| Literature DB >> 20565778 |
Gord Blackhouse1, Kathryn Gaebel, Feng Xie, Kaitryn Campbell, Nazila Assasi, Jean-Eric Tarride, Daria O'Reilly, Colin Chalk, Mitchell Levine, Ron Goeree.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) has demonstrated improvement in chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP) patients in placebo controlled trials. However, IVIG is also much more expensive than alternative treatments such as corticosteroids. The objective of the paper is to evaluate, from a Canadian perspective, the cost-effectiveness of IVIG compared to corticosteroid treatment of CIDP.Entities:
Year: 2010 PMID: 20565778 PMCID: PMC2903512 DOI: 10.1186/1478-7547-8-14
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cost Eff Resour Alloc ISSN: 1478-7547
Figure 1Structure of IVIG treatment arm of the model.
Figure 2Structure of corticosteroid treatment arm of the model.
IVIG response rate
| Study | n | responders | % | Weight of Study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zinman (2005)[ | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 0.08 |
| Thompson (1996)[ | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 0.08 |
| Mendell (2001)[ | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 0.20 |
| Hughes (2008)[ | 59 | 32 | 54.2% | 0.27 |
| Vermuelen (1993)[ | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 0.16 |
| Hahn (1996)[ | 30 | 19 | 63.3% | 0.21 |
| Pooled | 47.3% (36.1%, 58.5%) | |||
Corticosteroid adverse events
| Adverse event | Annual probability |
|---|---|
| Fracture | 0.0098 |
| Diabetes | 0.0043 |
| Cataract | 0.0114 |
| Glaucoma | 0.0008 |
| Serious Infection | 0.0035 |
General population utility values
| Utility Values | ||
|---|---|---|
| Age | Females | Males |
| 35-44 | 0.91 | 0.91 |
| 45-54 | 0.85 | 0.84 |
| 55-64 | 0.81 | 0.78 |
| 65-74 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| 75+ | 0.71 | 0.75 |
Disutility, incremental mortality, and costs for the first year and subsequent years after fracture and diabetes
| Fracture | Diabetes | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 1st year | Subsequent years | 1st year | Subsequent years |
| 40-44 | -0.0833 | -0.0293 | -0.000179 | -0.000333 |
| 45-49 | -0.0971 | -0.0324 | -0.000173 | -0.000247 |
| 50-54 | -0.1047 | -0.0349 | -0.000160 | -0.000263 |
| 55-59 | -0.1068 | -0.0371 | -0.000074 | -0.000681 |
| 60-64 | -0.1094 | -0.0391 | -0.000040 | -0.000727 |
| 65-69 | -0.1113 | -0.0412 | -0.000003 | -0.000618 |
| 70+ | -0.1212 | -0.0425 | -0.000128 | -0.000754 |
| 40-44 | 0.0092 | 0.0001 | 0.000390 | 0.000320 |
| 45-49 | 0.0115 | 0.0001 | 0.000715 | 0.000285 |
| 50-54 | 0.0127 | 0.0001 | 0.000875 | 0.000685 |
| 55-59 | 0.0142 | 0.0002 | 0.001160 | 0.000320 |
| 60-64 | 0.0187 | 0.0003 | 0.001525 | 0.000755 |
| 65-69 | 0.0260 | 0.0006 | 0.002025 | 0.001035 |
| 70+ | 0.0541 | 0.0018 | 0.002645 | 0.000850 |
| 40-44 | $3,926 | $63 | $12 | $24 |
| 45-49 | $4,643 | $68 | $13 | $32 |
| 50-54 | $5,041 | $73 | $16 | $55 |
| 55-59 | $5,159 | $78 | $21 | $93 |
