Prioritising waiting lists.

The 'top 22' patient conditions on the general surgical waiting list at Guy's Hospital were rated independently by five general surgeons. Each surgeon estimated the peri-operative mortality rates associated with each treatment; the proportion of patients who failed to benefit; the effect of successful treatment on life expectancy and on the patients' quality of life. the mean values were used to estimate the expected net benefits (in terms of quality-adjusted life-years) from treatment one year earlier than might otherwise have been the case. These benefits were then related to the operating times and length of stay associated with each treatment; this identified which treatments offered the greatest benefit per unit of each constrained resource. Of all conditions examined anal fissures where shown to be the least resource intensive in relation to the benefits generated, whilst varicose veins and epigastric hernias proved otherwise. For the full potential of this approach to be realised it needs to be repeated in other places and in other specialties. It nevertheless offers a more rational basis for interpreting waiting list data than presently exists and by using the short-cut methods is a relatively cheap way of generating much useful data.