The prognostic significance of increasing marker levels in metastatic breast cancer patients with clinically complete remission, partial remission or stable disease.

TPS, CA 15-3 and CEA were determined in metastatic breast cancer patients during treatment. After six months of follow-up the patients were divided into four groups according to the UICC criteria for treatment response. Forty-six patients with a more favorable prognosis (complete remission, partial remission or stable disease) were followed for an extended period. In 30 of the 46 patients at least one marker had increased at the end of the six-month period by at least 25% (TPS in 54%, CA 15-3 in 20%, CEA in 20%). All these 30 patients subsequently developed progression. The prognostic sensitivity was 83%, 30% and 30%, respectively, for TPS, CA 15-3 and CEA. The combination of TPS and CA 15-3 showed a sensitivity of 96%. The median lead time was about 8 months for TPS and CA 15-3, but less than 50% of the patients showed a lead time for CA 15-3 as compared to TPS. We conclude that TPS and CA 15-3 determinations are helpful for the prediction of progression during the follow-up of breast cancer patients.