| 60-64 | $5,302 | $83 | $24 | $151 |
| 65-69 | $7,901 | $87 | $25 | $260 |
| 70+ | $10,880 | $744 | $27 | $341 |
Probabilsitic parameters
| Variable | Mean Value | Distribution (parameters) | 95% C.I. based on parameters |
|---|---|---|---|
| IVIG Response Rate | 0.473 | beta (α = 35.52,β = 39.61) | (0.361, 0.585) |
| IVIG relapse rate (25 weeks) | 0.13 | beta (α = 4.03, β = 26.97) | (0.039, 0.266) |
| IVIG incremental utility | 0.12 | normal (μ = 0.12,β = 0.08) | (-0.05, 0.29) |
| Corticosteroid adverse events annual probailites | |||
| Fracture | 0.0098 | beta (α = 1.20,β = 120.8) | (0.000,0.033) |
| Diabetes mellitus | 0.0043 | beta (α = 0.48,β = 111.52) | (0.000,0.022) |
| Cataract | 0.0114 | beta (α = 1.39,β = 120.61) | (0.001,0.036) |
| Glaucoma | 0.0008 | beta (α = 0.09,β = 111.91) | (0.000,0.008) |
| Serious Infection | 0.0035 | beta (α = 0.39,β = 120.8) | (0.000,0.020) |
| Glaucoma utility weight | 0.96 | beta (α = 214.32, β = 13.68) | (0.906,0.967) |
| Cataract utility weight-before surgery | 0.62 | beta (α = 62, β = 38) | (0.586,0.767) |
| Cataract utility weight post-surgery | 0.90 | beta (α = 90, β = 10) | (0.835,0.951) |
| Glaucoma utility weight | 0.96 | beta (α = 214.32, β = 13.68) | (0.906,0.967) |
Basecase Results
| Treatment | Costs | QALYs | Incremental Costs | Incremental QALYs | ICUR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| corticosteroids | $2,196 | 3.785 | ref | ref | |
| IVIG | $124,065 | 3.962 | $121,869 | 0.177 | $687,287 |
Sensitivity analysis
| Parameter varied | Incremental Costs (IVIG-corticosteroids) | Incremental QALYs (IVIG-corticosteroids | $/QALY IVIG vs. corticosteroids |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 kg | $58,102 | 0.177 | $327,665 |
| 45 kg | $74,043 | 0.177 | $417,569 |
| 55 kg | $89,985 | 0.177 | $507,474 |
| 65 kg | $105,927 | 0.177 | $597,378 |
| 75 kg | $121,869 | 0.177 | $687,282 |
| 85 kg | $137,810 | 0.177 | $777,186 |
| 95 kg | $153,752 | 0.177 | $867,090 |
| 35 years old | $122,293 | 0.178 | $686,130 |
| 45 years old | $122,077 | 0.178 | $686,759 |
| 55 years old | $121,504 | 0.177 | $687,371 |
| 65 years old | $119,999 | 0.176 | $683,643 |
| 75 years old | $116,182 | 0.170 | $683,219 |
| 0% | $126,340 | 0.185 | $682,390 |
| 3% | $123,542 | 0.180 | $685,346 |
| 1 year | $59,546 | 0.078 | $764,917 |
| 3 years | $102,457 | 0.146 | $702,569 |
| 5 years | $121,869 | 0.177 | $687,282 |
| 10 years | $139,986 | 0.209 | $670,396 |
| 20 years | $143,690 | 0.218 | $658,267 |
| $121,869 | 0.364 | $335,038 | |
| $113,444 | 0.166 | $682,309 | |
| $173,189 | 0.257 | $672,616 | |
| 1.0 mg/kg every 3 weeks | $121,869 | 0.177 | $687,282 |
| 1.0 mg/kg every 6 weeks | $65,304 | 0.177 | $368,284 |
| 1.0 mg/kg every 8 weeks | $51,163 | 0.177 | $288,535 |
| 0.4 mg/kg every 3 weeks | $55,661 | 0.177 | $313,905 |
| 0.4 mg/kg every 6 weeks | $32,200 | 0.177 | $181,595 |
| 0.4 mg/kg every 8 weeks | $26,335 | 0.177 | $148,518 |
Figure 3Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve.