| Literature DB >> 19671189 |
Mee-Kyung Kee1, Jin-Hee Lee, Eun-Jin Kim, Jiae Lee, Jeong-Gu Nam, Byung-Hee Yoo, Sung Soon Kim.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: There is little information describing survival in HIV-infected patients after primary diagnosis in Korea, and changes in survival over time. This study investigated survival times, survival characteristics, and changes in survival after initial HIV diagnosis. Survival was characterized by evaluation of the immune status at primary HIV diagnosis nationwide.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2009 PMID: 19671189 PMCID: PMC2738677 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2334-9-128
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Infect Dis ISSN: 1471-2334 Impact factor: 3.090
Characteristics of the study population, 1985–2007
| Categories | All (%) | No. of deaths | No. of deaths within | Person-years | Mortality density |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total individuals | 5,323 | 980 (18) | 441 (45) | 21,439 | 45.7 |
| Gender | |||||
| Men | 4,861 (91) | 901 (19) | 413 (46) | 19,082 | 47.2 |
| Women | 462 (9) | 79 (17) | 29 (37) | 2,357 | 33.5 |
| Age | |||||
| ≤ 29 | 1,363 (26) | 148 (11) | 25 (17) | 7,153 | 20.7 |
| 30–39 | 1,758 (33) | 283 (16) | 102 (36) | 7,506 | 37.7 |
| 40–49 | 1,220 (23) | 268 (22) | 136 (51) | 4,081 | 65.7 |
| ≥ 50 | 982 (18) | 281 (29) | 179 (64) | 2,699 | 104.1 |
| Screening site | |||||
| Public institution | 1,394 (26) | 296 (21) | 51 (14) | 8,031 | 36.8 |
| Hospital | 3,448 (65) | 644 (19) | 390 (56) | 10,632 | 60.6 |
| Blood center | 481 (9) | 40 (8) | 1 (9) | 2,776 | 14.4 |
| Year of diagnosis | |||||
| 1985–1990 | 124 (2) | 86 (69) | 5 (6) | 1,403 | 61.3 |
| 1991–1996 | 497 (10) | 215 (43) | 35 (16) | 4,878 | 44.1 |
| 1997–2002 | 1,388 (26) | 339 (24) | 146 (43) | 8,202 | 41.3 |
| 2003–2007 | 3,314 (62) | 340 (10) | 256 (75) | 6,956 | 48.9 |
*%; proportion of the number of the deaths within 6 months after HIV diagnosis divided by the number of deaths
Figure 1Survival after HIV diagnosis stratified by epidemiologic characteristics. A, Gender; B, Age; C, Screening site; and D, Year of diagnosis.
Figure 2A, Level of CD4+ T-cell counts at HIV diagnosis over calendar year, and B, Survival stratified by CD4+ T-cell counts at HIV diagnosis (The survival curve of "missing group" was not shown).
Proportion of survival following HIV diagnosis and the estimated hazard ratios for variables
| Unadjusted | Adjusted | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | No. of cases | Proportion surviving after 10 years (95% CI) | Hazard Ratio | p-value | Hazard Ratio | p-value |
| Gender | ||||||
