Re-evaluation of two simple prognostic scores of outcome after proximal femoral fractures.

The Belfast and Newcastle simple prognostic scores of outcome after treatment of proximal femoral fractures were recorded shortly after admission on 250 patients. All patients were then followed until discharge, with 87 of those who were the more physically and socially dependent before admission being transferred after surgery for rehabilitation in a geriatric unit. The hospital mortality rate, a hospital stay of over 6 weeks and two measures of rehabilitation outcome, i.e. a delay of over 3 weeks after the operation in regaining independent mobility and any functional decline on discharge compared with the preadmission situation, were recorded for each patient. The prediction of a higher hospital mortality rate and a delay in reaching independent mobility in more dependent patients with both scores reached statistical significance. Longer hospital stays in the more dependent patients did not occur in a situation where care facilities for dependent patients were readily available. The scores, in particular the Belfast score, can be used to compare the casemix of patients with proximal femoral fractures within and between units over time and can predict mortality and delay in achieving independent mobility. They may be helpful in the early selection of patients for transfer to a geriatric unit or orthogeriatric unit for rehabilitation.