| Literature DB >> 21173871 |
Abstract
Diagnostic blocks are used to identify patients with back pain stemming from their lumbar zygapophysial joints. Single, diagnostic blocks have an unacceptably high false positive rate. As well, comparative local anaesthetic blocks lack validity because the prevalence of the condition is low. Relying on 50% relief following single-diagnostic blocks does not provide a valid diagnosis. Placebo-controlled blocks are the only available valid means of establishing a diagnosis of lumbar zygapophysial joint pain.Entities:
Year: 2010 PMID: 21173871 PMCID: PMC2990543 DOI: 10.3410/M2-57
Source DB: PubMed Journal: F1000 Med Rep ISSN: 1757-5931
Outcomes of a diagnostic test illustrating how diagnostic confidence diminishes with prevalence
| Prevalence | Test | Condition | Diagnostic confidence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Present | Absent | |||
| 60% | Positive | 600 | 140 | 81% |
| Negative | 0 | 260 | ||
| 600 | 400 | |||
| 40% | Positive | 400 | 210 | 66% |
| Negative | 0 | 390 | ||
| 400 | 600 | |||
| 20% | Positive | 200 | 280 | 42% |
| Negative | 0 | 520 | ||
| 200 | 800 | |||
| 10% | Positive | 100 | 315 | 24% |
| Negative | 0 | 585 | ||
| 100 | 900 | |||
| 5% | Positive | 50 | 282 | 15% |
| Negative | 0 | 618 | ||
| 50 | 950 | |||
A demonstration of the outcomes of a diagnostic test, with a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 65%, when applied to a sample of 1000 patients, illustrating how diagnostic confidence diminishes with prevalence. Diagnostic confidence is the certainty with which the investigator can estimate that a positive result is true positive, rather than false positive, and is the number of patients who have the condition and who report a positive response, as a proportion of the total number of positive responses.