| Literature DB >> 18949527 |
David J Biau, Raphael Porcher.
Abstract
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Mesh:
Year: 2008 PMID: 18949527 PMCID: PMC2601009 DOI: 10.1007/s11999-008-0575-y
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Clin Orthop Relat Res ISSN: 0009-921X Impact factor: 4.176
Estimation of treatment effect in 1000 simulated conventional and expertise-based randomized controlled trials
| Statistical prediction models | Trials simulated | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conventional RCTs with expertise and no interaction | Conventional RCTs with expertise and interaction | Expertise-based RCTs with expertise and no interaction | Expertise-based RCTs with expertise and interaction | |
| Not adjusted | 4.01 (1.52) | 3.55 (1.53) | 5.02 (1.60) | 5.14 (1.59) |
| Adjusted for expertise | 4.99 (1.63) | 4.55 (1.68) | — | — |
| Adjusted for expertise and interaction | 4.94 (2.31) | 5.02 (2.33) | — | — |
The trial simulated was a comparison of the 3 months postoperative Knee Society Score (KSS) between HTOs (control group) and UKAs (experimental group). The mean KSS simulated was 75 (sd = 10) in the control group and 80 (sd = 10) in the experimental group. Therefore, the true treatment effect is 5. In the conventional RCT, seven surgeons were experienced with the control treatment and three with the experimental treatment. The effect of expertise was to add 2.5 points to the KSS for surgeons with expertise in both treatments when there was no interaction between treatment and expertise. When there was interaction between expertise and treatment, 2 points of the KSS were added to the control group and 3 to the experimental group. Expertise cannot be accounted for in the expertise-based RCT because all surgeons have expertise. It can be seen that the estimation of treatment effect is unbiased for conventional RCTs when adjusted for expertise (4.99) and interaction (5.02). The estimation of treatment effect is also unbiased for expertise-based RCTs with no interaction present (5.02). However, the estimation of treatment effect for expertise based RCTs is biased when interaction is present (5.14).