Wound-healing trajectories as outcome measures of venous stasis ulcer treatment.

Outcome measures of venous ulcer healing are not uniformly accepted. Stringent criteria of 100% closure fail to provide information of healing over the entire span of repair. Wound-healing trajectories (plot of percentage of wound closure versus time of wound treatment) were constructed for 232 patients treated in eight clinical trials at two independent wound care/research centres. Trajectories were constructed for ulcers that totally healed (100% closure) and those that did not (<100% closure) over a 20-week period. Kaplan-Meier survival plots determined the percentage of patients achieving total healing versus time of treatment. The wound-healing trajectories were almost identical for patients achieving complete ulcer healing, as were the trajectories for patients with less than 100% closure. The trajectories for the ulcers healing completely were significantly different from those with <100% closure. Only 60% of all patients achieved 100% closure by 20 weeks. Using linear regression, it was predicted that it would take 31 weeks for all patients to achieve total healing. Total healing is an inadequate outcome measure for healing of venous stasis ulcers. Clinical trials using this measure would require excessive time periods. As wound-healing trajectories for patients treated at two centres mimic one another, shifting the wound-healing trajectory from one of impaired healing to one of a more ideal healing course may be considered a better outcome measure for determining healing of venous stasis ulcers.