Percent achieved of predicted peak exercise oxygen uptake and kinetics of recovery of oxygen uptake after exercise for risk stratification in chronic heart failure.

To investigate whether percent achieved of predicted peak exercise oxygen uptake (%VO2max) and recovery of oxygen consumption after exercise may provide prognostic information in chronic heart failure (CHF), we prospectively studied 196 patients with mild to moderate CHF. The following variables were examined: age, etiology of CHF, functional class, ejection fraction (EF), peak exercise oxygen uptake normalized for body weight (VO2max), %VO2max, time to reach 50% of the peak oxygen uptake after exercise (T1/2VO2max), presence of nonsustained ventricular tachycardia (NSVT) and inability to take ACE-inhibitors. VO2max was the most powerful predictor of cardiac death (P<0.0001). Other independent predictors of death were EF, T1/2VO2max, NSVT and inability to take ACE-inhibitors. The discriminatory accuracy of VO2max for cardiac death was not significantly greater than that of %VO2max. In conclusion, the determination of %VO2max does not enhance risk stratification in CHF whereas the kinetics of oxygen consumption after exercise can provide prognostic information.