Outcome for preterm infants with germinal matrix hemorrhage and progressive hydrocephalus.

OBJECTIVE: An analysis of 76 preterm infants with Grade III or IV intracranial hemorrhage and surgically treated progressive hydrocephalus was undertaken to determine mortality, intellectual impairment, and motor deficit.
METHODS: The variables examined were degree of prematurity, birth weight, sex, Apgar scores, extent of intracranial hemorrhage, seizures, age at time of initial placement of a ventricular catheter reservoir to control hydrocephalus, need to convert the reservoir to a ventriculoperitoneal shunt, timing of the conversion of the reservoir to a ventriculoperitoneal shunt, and number of shunt revisions. Outcome was assessed for statistical significance using hierarchical linear regression and logistic regression analyses.
RESULTS: Linear regression analysis determined that mortality was best predicted, in order of importance, by extent of intracranial hemorrhage, number of shunt revisions, and birth weight (P < 0.0001, R = 0.79). Grade of hemorrhage, weight at birth, and presence of seizure activity were the most important determinants of motor outcome (P < 0.001, R = -0.78).
CONCLUSIONS: Logistic regression analysis of the 41 long-term survivors determined that grade of hemorrhage was the most important variable in determining cognitive outcome (P < 0.0001), motor function (P < 0.0001), and presence of seizure activity (P < 0.001). A logistic model of survival determined that grade of hemorrhage and multiple shunt revisions (more than five) were the most important determinants (P < 0.0001) of survival. In conclusion, the overwhelming factor in determining outcome in this patient group was the extent of intracranial hemorrhage.