OBJECTIVES: To examine by race how frequently the data after radical prostatectomy translates into a substantial change in prognosis. Many nomograms exist to predict the survival outcomes using the pretreatment clinical parameters and post-treatment pathologic parameters. Race might be an important factor affecting their predictive ability. METHODS: Kattan nomograms were used to calculate the pretreatment and post-radical prostatectomy 5-year progression-free probability for each patient. The difference between the nomogram scores was used to divide the patients into 3 groups. A decrease in probability of >or=15 percentage points was classified as a significant increase in the probability of recurrence, an increase of >or=15 points was classified as a significant decrease in the probability of recurrence, and an absolute change of <15 points was considered no significant change. RESULTS: The data from 1709 (132 black and 1577 white) men were analyzed. Among the black men, 26.5% had an increase in the probability of recurrence, 57.6% had no change, and 15.9% had a decrease in the probability of recurrence. Among the white men, 13.8% had an increase in the probability of recurrence, 64.5% had no change, and 21.7% had a decrease in the probability of recurrence. Black men were twice as likely to have a significant increase in the probability of recurrence postoperatively compared with white men after adjusting for preoperative prostate-specific antigen level, clinical stage, and biopsy Gleason sum (odds ratio 2.0, 95% confidence interval 1.3-3.1, P = .002). CONCLUSIONS: These data could assist clinicians when counseling black men regarding their treatment options according to their preoperative risk profile.
OBJECTIVES: To examine by race how frequently the data after radical prostatectomy translates into a substantial change in prognosis. Many nomograms exist to predict the survival outcomes using the pretreatment clinical parameters and post-treatment pathologic parameters. Race might be an important factor affecting their predictive ability. METHODS: Kattan nomograms were used to calculate the pretreatment and post-radical prostatectomy 5-year progression-free probability for each patient. The difference between the nomogram scores was used to divide the patients into 3 groups. A decrease in probability of >or=15 percentage points was classified as a significant increase in the probability of recurrence, an increase of >or=15 points was classified as a significant decrease in the probability of recurrence, and an absolute change of <15 points was considered no significant change. RESULTS: The data from 1709 (132 black and 1577 white) men were analyzed. Among the black men, 26.5% had an increase in the probability of recurrence, 57.6% had no change, and 15.9% had a decrease in the probability of recurrence. Among the white men, 13.8% had an increase in the probability of recurrence, 64.5% had no change, and 21.7% had a decrease in the probability of recurrence. Black men were twice as likely to have a significant increase in the probability of recurrence postoperatively compared with white men after adjusting for preoperative prostate-specific antigen level, clinical stage, and biopsy Gleason sum (odds ratio 2.0, 95% confidence interval 1.3-3.1, P = .002). CONCLUSIONS: These data could assist clinicians when counseling black men regarding their treatment options according to their preoperative risk profile.
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Authors: Markus Graefen; Pierre I Karakiewicz; Ilias Cagiannos; David I Quinn; Susan M Henshall; John J Grygiel; Robert L Sutherland; Phillip D Stricker; Eric Klein; Patrick Kupelian; Donald G Skinner; Gary Lieskovsky; Bernard Bochner; Hartwig Huland; Peter G Hammerer; Alexander Haese; Andreas Erbersdobler; James A Eastham; Jean de Kernion; Thomas Cangiano; Fritz H Schröder; Mark F Wildhagen; Theo H van der Kwast; Peter T Scardino; Michael W Kattan Journal: J Clin Oncol Date: 2002-08-01 Impact factor: 44.544