Predictors of re-referral to child protective services: a longitudinal follow-up of an urban cohort maltreated as infants.

Decades of research has identified several psychosocial risk factors for child maltreatment, only some of which are modifiable. The relative importance of the most modifiable psychosocial variables, as compared to more static variables such as demographic characteristics, is not well understood, particularly among children maltreated at a very young age. This study examined predictors of re-referral among 149 urban children originally referred for maltreatment as infants. Of these children, 42.3% were re-referred over a period of 11 to 15 years. Cox regression analyses with time-varying covariates revealed that modifiable psychosocial risk factors failed to predict risk for re-referral in a multivariate model. Demographic characteristics and characteristics of the index incident of maltreatment were the strongest predictors of re-referral. Existing services may not be addressing the underlying reasons for maltreatment, particularly in families with young children. A clearer understanding of the underlying causes of maltreatment is needed.