Literature DB >> 9054277

Cost-effectiveness of screening for carotid stenosis in asymptomatic persons.

T T Lee1, N A Solomon, P A Heidenreich, J Oehlert, A M Garber.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The Asymptomatic Carotid Atherosclerosis Study (ACAS) showed that carotid endarterectomy was beneficial for symptom-free patients with carotid stenosis of 60% or more. This finding raises the question of whether widespread screening to identify cases of asymptomatic carotid stenosis should be implemented.
OBJECTIVE: To determine whether a screening program to identify cases of asymptomatic carotid stenosis would be a cost-effective strategy for stroke prevention.
DESIGN: Cost-effectiveness analysis using published data from clinical trials.
SETTING: General population of asymptomatic 65-year-old men. INTERVENTION: Patients who were screened for carotid disease with duplex Doppler ultrasonography were compared with patients who were not screened. If ultrasonography found significant carotid stenosis (> or = 60%), disease was confirmed by angiography before carotid endarterectomy was done. MEASUREMENTS: Quality-adjusted life-years, costs, and marginal cost-effectiveness ratios.
RESULTS: When the conditions and results of ACAS were modeled and it was assumed that the survival advantage produced by endarterectomy would last for 30 years, the lifetime marginal cost-effectiveness of screening relative to no screening was $120,000 per quality-adjusted life-year. Sensitivity analysis showed that marginal cost-effectiveness decreased to $50,000 or less per quality-adjusted life-year only under implausible conditions (for example, if a free screening instrument with perfect test characteristics was used or an asymptomatic population with a 40% prevalence of carotid stenosis was found).
CONCLUSIONS: Surgery offers a real but modest absolute reduction in the rate of stroke at a substantial cost. A program to identify candidates for endarterectomy by screening asymptomatic populations for carotid stenosis costs more per quality-adjusted life-year than is usually considered acceptable.

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Mesh:

Year:  1997        PMID: 9054277     DOI: 10.7326/0003-4819-126-5-199703010-00001

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Ann Intern Med        ISSN: 0003-4819            Impact factor:   25.391


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