| Literature DB >> 20810805 |
Alain Nahum1, Annette Erhart, Ambroisine Mayé, Daniel Ahounou, Chantal van Overmeir, Joris Menten, Harry van Loen, Martin Akogbeto, Marc Coosemans, Achille Massougbodji, Umberto D'Alessandro.
Abstract
Clinical malaria incidence was determined over 18 months in a cohort of 553 children living in a peri-urban area near Cotonou. Three cross-sectional surveys were also carried out. Malaria incidence showed a marked seasonal distribution with two peaks: the first corresponding to the long rainy season, and the second corresponding to the overflowing of Lake Nokoue. The overall Plasmodium falciparum incidence rate was estimated at 84/1,000 person-months, and its prevalence was estimated at over 40% in the two first surveys and 68.9% in the third survey. Multivariate analysis showed that girls and people living in closed houses had a lower risk of clinical malaria. Bed net use was associated with a lower risk of malaria infection. Conversely, children of families owing a pirogue were at higher risk of clinical malaria. Considering the high pyrethroids resistance, indoor residual spraying with either a carbamate or an organophospate insecticide may have a major impact on the malaria burden.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2010 PMID: 20810805 PMCID: PMC2929036 DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.2010.09-0611
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Am J Trop Med Hyg ISSN: 0002-9637 Impact factor: 2.345
Figure 1.Study location in the coastal lagoon area near Cotonou, Republic of Benin, and spatial distribution of malaria cases by household. This figure appears in color at www.ajtmh.org.
Figure 2.Census characteristics and clinical malaria episodes diagnosed during the follow-up. No = number.
Baseline characteristics
| No | % | |
|---|---|---|
| No. of weeks observed | ||
| 0 | 30 | 5.4 |
| 1–19 | 75 | 13.6 |
| 20–39 | 93 | 16.8 |
| 40–59 | 259 | 46.8 |
| > 60 | 96 | 17.4 |
| Age (month) | ||
| ≤ 24 | 171 | 30.9 |
| 25–36 | 131 | 23.7 |
| 37–48 | 108 | 19.5 |
| 49–59 | 143 | 25.9 |
| Male/Female | 283/270 | 51.2/48.8 |
| Site | ||
| Toweta 1 | 291 | 52.6 |
| Toweta 2 | 125 | 22.6 |
| Ladji | 137 | 24.8 |
| Bed net use | 290 | 54.8 |
| Type of bed | ||
| Mat | 228 | 43.2 |
| Bed without mattress or mattress alone | 300 | 56.8 |
| Caregiver | ||
| Mother | 457 | 86.4 |
| Others | 72 | 13.6 |
| Caregiver's age (years) | ||
| < 25 | 139 | 26.3 |
| 26–30 | 185 | 35.0 |
| > 30 | 205 | 38.8 |
| Caregiver's education level | ||
| Illiterate | 268 | 50.7 |
| Primary/secondary/high level | 203 | 49.3 |
| Caregiver's occupation | ||
| Foods seller | 179 | 33.8 |
| Various article seller | 233 | 44.1 |
| Handy profession | 54 | 10.2 |
| Housewife/nothing | 23 | 4.4 |
| Trader | 20 | 3.8 |
| Employees | 20 | 3.8 |
| Ethnic group | ||
| Xwla or Toffin (local) | 184 | 34.9 |
| Fon-Goun Aïzo Setto torri Houeda | 233 | 44.1 |
| Mina Adja Pedah Watchi Kotafon sahoue | 63 | 11.9 |
| Mahi Yoruba Idatcha Nago | 48 | 9.1 |
| Owning a pirogue | 32 | 6.1 |
| Owning a fishing net | 45 | 8.5 |
| House | ||
| Bamboo or bamboo and brick | 103 | 19.5 |
| Brick | 425 | 80.5 |
| Closed house | 37 | 7.0 |
No. = number.
Data missed for 24 children.
Data missed for 25 children.
Figure 3.Monthly clinical malaria incidence rate during the study period. Two years of follow-up were combined.
