The probability of quantal secretion near a single calcium channel of an active zone.

A Monte Carlo analysis has been made of calcium dynamics and quantal secretion at microdomains in which the calcium reaches very high concentrations over distances of <50 nm from a channel and for which calcium dynamics are dominated by diffusion. The kinetics of calcium ions in microdomains due to either the spontaneous or evoked opening of a calcium channel, both of which are stochastic events, are described in the presence of endogenous fixed and mobile buffers. Fluctuations in the number of calcium ions within 50 nm of a channel are considerable, with the standard deviation about half the mean. Within 10 nm of a channel these numbers of ions can give rise to calcium concentrations of the order of 100 microM. The temporal changes in free calcium and calcium bound to different affinity indicators in the volume of an entire varicosity or bouton following the opening of a single channel are also determined. A Monte Carlo analysis is also presented of how the dynamics of calcium ions at active zones, after the arrival of an action potential and the stochastic opening of a calcium channel, determine the probability of exocytosis from docked vesicles near the channel. The synaptic vesicles in active zones are found docked in a complex with their calcium-sensor associated proteins and a voltage-sensitive calcium channel, forming a secretory unit. The probability of quantal secretion from an isolated secretory unit has been determined for different distances of an open calcium channel from the calcium sensor within an individual unit: a threefold decrease in the probability of secretion of a quantum occurs with a doubling of the distance from 25 to 50 nm. The Monte Carlo analysis also shows that the probability of secretion of a quantum is most sensitive to the size of the single-channel current compared with its sensitivity to either the binding rates of the sites on the calcium-sensor protein or to the number of these sites that must bind a calcium ion to trigger exocytosis of a vesicle.