To succeed globally, disperse locally: effects of local pollen and seed dispersal on tetraploid establishment.

Newly formed tetraploid plants in sympatry with their diploid progenitors should face significant obstacles to persistence and population establishment because of low-fitness triploids formed by cross-ploidy pollinations. Prior models have found restrictive conditions for a minority tetraploid subpopulation to persist. A stochastic spatial model, parameterized using snow buttercups (Ranunculus adoneus), was used to examine the influence of limited seed and pollen dispersal distances on the success of minority tetraploids and the interaction of these factors with different rates of self-pollination and tetraploid advantage. Higher rates of self-pollination and increased tetraploid advantage increase the probability of tetraploid persistence. Limiting the dispersal of seeds and pollen further increases the positive impact of any given level of self-pollination and tetraploid advantage. Taxa with short-distance seed and pollen dispersal should face much less stringent barriers to sympatric polyploid speciation than taxa with long-distance dispersal patterns. With short-distance seed and pollen dispersal, polyploid speciation should be possible in the absence of ecological differentiation or recurrent polyploid formation through unreduced gametes.