PURPOSE: This study was designed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of serum procalcitonin (PCT) for the diagnosis of severity in acute pancreatitis (AP), compared with routine clinical, biochemical, radiological, and combination severity scoring systems. METHODS: Quantitative meta-analysis was performed on prospective studies, comparing serum PCT, against validated scoring systems for diagnosing severe AP. The sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratio were calculated for each study. Summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curves and subgroup analysis were undertaken. Study quality and heterogeneity were evaluated. Meta-regression meta-analysis was used to evaluate the effect of using serum PCT in the diagnostic accuracy severity scoring in AP. RESULTS: Summary receiver operating characteristic analysis of nine studies showed an overall sensitivity and specificity of 74% (range: 66%-81%) and 83% (range: 79%-87%), respectively. Overall unweighted area under the curve (AUC) was 0.91 (DOR = 16.26 95% CI: 5.68-46.60), demonstrating significant heterogeneity (Q-value = 25.32; P = 0.001). When high-quality studies alone were evaluated, there was an increase in the overall sensitivity (89%); however, specificity was similar (82%), with an overall unweighted AUC of 0.94 (DOR 41.46, 95% CI: 17.95-95.80), with no significant heterogeneity. Meta-regression analysis confirmed the significant effect of study quality on the diagnostic accuracy of severity scoring using serum PCT (P = 0.025). CONCLUSIONS: The use of PCT for severity scoring in AP has a moderate sensitivity but higher specificity. However, the overall accuracy for predicting severity in AP is high. The prognosis of severity, especially early on (<48 hours from onset of symptoms), and the evaluation of potential infectious complications of AP may be the most useful factors to assess in subsequent clinical trials to identify its exact application in clinical practice in the management of AP.
PURPOSE: This study was designed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of serum procalcitonin (PCT) for the diagnosis of severity in acute pancreatitis (AP), compared with routine clinical, biochemical, radiological, and combination severity scoring systems. METHODS: Quantitative meta-analysis was performed on prospective studies, comparing serum PCT, against validated scoring systems for diagnosing severe AP. The sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratio were calculated for each study. Summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curves and subgroup analysis were undertaken. Study quality and heterogeneity were evaluated. Meta-regression meta-analysis was used to evaluate the effect of using serum PCT in the diagnostic accuracy severity scoring in AP. RESULTS: Summary receiver operating characteristic analysis of nine studies showed an overall sensitivity and specificity of 74% (range: 66%-81%) and 83% (range: 79%-87%), respectively. Overall unweighted area under the curve (AUC) was 0.91 (DOR = 16.26 95% CI: 5.68-46.60), demonstrating significant heterogeneity (Q-value = 25.32; P = 0.001). When high-quality studies alone were evaluated, there was an increase in the overall sensitivity (89%); however, specificity was similar (82%), with an overall unweighted AUC of 0.94 (DOR 41.46, 95% CI: 17.95-95.80), with no significant heterogeneity. Meta-regression analysis confirmed the significant effect of study quality on the diagnostic accuracy of severity scoring using serum PCT (P = 0.025). CONCLUSIONS: The use of PCT for severity scoring in AP has a moderate sensitivity but higher specificity. However, the overall accuracy for predicting severity in AP is high. The prognosis of severity, especially early on (<48 hours from onset of symptoms), and the evaluation of potential infectious complications of AP may be the most useful factors to assess in subsequent clinical trials to identify its exact application in clinical practice in the management of AP.
Authors: M L Kylänpää-Bäck; A Takala; E A Kemppainen; P A Puolakkainen; A K Leppäniemi; S L Karonen; A Orpana; R K Haapiainen; H Repo Journal: Crit Care Med Date: 2001-01 Impact factor: 7.598
Authors: B J Ammori; K L Becker; P Kite; R H Snider; E S Nylén; J C White; G R Barclay; M Larvin; M J McMahon Journal: Pancreas Date: 2003-10 Impact factor: 3.327
Authors: Patrick M Bossuyt; Johannes B Reitsma; David E Bruns; Constantine A Gatsonis; Paul P Glasziou; Les M Irwig; Jeroen G Lijmer; David Moher; Drummond Rennie; Henrica C W de Vet Journal: BMJ Date: 2003-01-04
Authors: Pedro Silva-Vaz; Ana Margarida Abrantes; Miguel Castelo-Branco; António Gouveia; Maria Filomena Botelho; José Guilherme Tralhão Journal: Int J Mol Sci Date: 2020-01-04 Impact factor: 5.923
Authors: Eija Nukarinen; Outi Lindström; Krista Kuuliala; Leena Kylänpää; Ville Pettilä; Pauli Puolakkainen; Antti Kuuliala; Mari Hämäläinen; Eeva Moilanen; Heikki Repo; Johanna Hästbacka Journal: PLoS One Date: 2016-08-25 Impact factor: 3.240