Estimation of median human lethal radiation dose computed from data on occupants of reinforced concrete structures in Nagasaki, Japan.

This paper presents an estimate of the median lethal dose for humans exposed to total-body irradiation and not subsequently treated for radiation sickness. The median lethal dose was estimated from calculated doses to young adults who were inside two reinforced concrete buildings that remained standing in Nagasaki after the atomic detonation. The individuals in this study, none of whom have previously had calculated doses, were identified from a detailed survey done previously. Radiation dose to the bone marrow, which was taken as the critical radiation site, was calculated for each individual by the Engineering Physics and Mathematics Division of the Oak Ridge National Laboratory using a new three-dimensional discrete-ordinates radiation transport code that was developed and validated for this study using the latest site geometry, radiation yield, and spectra data. The study cohort consisted of 75 individuals who either survived > 60 d or died between the second and 60th d postirradiation due to radiation injury, without burns or other serious injury. Median lethal dose estimates were calculated using both logarithmic (2.9 Gy) and linear (3.4 Gy) dose scales. Both calculations, which met statistical validity tests, support previous estimates of the median lethal dose based solely on human data, which cluster around 3 Gy.