Clinical malaria (new infection) and month as risk factor
| Month | Cases/PM | Incidence rate/1,000 PM | OR (95% CI) | Adjusted OR | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | ||||||
| July | 23/360.0 | 64 | 1 | – | 1 | |
| August | 24/356.4 | 67 | 1.05 (0.59–1.88) | 0.8 | 1.07 (0.60–1.91) | 0.8 |
| September | 17/352.8 | 48 | 0.75 (0.40–1.39) | 0.4 | 0.76 (0.41–1.41) | 0.4 |
| October | 19/344.4 | 55 | 0.86 (0.47–1.57) | 0.6 | 0.88 (0.48–1.61) | 0.6 |
| November | 12/337.2 | 36 | 0.55 (0.29–1.07) | 0.08 | 0.56 (0.29–1.08) | 0.08 |
| December | 39/352.8 | 111 | 1.75 (1.07–2.85) | 0.02 | 1.77 (1.08–2.89) | 0.02 |
| 2004 | ||||||
| January | 62/376.8 | 165 | 2.64 (1.64–4.25) | > 0.001 | 2.67 (1.66–4.31) | > 0.001 |
| February | 14/201.6 | 69 | 1.09 (0.57–2.09) | 0.8 | 1.01 (0.52–1.97) | 0.97 |
| March | 5/307.2 | 16 | 0.25 (0.09–0.67) | 0.005 | 0.26 (0.1–0.68) | 0.006 |
| April | 3/252 | 12 | 0.18 (0.05–0.61) | 0.006 | 0.18 (0.05–0.61) | 0.006 |
| May | 19/261.6 | 73 | 1.14 (0.62–2.08) | 0.7 | 1.15 (0.63–2.1) | 0.6 |
| June | 33/283.2 | 117 | 1.85 (1.12–3.06) | 0.02 | 1.86 (1.12–3.09) | 0.02 |
| July | 28/188.4 | 149 | 2.37 (1.40–4.01) | 0.001 | 2.35 (1.38–3.99) | 0.002 |
| August | 19/194.4 | 98 | 1.54 (0.86–2.77) | 0.14 | 1.55 (0.87–2.78) | 0.14 |
| September | 45/285.6 | 158 | 2.52 (1.51–4.22) | > 0.001 | 2.54 (1.52–4.24) | > 0.001 |
| October | 16/316.8 | 51 | 0.79 (0.42–1.48) | 0.46 | 0.79 (0.42–1.49) | 0.47 |
| November | 47/205.2 | 229 | 3.73 (2.29–6.08) | > 0.001 | 3.75 (2.30–6.11) | > 0.001 |
| December | 13/265.2 | 49 | 0.77 (0.39–1.48) | 0.43 | 0.77 (0.40–1.49) | 0.44 |
| Total | 438/5,238 | 84 | ||||
PM = person-month; OR = odds ratio; CI = confidence interval; P = P value.
Clinical malaria (new infection) and related risk factors: multivariate adjusted analysis using logistic regression
| Risk factors | Cases/PM | Incidence rate/1,000 PM | OR (95% CI) | Adjusted OR | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month | 438/5,238.0 | 84 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | ||
| Sex | ||||||
| Boys | 245/2,707.2 | 91 | 1 | – | ||
| Girls | 193/2,532.0 | 76 | 0.84 (0.69–1.02) | 0.084 | 0.82 (0.67−1.0) | 0.046 |
| Site | ||||||
| Toweta 1 | 201/2,586.0 | 78 | 1 | – | ||
| Toweta 2 | 105/1,310.4 | 80 | 1.03 (0.82–1.30) | 0.8 | ||
| Ladji | 132/1,341.6 | 98 | 1.27 (1.00–1.62) | 0.054 | ||
| Closed house | ||||||
| No | 418/4,850.4 | 86 | 1 | – | 1 | – |
| Yes | 19/354.0 | 54 | 0.62 (0.40–0.94) | 0.026 | 0.65 (0.42–0.99) | 0.047 |
| Type of bed | ||||||
| No bed | 211/2,272.8 | 93 | 1 | – | ||
| Bed | 226/2,931.6 | 77 | 0.83 (0.68–1.01) | 0.059 | ||
| Bed net use | ||||||
| No | 223/2,356.8 | 95 | 1 | – | ||
| Yes | 214/2,846.4 | 75 | 0.79 (0.65–0.96) | 0.019 | ||
| Pirogue | ||||||
| No | 383/4,778.4 | 80 | 1 | – | 1 | – |
| Yes | 54/424.8 | 127 | 1.60 (1.22–2.10) | 0.001 | 1.53 (1.16–2.03) | 0.003 |
| Fishing net | ||||||
| No | 372/4,663.2 | 80 | 1 | – | ||
| Yes | 65/541.2 | 120 | 1.52 (1.18–1.95) | 0.001 | ||
No. = number; PM = person-month; OR = odds ratio; CI = confidence interval; P = P value.