| Men | 4,861 | 67%(64–69) | 1.31(1.04,1.65) | 0.0211 | 1.37(0.09,1.73) | 0.0082 |
| Women | 462 | 73%(66–78) | 1.00 | - | 1.00 | - |
| Age | ||||||
| ≤ 29 | 1,363 | 81%(77–84) | 1.00 | - | 1.00 | - |
| 30–39 | 1,758 | 71%(66–74) | 1.80(1.47,2.20) | < .0001 | 1.46(1.19,1.80) | 0.0003 |
| 40–49 | 1,220 | 56%(50–63) | 2.94(2.40,3.61) | < .0001 | 2.10(1.70,2.60) | < .0001 |
| ≥ 50 | 982 | 49%(41–57) | 4.37(3.56,5.35) | < .0001 | 3.08(2.48,3.83) | < .0001 |
| Screening site | ||||||
| Public institution | 1,394 | 68%(64–71) | 1.00 | - | 1.00 | - |
| Hospital | 3,448 | 68%(64–72) | 1.47(1.27,1.70) | < .0001 | 1.50(1.27,1.76) | < .0001 |
| Blood center | 481 | 85%(78–89) | 0.39(0.28,0.55) | < .0001 | 0.62(0.44,0.88) | 0.0067 |
| Year of diagnosis | ||||||
| 1985–1990 | 124 | 56%(46–64) | 2.15(1.65,2.80) | < .0001 | 5.03(3.77,6.71) | < .0001 |
| 1991–1996 | 497 | 62%(57–66) | 1.57(1.29,1.90) | < .0001 | 3.48(2.81,4.30) | < .0001 |
| 1997–2002 | 1,338 | 70%(66–73) | 1.31(1.11,1.54) | 0.0011 | 1.42(1.21,1.68) | < .0001 |
| 2003–2007 | 3,314 | - | 1.00 | - | 1.00 | - |
| CD4+ T-cell counts* | ||||||
| <200 | 1,169 | 46%(41–51) | 5.51(4.47,6.78) | < .0001 | 5.10(4.11,6.33) | < .0001 |
| 200–349 | 868 | 70%(63–75) | 1.06(0.81,1.38) | 0.6872 | 1.13(0.86,1.47) | 0.3865 |
| 350–499 | 667 | 80%(74–84) | 0.77(1.81,2.92) | 0.0757 | 0.80(0.60,1.06) | 0.1223 |
| ≥500 | 665 | 80%(75–84) | 1.00 | - | 1.00 | - |
CI: Confidence Interval
*Individuals were classified by initial CD4+ T-cell counts within 6 months of HIV diagnosis, including individuals who died from AIDS within 6 months of HIV diagnosis. Individuals without CD4+ T-cell counts or CD4+ T-cell counts measured greater than 6 months of HIV diagnosis were designated as the "missing group" (data not shown).
Survival following HIV diagnosis and the estimated hazard ratio of variables by year of diagnosis
| 1985–1990 | 1991–1996 | 1997–2002 | 2003–2007 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Cox's Regression | Case No.(%) | HR (95%CI) | P-value | Case No.(%) | HR (95%CI) | P-value | Case No.(%) | HR(95%CI) | P-value | Case No.(%) | HR |
| Gender | ||||||||||||
| Men | Unadjusted | 105 | 2.2(1.7–2.9) | < .0001 | 440 | 1.5(1.2–1.9) | < .0001 | 1230 | 1.3(1.1–1.6) | 0.001 | 3082 | 1 |
| Adjusted | 4.3(3.2–5.9) | < .0001 | 3.0(2.4–3.7) | < .0001 | 1.3(1.1–1.5) | 0.0022 | 1 | |||||
| Women | Unadjusted | 19 | 2.4(1.0–6.0) | 0.0513 | 57 | 2.3(1.1–4.6) | 0.0209 | 158 | 1.5(0.8–2.8) | 0.2444 | 232 | 1 |
| Adjusted | 4.3(1.6–11.4) | 0.0037 | 4.2(2.0–9.0) | 0.0001 | 1.6(0.9–3.1) | 0.1402 | 1 | |||||
| Age | ||||||||||||
| ≤ 29 | Unadjusted | 60 | 3.7(2.0–7.0) | < .0001 | 198 | 2.0(1.1–3.6) | 0.0188 | 339 | 1.4(0.8–2.5) | 0.2553 | 766 | 1 |
