category A diseases of Animal Health Law: Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza.

Authors:  Søren Saxmose Nielsen; Julio Alvarez; Dominique Joseph Bicout; Paolo Calistri; Klaus Depner; Julian Ashley Drewe; Bruno Garin-Bastuji; José Luis Gonzales Rojas; Christian Gortázar Schmidt; Mette Herskin; Virginie Michel; Miguel Ángel Miranda Chueca; Paolo Pasquali; Helen Clare Roberts; Liisa Helena Sihvonen; Hans Spoolder; Karl Stahl; Antonio Velarde Calvo; Arvo Viltrop; Christoph Winckler; Kris De Clercq; Eyal Klement; Jan Arend Stegeman; Simon Gubbins; Sotiria-Eleni Antoniou; Alessandro Broglia; Yves Van der Stede; Gabriele Zancanaro; Inma Aznar
Journal:  EFSA J       Date:  2021-01-18

3.  Regional Relative Risk, a Physics-Based Metric for Characterizing Airborne Infectious Disease Transmission.

Authors:  Michael B Dillon; Charles F Dillon
Journal:  Appl Environ Microbiol       Date:  2021-08-25       Impact factor: 4.792

4.  Emergence of a highly pathogenic avian influenza virus from a low-pathogenic progenitor.

Authors:  Isabella Monne; Alice Fusaro; Martha I Nelson; Lebana Bonfanti; Paolo Mulatti; Joseph Hughes; Pablo R Murcia; Alessia Schivo; Viviana Valastro; Ana Moreno; Edward C Holmes; Giovanni Cattoli
Journal:  J Virol       Date:  2014-02-05       Impact factor: 5.103

5.  Generating social network data using partially described networks: an example informing avian influenza control in the British poultry industry.

Authors:  Sema Nickbakhsh; Louise Matthews; Paul R Bessell; Stuart W J Reid; Rowland R Kao
Journal:  BMC Vet Res       Date:  2011-10-25       Impact factor: 2.741

6.  Elucidating the Local Transmission Dynamics of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza H5N6 in the Republic of Korea by Integrating Phylogenetic Information.

Authors:  Dae-Sung Yoo; Byungchul Chun; Kyung-Duk Min; Jun-Sik Lim; Oun-Kyoung Moon; Kwang-Nyeong Lee
Journal:  Pathogens       Date:  2021-06-02

7.  Spatial transmission of Swine Vesicular Disease virus in the 2006-2007 epidemic in Lombardy.

Authors:  Claudia Nassuato; Gert Jan Boender; Phaedra L Eblé; Loris Alborali; Silvia Bellini; Thomas J Hagenaars
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2013-05-07       Impact factor: 3.240

Review 8.  Using quantitative disease dynamics as a tool for guiding response to avian influenza in poultry in the United States of America.

Authors:  K M Pepin; E Spackman; J D Brown; K L Pabilonia; L P Garber; J T Weaver; D A Kennedy; K A Patyk; K P Huyvaert; R S Miller; A B Franklin; K Pedersen; T L Bogich; P Rohani; S A Shriner; C T Webb; S Riley
Journal:  Prev Vet Med       Date:  2013-12-01       Impact factor: 2.670

9.  A metapopulation model for highly pathogenic avian influenza: implications for compartmentalization as a control measure.

Authors:  S Nickbakhsh; L Matthews; S W J Reid; R R Kao
Journal:  Epidemiol Infect       Date:  2013-12-05       Impact factor: 2.451

10.  Potential impact of species and livestock density on the epidemic size and effectiveness of control measures for foot-and-mouth disease in Japan.

Authors:  Yoko Hayama; Takehisa Yamamoto; Sota Kobayashi; Norihiko Muroga; Toshiyuki Tsutsui
Journal:  J Vet Med Sci       Date:  2015-08-07       Impact factor: 1.267

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