Literature DB >> 21229285

Extreme temperatures and mortality in the North of Spain.

Inés Gómez-Acebo1, Javier Llorca, Paz Rodríguez-Cundín, Trinidad Dierssen-Sotos.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To study the relationship between mortality and temperature in Cantabria, a Spanish region that includes both rural and urban areas.
METHODS: Meteorological data (2003-2006) were obtained from the Spanish Meteorological Agency and daily numbers of deaths were obtained from the Spanish Institute for Statistics. A graphical approach using locally weighted regression smoothing was used to explore the relationship between mortality and temperatures and to identify temperature thresholds; we estimated the excess of mortality due to extreme temperatures in both warm and cold periods using Poisson regression models, and we simulated a situation with increased temperatures.
RESULTS: Raising maximum or minimum temperatures by 1ºC was associated with a 2% excess in mortality risk in the whole population throughout the warm period, and we found no effect in mortality on the cold season; almost all changes in mortality occur in people aged 65 or more. Women are more sensitive to temperature changes in the warmer months.
CONCLUSIONS: The deleterious effect of increasing temperatures in summer is more pronounced than the beneficial effect of a similar increase in winter.

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Year:  2011        PMID: 21229285     DOI: 10.1007/s00038-010-0229-1

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Int J Public Health        ISSN: 1661-8556            Impact factor:   3.380


  25 in total

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