| Literature DB >> 21070660 |
Agnihotram V Ramanakumar1, Otelinda Goncalves, Harriet Richardson, Pierre Tellier, Alex Ferenczy, François Coutlée, Eduardo L Franco.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: HPV burden is a predictor for high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia and cancer. The natural history of HPV load in young women being recently exposed to HPV is described in this paper.Entities:
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Year: 2010 PMID: 21070660 PMCID: PMC2993709 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2334-10-326
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Infect Dis ISSN: 1471-2334 Impact factor: 3.090
Figure 1HPV loads (HPV DNA copies per cell) at enrolment and at follow-up visits (total 5 visits) among HPV-positive women for the 4 genotypes studied (Y-axis in log scale). The length of each box corresponds to the interquartile range, with the top boundary of the box representing 75th and bottom boundary the 25th percentile. The horizontal line in the box indicates the median value. Outlier values are shown in circles outside the boxes.
Between-visit correlation coefficients of HPV type-specific and combined viral load measurements at entry and follow-up visits in the McGill-Concordia cohort.
| Correlation coefficient with visit at | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HPV type | Visit at | 6 months | 12 months | 18 months | 24 months |
| 16 | Entry | 0.5232* (30) | 0.3181 (20) | 0.2046 (14) | 0.4583 (6) |
| 6 months | 0.7561** (27) | 0.6764** (21) | 0.4282 (10) | ||
| 12 months | 0.8295** (30) | 0.5810* (17) | |||
| 18 months | 0.8043** (24) | ||||
| 18 | Entry | 0.0103 (10) | 0.5481 (5) | ND | ND |
| 6 months | 0.3132 (11) | 0.6612 (5) | 0.2290 (4) | ||
| 12 months | 0.0173 (8) | 0.1732 (6) | |||
| 18 months | 0.1655 (8) | ||||
| 31 | Entry | 0.9562** (6) | 0.4242 (5) | 0.5133 (5) | 0.2410 (3) |
| 6 months | 0.2427 (6) | 0.8063* (5) | 0.5138 (5) | ||
| 12 months | 0.1930 (11) | 0.3575 (7) | |||
| 18 months | 0.7289* (12) | ||||
| 45 | Entry | 0.3648 (6) | ND | ND | ND |
| 6 months | 0.7376 (3) | ND | ND | ||
| 12 months | ND | 0.9745 (3) | ND | ||
| 18 months | ND | ||||
| Above HPV types combined | Entry | 0.4122* (53) | 0.4044* (37) | 0.3769* (23) | 0.6103* (12) |
| 6 months | 0.6190** (49) | 0.6126** (36) | 0.2280 (22) | ||
| 12 months | 0.5752** (49) | 0.1391 (33) | |||
| 18 Months | 0.4116* (44) | ||||
HPV loads were measured with type-specific PCR assays and expressed as logarithmic transformation before computing correlations. Pearson correlation coefficients are shown with number of visit pairs jointly positive for the stated type or combination in parenthesis. ND: not determined because only 2 pairs were evaluable.
* denotes significance at 5% level of significance; ** denotes significance at 1% level of statistical significance.
Figure 2Between-visit correlation graphs of viral load measurements of four combined HPV types (HPV-16, 18, 31, 45) at enrolment and follow-up visits (see material and methods). For example, the upper left graph shows viral load at entry versus viral load at 6 months, the lower left graph shows viral load at entry versus viral load at 24 months.
