Literature DB >> 20597297

Optimal management strategies to control local population growth or population spread may not be the same.

Katriona Shea1, Eelke Jongejans, Olav Skarpaas, Dave Kelly, Andy W Sheppard.   

Abstract

The objective of most pest management programs is to "control" the pest species. However, optimal control of local abundance and population growth may require different management strategies than optimal control of spatial spread. We use coupled demographic-dispersal models to address the relative importance of different management approaches to these two main control objectives for the invasive thistle Carduus nutans. The models are parameterized with data from thistle populations in the native (France) and invaded ranges (Australia and New Zealand). We assess a wide range of commonly used management strategies for their absolute and relative impacts on population growth and spread in both invaded-range scenarios. The projected population growth rate in New Zealand is more than twice that in Australia, while the spread rate is more than four times the Australian value. In general, spread and growth are both most strongly affected by the same life cycle transitions; however, in a few cases certain vital rates disproportionately affect either spread or growth. The transition that represents the contribution of large rosettes in one year to the number of large rosettes in the following year (the large rosette-large rosette transition) in Australia is dominated by reproduction (rather than survival) and hence is relatively more important to spread than to population growth. In New Zealand, the small rosette-small rosette transition is also predominantly dispersal-related. However, establishment of small plants from the seed bank contributes more to population growth than spread, as no dispersal is involved. The fine-resolution vital-rate-based modeling approach allows us to identify potentially novel optimal management strategies: approaches that reduce microsite availability show promise for reducing both population growth and spread, while strategies that affect dispersal parameters will affect spread. Additionally, the relative ranking of some biocontrol agents shifts depending on whether control of population growth or population spread is the desired outcome and therefore could alter which of the agents are preferred for release in a new area. The possibility of differences in ranked agent effectiveness has been predicted theoretically, but never before demonstrated using field data.

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Year:  2010        PMID: 20597297     DOI: 10.1890/09-0316.1

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Ecol Appl        ISSN: 1051-0761            Impact factor:   4.657


  8 in total

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2.  Embracing uncertainty in applied ecology.

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Journal:  J Appl Ecol       Date:  2017-03-09       Impact factor: 6.528

3.  Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control: Objectives matter.

Authors:  William J M Probert; Katriona Shea; Christopher J Fonnesbeck; Michael C Runge; Tim E Carpenter; Salome Dürr; M Graeme Garner; Neil Harvey; Mark A Stevenson; Colleen T Webb; Marleen Werkman; Michael J Tildesley; Matthew J Ferrari
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4.  Warming increases the spread of an invasive thistle.

Authors:  Rui Zhang; Eelke Jongejans; Katriona Shea
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2011-06-29       Impact factor: 3.240

5.  Prioritizing management actions for invasive populations using cost, efficacy, demography and expert opinion for 14 plant species world-wide.

Authors:  Natalie Z Kerr; Peter W J Baxter; Roberto Salguero-Gómez; Glenda M Wardle; Yvonne M Buckley
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6.  Individual variation in dispersal and fecundity increases rates of spatial spread.

Authors:  Sebastian J Schreiber; Noelle G Beckman
Journal:  AoB Plants       Date:  2020-06-05       Impact factor: 3.276

Review 7.  The total dispersal kernel: a review and future directions.

Authors:  Haldre S Rogers; Noelle G Beckman; Florian Hartig; Jeremy S Johnson; Gesine Pufal; Katriona Shea; Damaris Zurell; James M Bullock; Robert Stephen Cantrell; Bette Loiselle; Liba Pejchar; Onja H Razafindratsima; Manette E Sandor; Eugene W Schupp; W Christopher Strickland; Jenny Zambrano
Journal:  AoB Plants       Date:  2019-09-03       Impact factor: 3.138

8.  Quantifying patch-specific seed dispersal and local population dynamics to estimate population spread of an endangered plant species.

Authors:  Jinlei Zhu; Karolína Hrušková; Hana Pánková; Zuzana Münzbergová
Journal:  Ecol Evol       Date:  2021-09-14       Impact factor: 2.912

  8 in total

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