| Literature DB >> 21194431 |
Teh I Huo1, Chia Y Hsu, Yi H Huang, Chien W Su, Han C Lin, Rheun C Lee, Yi Y Chiou, Jen H Chiang, Pui C Lee, Shou D Lee.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The size and number of tumors are important prognostic indicators for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, it is difficult to assess the prognosis for patients with a variable number and size of tumors. By combining these two factors, we investigated the role and prognostic accuracy of total tumor volume (TTV) for HCC.Entities:
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Year: 2010 PMID: 21194431 PMCID: PMC3022616 DOI: 10.1186/1471-230X-10-146
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Gastroenterol ISSN: 1471-230X Impact factor: 3.067
Baseline demographics
| Number of patients | 786 |
| Age (mean ± SD years; range) | 67 ± 12 (27-92) |
| Male/female (%) | 73/27 |
| Underlying liver disease (%) | |
| HBsAg-positive | 393 (50) |
| HBsAg-negative | |
| Anti-HCV-positive | 265 (34) |
| Anti-HCV-negative | 128 (16) |
| Tumoral characteristics (%) | |
| Single lesion | 500 (64) |
| Multi-nodular lesions | 286 (36) |
| Maximal tumor diameter | |
| ≤ 5 cm | 566 (72) |
| >5 cm | 220 (28) |
| Ascites (%) | |
| Yes | 101 (13) |
| No | 685 (87) |
| Serum AFP level (ng/mL) (%) | |
| Median (range) | 29 (2-10,032,600) |
| <20 | 344 (44) |
| 20 - 400 | 288 (37) |
| >400 | 154 (19) |
| Performance status (%) | |
| ECOG scale 0 | 590 (75) |
| ECOG scale 1-3 | 196 (25) |
| Serum biochemistries (mean ± SD) | |
| Albumin (g/dL) | 3.7 ± 0.6 |
| Bilirubin (mg/dL) | 1.1 ± 1.0 |
| Creatinine (mg/dL) | 1.3 ± 3.2 |
| Prothrombin time INR | 1.1 ± 0.3 |
| ALT (IU/L) | 69 ± 68 |
| AST (IU/L) | 52 ± 44 |
| Child-Pugh-Turcotte class (%) | |
| A | 639 (81) |
| B | 147 (19) |
| MELD score (mean ± SD; range) (%) | 9.3 ± 3.1 (6.4-23.9) |
| <8 | 336 (43) |
| 8-11 | 215 (27) |
| >11 | 235 (30) |
| Vascular invasion (%) | |
| No | 699 (9) |
| Yes | 87 (91) |
| CLIP staging (%) | |
| Score 0 | 266 (34) |
| Score 1 | 276 (35) |
| Score 2 | 141 (18) |
| Score 3 | 66 (8) |
| Score 4 or 5 | 37 (5) |
| Total tumor volume (cm3) (%) | |
| Mean ± SD (range) | 177 ± 436 (0.1-3,591) |
| Median | 21 |
| <10 | 297 (38) |
| 10-50 | 226 (29) |
| 50-200 | 121 (15) |
| 200-500 | 57 (7) |
| >500 | 85 (11) |
| Treatment (%) | |
| PAI or PEI | 79 (10) |
| RFA | 221 (28) |
| TACE | 471 (60) |
| More than one methods | 15 (2) |
Distribution of the number and size of tumor and total tumor volume
| Maximal tumor diameter (cm) | p | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <3 | 3-6 | >6 | ||
| One nodule | ||||
| No. of patients | 238 | 148 | 114 | |
| Total tumor volume | 5 ± 4 | 44 ± 29 | 730 ± 692 | <0.001a |
| (median) | (4) | (34) | (524) | |
| Two nodules | ||||
| No. of patients | 73 | 45 | 32 | |
| Total tumor volume | 7 ± 5d | 53 ± 29 | 720 ± 746 | <0.001b |
| (median) | (6) | (51) | (372) | |
| Three nodules | ||||
| No. of patients | 34 | 22 | 10 | |
| Total tumor volume | 7 ± 5e | 45 ± 29 | 472 ± 429 | <0.001c |
| (median) | (6) | (33) | (278) | |
| Four or more nodules | ||||
| No. of patients | 34 | 21 | 15 | |
| Total tumor volume | 10 ± 6f | 59 ± 41 | 937 ± 719 | |
| (median) | (11) | (66) | (703) | |
| p | <0.001 | 0.054 | 0.177 | |
Kruskal-Wallis test with post-test: a, b and c: p values all <0.05 for pairwise comparison between the 3 groups; d vs e, d vs f and e vs f: p values all >0.05.
