BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: Despite the increasing use of early esophagogastroduodenoscopy, the prognostic evaluation and triage of patients who have ingested caustic material is challenging. We evaluated the usefulness of selected clinical and endoscopic parameters in predicting the risk of death after ingestion of caustic substances. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Clinical and endoscopic parameters were obtained from the records of all the patients admitted to our endoscopy unit because of ingestion of caustic material between 1 March 1982 and 30 June 1999. Parameters significantly associated with the risk of death by univariate analysis were entered into a multivariate logistic model. The independent predictors of death by multivariate analysis were used to build a risk score system. RESULTS: Out of 210 patients, 13 underwent emergency surgery (6.2 %) and 25 died (11.9 %). Multivariate analysis identified the following as independent predictors of death: age (10-year intervals; odds ratio [OR] 2.4; 95 % confidence interval 1.4 - 4.1), ingestion of strong acids (OR 7.9; 1.8 - 35.3), white blood cell count at admission > or = 20 000 units/mm3 (OR 6.0; 1.3-28), deep gastric ulcers (OR 9.7; 1.4 - 66.8), and gastric necrosis (OR 20.9; 4.7 - 91.8). The values of the risk score system devised from the results of the multivariate analysis ranged from 1 to 16. No patient scoring < 10 points died and just one of the patients scoring > 14 points survived. CONCLUSION: Age, ingestion of a strong acid, leucocytosis, deep gastric ulcers, and gastric necrosis are predictive of death after caustic ingestion. A risk score system including these predictors may be useful in prognostic evaluation.
BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: Despite the increasing use of early esophagogastroduodenoscopy, the prognostic evaluation and triage of patients who have ingested caustic material is challenging. We evaluated the usefulness of selected clinical and endoscopic parameters in predicting the risk of death after ingestion of caustic substances. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Clinical and endoscopic parameters were obtained from the records of all the patients admitted to our endoscopy unit because of ingestion of caustic material between 1 March 1982 and 30 June 1999. Parameters significantly associated with the risk of death by univariate analysis were entered into a multivariate logistic model. The independent predictors of death by multivariate analysis were used to build a risk score system. RESULTS: Out of 210 patients, 13 underwent emergency surgery (6.2 %) and 25 died (11.9 %). Multivariate analysis identified the following as independent predictors of death: age (10-year intervals; odds ratio [OR] 2.4; 95 % confidence interval 1.4 - 4.1), ingestion of strong acids (OR 7.9; 1.8 - 35.3), white blood cell count at admission > or = 20 000 units/mm3 (OR 6.0; 1.3-28), deep gastric ulcers (OR 9.7; 1.4 - 66.8), and gastric necrosis (OR 20.9; 4.7 - 91.8). The values of the risk score system devised from the results of the multivariate analysis ranged from 1 to 16. No patient scoring < 10 points died and just one of the patients scoring > 14 points survived. CONCLUSION: Age, ingestion of a strong acid, leucocytosis, deep gastric ulcers, and gastric necrosis are predictive of death after caustic ingestion. A risk score system including these predictors may be useful in prognostic evaluation.
Authors: Mircea Chirica; Matthieu Resche-Rigon; Benjamin Pariente; Fabienne Fieux; François Sabatier; Franck Loiseaux; Nicolas Munoz-Bongrand; Jean Marc Gornet; Marie-Dominique Brette; Emile Sarfati; Elie Azoulay; Anne Marie Zagdanski; Pierre Cattan Journal: Surg Endosc Date: 2014-08-27 Impact factor: 4.584
Authors: Yoram Kluger; Ofir Ben Ishay; Massimo Sartelli; Amit Katz; Luca Ansaloni; Carlos Augusto Gomez; Walter Biffl; Fausto Catena; Gustavo P Fraga; Salomone Di Saverio; Augustin Goran; Wagih Ghnnam; Jeffry Kashuk; Ari Leppäniemi; Sanjay Marwah; Ernest E Moore; Miklosh Bala; Damien Massalou; Chirica Mircea; Luigi Bonavina Journal: World J Emerg Surg Date: 2015-10-16 Impact factor: 5.469
Authors: Pietro Betalli; Alfredo Rossi; Marta Bini; Giuseppe Bacis; Osvaldo Borrelli; Cesare Cutrone; Luigi Dall'oglio; Gian Luigi d'Angelis; Diego Falchetti; Maria Luisa Farina; Piergiorgio Gamba; Paolo Gandullia; Giuliano Lombardi; Fillippo Torroni; Claudio Romano; Paola De Angelis Journal: Diagn Ther Endosc Date: 2009-11-08