Prediction of the deficit syndrome from initial deficit symptoms in the early course of schizophrenia.

The Proxy for the Deficit Syndrome (PDS) was used with longitudinal symptom assessment data to identify recent-onset schizophrenia patients with the deficit syndrome. We evaluated the stability of deficit symptoms using repeated assessments. Symptom ratings were examined at an initial point of outpatient stabilization on antipsychotic medication as well as prospectively over the subsequent 12 months of outpatient treatment and assessment in 83 recent-onset schizophrenia patients. The vast majority of patients who were classified as non-deficit at the cross-sectional baseline assessment continued to remain non-deficit throughout the first year of treatment. However, patients classified as deficit at baseline did not consistently remain classified as showing deficit syndrome during the follow-through period. Thus, the presence of deficit symptoms detected in a single cross-sectional rating may be an inaccurate way to rate the deficit syndrome, yielding excessive false positives. Our use of longitudinal data allowed the stability criterion of the deficit syndrome to be evaluated using the PDS.