Modeling measles, mumps, and rubella: implications for the design of vaccination programs.

Mathematical models of disease transmission are being used increasingly in the design of population-based vaccination programs. Their use is illustrated in a review of some modeling studies that have implications for the use of measles, mumps, and rubella vaccine. Investigations of vaccination strategy options yield predictions for effectiveness and cost-effectiveness analyses. A quantitative understanding of the factors affecting disease transmission enables the setting of targets for vaccination programs and underpins disease elimination initiatives.