Literature DB >> 19773181

Predictive accuracy of EuroSCORE: is end-diastolic dysfunction a missing variable?

Priya Sastry1, Thomas Theologou, Mark Field, Matthew Shaw, D Mark Pullan, Brian M Fabri.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Left-ventricular function has been shown to be an important prognostic factor in estimating operative risk in cardiac surgery. As such, left-ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is included in the EuroSCORE. However, left-ventricular function is more comprehensively assessed by measures of both systolic and diastolic dysfunction. We hypothesised that end-diastolic dysfunction is an additional independent indicator for predicting outcome following coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).
METHODS: We retrospectively assessed all patients undergoing isolated off-pump CABG between October 2000 and September 2004 by two surgeons. Left-ventricular end-diastolic pressure (LVEDP), measured during cardiac catheterisation, was used as a measure of left-ventricular diastolic dysfunction. Logistic regression was used to assess the association between LVEDP (a continuous and dichotomous variable) and mortality, while adjusting for EuroSCORE.
RESULTS: A total of 925 patients with complete LVEDP data were identified and stratified as follows: group 1 (LVEF >30% and LVEDP <20 mmHg), group 2 (LVEF <30% and LVEDP <20 mmHg), group 3 (LVEF >30% and LVEDP >20 mmHg) and group 4 (LVEF <30% and LVEDP >20 mmHg). Mortality increased progressively from group 2 (1.9%, odds ratio (OR) 1.22, RR 1.21, p 0.58) to group 3 (5.6%, OR 3.81, RR 3.66, p 0.07) and was highest in group 4 (7.4%, OR 5.18, RR 4.87, p 0.08). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve c-characteristic improved from 0.7 to 0.78 when EuroSCORE was combined with LVEDP, identifying LVEDP as an independent predictor of mortality after adjusting for EuroSCORE. Logistic equation: odds of death = exp(-6.3283+[EuroSCORE x 0.1813]+[EDP x 0.0954]).
CONCLUSIONS: LVEDP as a marker of diastolic dysfunction seems an important variable in predicting patient-specific risk and should be considered for incorporation in future risk models. Copyright 2009 European Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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Year:  2009        PMID: 19773181     DOI: 10.1016/j.ejcts.2009.05.059

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Eur J Cardiothorac Surg        ISSN: 1010-7940            Impact factor:   4.191


  6 in total

1.  ESC Working Group on Valvular Heart Disease Position Paper: assessing the risk of interventions in patients with valvular heart disease.

Authors:  Raphael Rosenhek; Bernard Iung; Pilar Tornos; Manuel J Antunes; Bernard D Prendergast; Catherine M Otto; Arie Pieter Kappetein; Janina Stepinska; Jens J Kaden; Christoph K Naber; Esmeray Acartürk; Christa Gohlke-Bärwolf
Journal:  Eur Heart J       Date:  2011-03-15       Impact factor: 29.983

2.  Impact of pulmonary hypertension on outcomes after aortic valve replacement for aortic valve stenosis.

Authors:  Spencer J Melby; Marc R Moon; Brian R Lindman; Marci S Bailey; Laureen L Hill; Ralph J Damiano
Journal:  J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg       Date:  2011-06       Impact factor: 5.209

3.  Left ventricular end-diastolic pressure as an independent predictor of outcome during balloon aortic valvuloplasty.

Authors:  Roberto J Cubeddu; Creighton W Don; Sofia A Horvath; Pritha P Gupta; Ignacio Cruz-Gonzalez; Christian Witzke; Ignacio Inglessis; Igor F Palacios
Journal:  Catheter Cardiovasc Interv       Date:  2013-12-04       Impact factor: 2.692

4.  Machine Learning-Based Risk Model for Predicting Early Mortality After Surgery for Infective Endocarditis.

Authors:  Li Luo; Sui-Qing Huang; Chuang Liu; Quan Liu; Shuohui Dong; Yuan Yue; Kai-Zheng Liu; Lin Huang; Shun-Jun Wang; Hua-Yang Li; Shaoyi Zheng; Zhong-Kai Wu
Journal:  J Am Heart Assoc       Date:  2022-06-03       Impact factor: 6.106

Review 5.  Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction: A Perioperative Review.

Authors:  Sasha K Shillcutt; M Megan Chacon; Tara R Brakke; Ellen K Roberts; Thomas E Schulte; Nicholas Markin
Journal:  J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth       Date:  2017-08-30       Impact factor: 2.628

6.  Validation of SinoSCORE for isolated CABG operation in East China.

Authors:  Xiue Ma; Yunqian Wang; Lingtong Shan; Zhengqiang Cang; Chang Gu; Nianyi Qu; Qifan Li; Jun Li; Zhenhua Wang; Yangyang Zhang
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2017-12-01       Impact factor: 4.379

  6 in total

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