Only statistically significant adjusted ORs were reported.
Malaria prevalence and other malariometric indices by survey
| February–March 2003 | February–March 2004 | October–November 2004 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| N (% children cohort) | 500 (90.4) | 381 (80.6) | 338 (85.4) |
| 203 (40.6) | 155 (40.7) | 233 (68.9) | |
| 111 (22.2) | 35 (9.2) | 48 (14.2) | |
| Mean (geometric) | 276 (210–364) | 174 (117–260) | 88 (67–118) |
| Gametocyte carriers (%) | 52 (10.4) | 33 (8.7) | 28 (8.5) |
| Mean PCV (IQR) | 37.4 (37.0–37.7) | 37.2 (36.8–37.6) | 36.6 (36.2–37.0) |
| Enlarged spleen (%) | 230/475 (48.4) | 138/353 (39.1) | 141/283 (49.8) |
| Hackett Class 1 (%) | 32 (13.9) | 25 (18.1) | 20 (14.2) |
| Hackett Class > 1 (%) | 198 (86.1) | 113 (81.9) | 121 (85.8) |
N = total number of children in the cohort at the time of survey; IQR = interquartile range; PCV = packed cell volume.
Malaria infection and related risk factors
| Risk factors | Cases ( | Prevalence | OR (95% CI) | Adjusted OR | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey | 591/1,219 | 48.5 | ||||
| Survey_1 | 203/500 | 40.6 | 1 | – | 1 | |
| Survey_2 | 155/381 | 40.7 | 1.00 (0.76–1.32) | 1.0 | 0.93 (0.70–1.23) | 0.6 |
| Survey_3 | 233/338 | 68.9 | 3.25 (2.41–4.37) | < 0.001 | 3.01 (2.19–4.15) | < 0.001 |
| Age (months) | 591/1,219 | 48.5 | ||||
| ≤ 24 | 81/236 | 34.3 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 25–36 | 144/274 | 52.6 | 1.73 (1.20–2.50) | 0.004 | 1.74 (1.20–2.53) | 0.004 |
| 37–48 | 119/236 | 50.4 | 1.48 (1.01–2.18) | 0.04 | 1.53 (1.04–2.27) | 0.03 |
| > 49 | 247/473 | 52.2 | 1.38 (0.99–1.93) | 0.05 | 1.36 (0.98–1.90) | 0.07 |
| Site | 591/1,219 | 48.5 | ||||
| Toweta 1 | 299/637 | 46.9 | 1 | 1 | ||
| Toweta 2 | 157/291 | 54.0 | 1.37 (1.05–1.80) | 0.02 | 1.41 (1.08–1.86) | 0.01 |
| Ladji | 135/291 | 46.4 | 0.99 (0.74–1.32) | 0.92 | 1.00 (0.75–1.35) | 0.98 |
| Type of bed | 585/1,208 | 48.4 | ||||
| Mat | 269/530 | 50.8 | 1 | |||
| Bed without mattress or mattress alone | 316/678 | 46.6 | 0.82 (0.65–1.04) | 0.11 | ||
| Bed net use | 585/1,208 | 48.4 | ||||
| No | 288/559 | 51.5 | 1 | 1 | ||
| Yes | 297/649 | 45.8 | 0.79 (0.63–1.00) | 0.05 | 0.77 (0.61–0.97) | 0.03 |
n = number of clinical malaria cases; N = total number of children surveyed; OR = odds ratio; CI = confidence interval; P = P value.
Only statistically significant adjusted ORs were reported.