| Adjusted | 4.8(2.5–9.3) | < .0001 | 2.9(1.6–5.3) | 0.0007 | 1.5(0.9–2.8) | 0.1514 | 1 | |||||
| 30–39 | Unadjusted | 40 | 3.5(2.2–5.7) | < .0001 | 184 | 2.6(1.8–3.7) | < .0001 | 472 | 1.7(1.2–2.3) | 0.0016 | 1062 | 1 |
| Adjusted | 6.6(3.9–11.1) | < .0001 | 4.1(2.8–6.0) | < .0001 | 1.7(1.2–2.3) | 0.0016 | 1 | |||||
| 40–49 | Unadjusted | 18 | 2.3(1.3–4.1) | 0.0065 | 76 | 2.5(1.7–3.6) | < .0001 | 323 | 1.4(1.1–1.9) | 0.0181 | 803 | 1 |
| Adjusted | 2.4(1.3–4.4) | 0.0072 | 3.2(2.2–4.7) | < .0001 | 1.4(1.0–1.9) | 0.0293 | 1 | |||||
| ≥ 50 | Unadjusted | 6 | 3.7(1.6–8.3) | 0.0019 | 39 | 1.5(1.0–2.4) | 0.0755 | 254 | 1.2(0.9–1.5) | 0.2709 | 683 | 1 |
| Adjusted | 5.1(2.2–12.0) | 0.0002 | 2.7(1.7–4.4) | < .0001 | 1.1(0.8–1.5) | 0.4569 | 1 | |||||
| Screening site | ||||||||||||
| Public institution | Unadjusted | 86 | 3.5(2.2–5.8) | < .0001 | 295 | 2.4(1.6–3.8) | 0.0001 | 388 | 1.8(1.1–2.8) | 0.0148 | 621 | 1 |
| Adjusted | 4.5(2.7–7.4) | < .0001 | 3.1(2.0–4.9) | < .0001 | 1.7(1.1–2.7) | 0.0248 | 1 | |||||
| Hospital | Unadjusted | 17 | 3.7(2.1–6.5) | < .0001 | 121 | 2.8(2.1–3.7) | < .0001 | 857 | 1.6(1.3–1.8) | < .0001 | 2451 | 1 |
| Adjusted | 4.0(2.3–7.1) | < .0001 | 3.5(2.7–4.7) | < .0001 | 1.4(1.2–1.7) | 0.0003 | 1 | |||||
| Blood center | Unadjusted | 21 | 2.5(0.5–11.3) | 0.2406 | 81 | 1.5(0.3–6.1) | 0.6111 | 143 | 0.7(0.2–3.1) | 0.6275 | 242 | 1 |
| Adjusted | 4.9(1.0–25.1) | 0.0546 | 2.2(0.5–9.8) | 0.3165 | 0.9(0.2–4.1) | 0.8896 | 1 | |||||
| CD4+ T-cell counts* | ||||||||||||
| <200 | Unadjusted | 10 | 1.6(1.0–2.5) | 0.0707 | 63 | 1.9(1.5–2.5) | < .0001 | 313 | 1.2(1.0–1.5) | 0.0221 | 783 | 1 |
| Adjusted | 2.7(1.6–4.4) | 0.0001 | 2.8(2.1–3.7) | < .0001 | 1.3(1.1–1.6) | 0.0063 | 1 | |||||
| 200–349 | Unadjusted | 3 | 5.0(2.2–11.7) | 0.0002 | 71 | 2.7(1.4–5.4) | 0.0035 | 212 | 1.1(0.6–2.1) | 0.7649 | 582 | 1 |
| Adjusted | 6.3(2.6–15.0) | < .0001 | 2.7(1.4–5.5) | 0.005 | 1.0(0.5–2.0) | 0.9749 | 1 | |||||
| 350–499 | Unadjusted | 13 | 1.9(0.7–5.3) | 0.2351 | 90 | 1.0(0.4–2.7) | 0.9422 | 172 | 0.8(0.3–2.1) | 0.7298 | 392 | 1 |
| Adjusted | 2.6(0.9–7.7) | 0.081 | 1.1(0.4–3.0) | 0.8152 | 0.9(0.3–2.2) | 0.7546 | 1 | |||||
| ≥ 500 | Unadjusted | 25 | 3.4(1.4–8.4) | 0.0076 | 120 | 2.1(0.9–4.9) | 0.1056 | 192 | 1.3(0.5–3.1) | 0.6153 | 328 | 1 |
| Adjusted | 3.5(1.3–9.0) | 0.0117 | 2.2(0.9–5.4) | 0.0966 | 1.3(0.5–3.1) | 0.6118 | 1 | |||||
CI: Confidence Interval, HR: Hazard Ratio
*Individuals were classified by initial CD4+ T-cell counts within 6 months of HIV diagnosis, including individuals who died from AIDS within 6 months of HIV diagnosis. Individuals without CD4+ T-cell counts or CD4+ T-cell counts measured greater than 6 months of HIV diagnosis were designated as the "missing group" (data not shown).