Trend in incidence and case fatality of meningococcal disease over 16 years in Northern Denmark.

The incidence and case fatality rates of meningococcal disease were assessed in the county of Northern Jutland, Denmark, during the 16-year period from 1980 to 1995. A total of 320 patients were identified from the Meningococcal Research Database, which comprises information from the following sources: (i) the Department of Public Health, to whom notification of meningococcal disease is obligatory; (ii) the Regional Hospital Discharge Registry; and (iii) the register of the regional department of clinical microbiology. In order to assess prognostic indicators assessable at admission, information was collected for each patient from hospital records regarding contacts, symptoms and signs on arrival, laboratory data, and course of disease. The mean incidence was 4.3 cases per 100000 persons per year (range, 2.7-7.7). The incidence increased slightly during the period studied. Overall, the case fatality rate was 9.7%, with a significant rise occurring during the period (P=0.016) and a peak occurring in 1992. Advanced age (> or = 50 years), seizures, impaired consciousness, and skin bleeding on arrival at hospital were predictors of death.