Figure 1Association of the total tumor volume (TTV) with serum AFP level (panel A), vascular invasion (panel B), MELD (panel C) and Child score (panel D). AFP level and vascular invasion, but not MELD and Child score, were significantly associated with TTV. Data were expressed as median (horizontal bars) and 25% to 75% percentile of the distribution (lower and upper margin of the square); the upper and lower vertical bars indicate 90% and 10% percentile of the distribution, respectively.
Significance of the prognostic predictors in the univariate survival analysis
| Parameters | No. of patients | Survival rate (%) | p | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-yr | 4-yr | |||
| Age (years) | 0.795 | |||
| >60 | 554 | 68 | 39 | |
| ≤ 60 | 232 | 70 | 37 | |
| Gender | 0.713 | |||
| Male | 576 | 69 | 42 | |
| Female | 210 | 71 | 29 | |
| HBsAg | 0.589 | |||
| Positive | 393 | 68 | 42 | |
| Negative | 393 | 70 | 34 | |
| Ascites | <0.001 | |||
| Yes | 101 | 50 | 11 | |
| No | 685 | 72 | 42 | |
| Performance status | <0.001 | |||
| ECOG 0 | 590 | 75 | 45 | |
| ECOG 1 or higher | 196 | 51 | 10 | |
| Vascular invasion | <0.001 | |||
| Yes | 87 | 35 | 22 | |
| No | 699 | 72 | 41 | |
| AFP (ng/mL) | <0.001 | |||
| >100 | 253 | 58 | 33 | |
| <100 | 533 | 74 | 42 | |
| MELD score | 0.04 | |||
| >10 | 234 | 62 | 36 | |
| <10 | 552 | 72 | 40 | |
| CTP score | <0.001 | |||
| 5 | 451 | 75 | 50 | |
| 6 or higher | 335 | 60 | 25 | |
| ALT (IU/L) | 0.934 | |||
| >40 | 499 | 70 | 38 | |
| ≤ 40 | 287 | 67 | 40 | |
| AST (IU/L) | 0.001 | |||
| >40 | 551 | 65 | 31 | |
| ≤ 40 | 235 | 77 | 52 | |
| Total tumor volume (cm3) | <0.001 | |||
| <10 | 297 | 80 | 48 | |
| 10-50 | 226 | 74 | 47 | |
| 50-200 | 121 | 56 | 25 | |
| 200-500 | 57 | 54 | - | |
| >500 | 85 | 34 | 10 | |
Adjusted relative risks of the prognostic predictors in the Cox proportional hazards model
| Predictors | Regression coefficient | Standard error | Relative risk | 95% CI | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Child score ≥ 6 | 0.51 | 0.15 | 1.67 | 1.25-2.23 | <0.001 |
| ECOG scale ≥ 1 | 0.79 | 0.15 | 2.20 | 1.63-2.97 | <0.001 |
| Vascular invasion | 0.76 | 0.20 | 2.14 | 1.44-3.19 | <0.001 |
| AFP > 100 ng/mL | 0.40 | 0.15 | 1.50 | 1.13-1.99 | 0.006 |
| Total tumor volume | |||||
| <10 cm3 | - | - | 1 | - | - |
| 10-50 cm3 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 1.13 | 0.78-1.65 | 0.514 |
| 50-200 cm3 | 0.55 | 0.21 | 1.74 | 1.15-2.64 | 0.009 |
| 200-500 cm3 | 0.77 | 0.28 | 2.15 | 1.24-3.72 | 0.006 |
| >500 cm3 | 1.37 | 0.22 | 3.92 | 2.55-6.03 | <0.001 |
Figure 2Comparison of the survival rates between five groups of patients with different total tumor volumes.
Risk score assessment according to the original and total tumor volume (TTV)-based CLIP scoring system
| Parameters | Original CLIP | TTV-based CLIP |
|---|---|---|
| Tumor morphology | ||
| Single and <50% liver span | 0 | - |
| Multiple and <50% liver span | 1 | - |
| ≥ 50% liver span | 2 | - |
| Total tumor volume | ||
| <50 cm3 | - | 0 |
| 50-200 cm3 | - | 1 |
| 200-500 cm3 | - | 2 |
| >500 cm3 | - | 3 |
| Serum AFP level (ng/mL) | ||
| <400 | 0 | 0 |
| ≥ 400 | 1 | 1 |
| Macroscopic vascular invasion | ||
| No | 0 | 0 |
| Yes | 1 | 1 |
| CTP class | ||
| A | 0 | 0 |
| B | 1 | 1 |
| C | 2 | 2 |
The score range is 0-6 for the original CLIP and 0-7 for TTV-based CLIP scoring system.
Figure 3Comparison of the survival distributions between different score groups in the original and modified CLIP systems. There was a significant difference in the survival distribution across all score groups in the original (p < 0.001; panel A) and TTV-based (p < 0.001; panel B) CLIP scoring system. The survival significantly tended to be worse with increasing scores in both models.