Means of HPV viral loads according to selected characteristics at the first occurrence of positivity for a given HPV type
| HPV 16 | HPV 18 | HPV 31 | HPV 45 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Characteristic* | N | Mean | 95% CI | N | Mean | 95% CI | N | Mean | 95% CI | N | Mean | 95% CI |
| Age | ||||||||||||
| <25 years | 72 | 0.47 | 0.19-1.19 | 32 | 0.93 | 0.18-4.96 | 31 | 2.07 | 0.54-7.97 | 14 | 0.26 | 0.03-2.62 |
| 25+ years | 31 | 0.21 | 0.05-1.01 | 11 | 0.08 | 0.03-0.46 | 5 | 0.45 | 0.04-5.33 | 5 | 0.09 | 0.01-8.02 |
| Coinfection, other HPVs | ||||||||||||
| None # | 10 | 0.17 | 0.02-1.24 | 5 | 0.05 | 0.01-0.25 | 4 | 1.88 | 0.10-35.6 | 3 | 0.09 | 0.01-8.03 |
| Sequential | 56 | 0.56 | 0.18-1.70 | 21 | 1.61 | 0.14-18.18 | 17 | 1.29 | 0.12-14.1 | 8 | 0.06 | 0.00-3.37 |
| Concurrent | 38 | 0.25 | 0.06-0.93 | 17 | 0.62 | 0.05-7.09 | 15 | 1.76 | 0.29-10.9 | 8 | 0.41 | 0.00-18.58 |
| Smoking | ||||||||||||
| Never | 60 | 0.34 | 0.11-1.04 | 23 | 0.16 | 0.02-1.05 | 22 | 0.66 | 0.09-4.49 | 11 | 0.17 | 0.03-8.28 |
| Current | 25 | 0.79 | 0.21-2.91 | 15 | 1.29 | 0.18-9.36 | 8 | 1.80 | 0.38-8.56 | 3 | 0.32 | 0.05-2.46 |
| Former | 18 | 0.13 | 0.02-1.07 | 5 | 3.86 | 0.04-37.47 | 6 | 21.87 | 2.26-211.3 | 5 | 0.17 | 0.03-11.18 |
| Condom use | ||||||||||||
| No | 15 | 0.09 | 0.01-1.05 | 10 | 0.72 | 0.01-44.43 | 4 | 0.49 | 0.02-122. | 3 | 0.03 | 0.003-2.48 |
| Used sometimes | 44 | 0.78 | 0.21-2.82 | 17 | 0.35 | 0.04-3.34 | 13 | 6.09 | 0.70-53.1 | 12 | 0.33 | 0.02-6.19 |
| Regular use | 39 | 0.51 | 0.17-1.48 | 15 | 0.72 | 0.08-6.92 | 16 | 1.01 | 0.15-6.68 | 5 | 0.22 | 0.02-16.23 |
| Oral contraceptive use | ||||||||||||
| No | 23 | 0.28 | 0.04-1.80 | 13 | 0.22 | 0.02-2.18 | 10 | 0.51 | 0.04-2.09 | 7 | 0.13 | 0.01-1.57 |
| Infrequent | 63 | 0.42 | 0.16-1.08 | 25 | 0.69 | 0.13-3.65 | 21 | 0.91 | 0.19-4.34 | 10 | 0.46 | 0.02-9.44 |
| Regular | 7 | 1.10 | 0.18-67.6 | 4 | 1.92 | 1.3-3.82 | 4 | 7.4 | 2.08-26.7 | 2 | 0.98 | 0.01-54.21 |
| Sexual partners | ||||||||||||
| One | 5 | 0.05 | 0.01-6.12 | 5 | 0.02 | 0.04-9.03 | 2 | 0.80 | 0.03-205. | 5 | 0.06 | 0.01-3.60 |
| 2-3 | 24 | 0.72 | 0.16-3.16 | 7 | 2.30 | 0.04-146.1 | 13 | 3.32 | 0.31-34.9 | 2 | 0.06 | 0.005-6.57 |
| 4+ | 75 | 0.34 | 0.14-0.90 | 31 | 0.59 | 0.13-2.62 | 21 | 1.09 | 0.23-5.04 | 12 | 0.41 | 0.03-5.61 |
* Defined at the time of first occurrence of positivity for the stated HPV type.
# Concurrent coinfection defined as the detection of more than one HPV type in the cervical cell specimen collected at the first visit when the stated type was found. Sequential coinfection defined as additional HPV types detected at different visits than the one when the stated type was found.
