OBJECTIVE: To validate a model for the prediction of Clostridium difficile cytotoxin assay results, and to identify a subgroup of patients with a very low likelihood of C. difficile-associated disease in whom the yield of routine cytotoxin testing is low. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. Relevant clinical symptoms, signs, and antibiotic exposure were recorded before reporting of assay results. Each predictor was assigned a score based on regression coefficients, and patients were stratified according to their total score. SETTING: Two urban, tertiary care, university hospitals. PATIENTS: A total of 609 consecutive adult inpatients who received testing for C. difficile cytotoxin during a 3-month period in 1994. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The prevalence of positive cytotoxin assays was 8% in the validation set, compared with 14% in the derivation set. Defining patients without both prior antibiotic use and at least one symptom predictor (significant diarrhea or abdominal pain) as a low-risk subgroup, the misclassification rate was 2.8% (5/177) for assay results; of the five misclassified cases patients, only one was judged to have C. difficile-associated disease. Use of this rule to identify low-risk patients could have potentially averted 29% of all cytotoxin assays. CONCLUSIONS: Patients without a history of antibiotic use and either significant diarrhea or abdominal pain are unlikely to have positive C. difficile cytotoxin assays and may not require cytotoxin testing.
OBJECTIVE: To validate a model for the prediction of Clostridium difficile cytotoxin assay results, and to identify a subgroup of patients with a very low likelihood of C. difficile-associated disease in whom the yield of routine cytotoxin testing is low. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. Relevant clinical symptoms, signs, and antibiotic exposure were recorded before reporting of assay results. Each predictor was assigned a score based on regression coefficients, and patients were stratified according to their total score. SETTING: Two urban, tertiary care, university hospitals. PATIENTS: A total of 609 consecutive adult inpatients who received testing for C. difficile cytotoxin during a 3-month period in 1994. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The prevalence of positive cytotoxin assays was 8% in the validation set, compared with 14% in the derivation set. Defining patients without both prior antibiotic use and at least one symptom predictor (significant diarrhea or abdominal pain) as a low-risk subgroup, the misclassification rate was 2.8% (5/177) for assay results; of the five misclassified cases patients, only one was judged to have C. difficile-associated disease. Use of this rule to identify low-risk patients could have potentially averted 29% of all cytotoxin assays. CONCLUSIONS:Patients without a history of antibiotic use and either significant diarrhea or abdominal pain are unlikely to have positive C. difficile cytotoxin assays and may not require cytotoxin testing.