HIV disease progression and V3 serotypes in Brazil: is B different from B-Br?

HIV-1 serotype B-Br (GWGR) is rare in the United States but predominates in Brazil. Differences in prognosis for patients infected with serotype B-Br or serotype B (GPGR) have not been addressed previously. In this prospective cohort study, we compared the rate of disease progression between patients infected with the HIV-1 V3 serotype B or B-Br in Brazil. Progression to AIDS or death was studied by the Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard methods. Among 445 HIV-infected patients who were tested with a specific enzyme immune assay, 204 (46%) had serotype B-Br infection and 127 (28%) had serotype B infection. Both groups were similar with regard to baseline CD4+ cell count, serum HIV RNA viral load, initial clinical stage, and the proportions who were treated with antiretroviral drugs. Patients with serotype B infection were significantly younger (p = 0.005) and tended to report homosexual behavior more frequently (p = 0.08). Mean follow-up was 30 +/- 13.5 months. During the study period, 41 (32%) patients infected with serotype B and 44 (22%) infected with serotype B-Br developed AIDS (p = 0.03). In a regression model adjusted for age and risk factor for HIV infection, progression to AIDS was faster in patients infected with serotype B (hazard ratio [HR] 1.59; 95% CI, 1.03-2.43; p = 0.03). A similar trend was observed in a model that considered AIDS or death as the outcome (HR, 1.43; 95% CI, 0.95-2.0; p = 0.09). These results suggest that patients infected with closely related HIV-1 serotypes may differ in the rate of progression to AIDS and indicate that serotype should be taken into account in HIV vaccine studies in Brazil.