Relative rates* of type-specific and combined HPV infection clearance according to viral load
| Relative rate (95%CI) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HPV type | Viral load tertile | No. of Events/No. Eligible cases | Unadjusted | Adjusted |
| 16 | Third | 5/27 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Second | 8/27 | 1.52 (0.49-4.69) | 1.31 (0.41-4.20) | |
| First | 13/27 | 2.55 (0.90-7.24) | 2.38 (0.82-6.89) | |
| 18 | Third | 4/13 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Second | 3/13 | 1.64 (0.31-8.78) | 1.14 (0.18-7.35) | |
| First | 11/13 | 4.76 (1.23-18.45) | 4.61 (1.17-18.05) | |
| 31 | Third | 6/10 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Second | 3/10 | 0.87 (0.21-3.69) | 0.80 (0.19-3.44) | |
| First | 2/9 | 0.67 (0.16-2.75) | 0.66 (0.15-2.97) | |
| 45 | Third | 3/6 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Second | 4/6 | 1.99 (0.21-19.02) | 1.59 (0.15-16.91) | |
| First | 3/6 | 2.25 (0.20-25.09) | 2.06 (0.17-24.27) | |
| Above HPV types combined | Third | 20/55 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Second | 22/55 | 1.45 (0.79-2.64) | 1.49 (0.81-2.74) | |
| First | 24/56 | 2.11 (1.16-3.86) | 2.21 (1.19-4.10) | |
* Using Cox proportional hazards regression. Rate of clearance for third viral load tertile (highest) taken as referent. For the analysis of combined types the observations are not independent and required a robust variance estimator. Adjusted relative rates were estimated in models that included age and sexual partners as covariates.
Figure 3Cumulative positivity rate for infections with HPV types 16, 18, 31, and 45 according to tertiles of cumulative viral load for these 4 types. Unit of analysis is an individual infection episode, which makes observations not independent as a subject may contribute multiple episodes. Dotted line: upper tertile; dashed line: middle; solid line: lower tertile viral load.
Odds ratios for associations between persistent HPV infection at visit (t) and viral load at visit (t-1) estimated via GEE models
| OR and 95% CI | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HPV type | Viral load tertile | No. of Events/No. Eligible cases | Crude | Adjusted* |
| 16 | First | 29/54 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Second | 42/54 | 2.97 (1.25-7.03) | 2.88 (1.22-6.87) | |
| Third | 40/54 | 2.47 (1.15-5.32) | 2.45 (1.14-5.26) | |
| 18 | First | 7/21 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Second | 13/21 | 5.24 (0.65-42.52) | 4.33 (0.80-23.61) | |
| Third | 17/21 | 10.23 (1.39-75.41) | 11.33 (1.90-67.59) | |
| 31 | First | 14/18 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Second | 13/18 | 0.73 (0.13-4.00) | 0.77 (0.15-3.80) | |
| Third | 8/18 | 0.22 (0.04-1.28) | 0.24 (0.05-1.28) | |
| 45 | First | 5/9 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Second | 4/10 | 0.66 (0.05-7.99) | 0.46 (0.04-5.02) | |
| Third | 5/8 | 1.97 (0.12-32.16) | 0.92 (0.06-14.02) | |
Events are considered as HPV infections with the stated type at visits at times t = 2, 3, 4, and 5 as a function of viral load determined at the preceding visit.
*Adjusted for age and number of lifetime sexual partners
Interference of background human DNA in quantitation of HPV-16 DNA with HPV-16 E6 and HPV-16 E2 real-time PCR assays.
| No. of copies of human DNA | Quantitation of 1000 copies of episomal HPV-16 DNA with real-time PCR assays | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 933 ± 13 | 1150 ± 39 |
| 8 × 103 | 1080 ± 35 | 1114 ± 7 |
| 1 × 104 | 1097 ± 38 | 1179 ± 148 |
| 2 × 104 | 1026 ± 149 | 1109 ± 59 |
| 4 × 104 | 1125 ± 15 | 1015 ± 46 |
| 6 × 104 | 1173 ± 10 | 820 ± 30 |
| 8 × 104 | 1151 ± 100 | 726 ± 19 |
| 1 × 105 | 1082 ± 82 | 787 ± 32 |
| 2 × 105 | 1071 ± 38 | 562 ± 20 |
1000 copies of HPV-16 DNA were amplified in a background of various copies of human DNA and detected in real-time PCR assays for quantitation of HPV-16 E6 and HPV-16 E2. Results are means ± 1 standard deviation of duplicate values. Repeat experiments gave similar results.