Determinants of late allograft nephrectomy.

When loss of graft function occurs more than six months after transplantation, allograft nephrectomy is not routinely performed at the time of graft failure. It is usually performed only on those patients who subsequently develop specific complications. However, little is known about the characteristics that make patients more likely to require allograft nephrectomy. The purpose of our study was to identify risk factors for the subsequent need for allograft nephrectomy in patients with graft failure occurring more than 6 months after transplantation. Forty-one patients were studied. Inclusion criteria were: loss of graft function > or = 6 months after transplantation, resumption of dialysis and initiation of weaning from immunosuppression. Thirty patients were treated with cyclosporine + prednisone +/- azathioprine and 11 with azathioprine + prednisone. Mean follow-up time was 17.8 months, ranging from 6 months to 6.1 years. Recipient age, sex and race, original renal disease, donor, donor source (cadaveric vs living related), HLA compatibility, levels of panel reactive antibodies, occurrence of initial delayed graft function, causes of graft failure and tapering of immunosuppression were similar in patients with and without allograft nephrectomy. Using univariate analysis, allograft nephrectomy was found to be significantly more frequent in patients with a history of 2 or more episodes of acute rejection than in patients with no rejection episode: 83% vs 30% (p = 0.03). In addition, allograft nephrectomy was found to be significantly more frequent if the immunosuppressive regimen included cyclosporine (62% vs 27.3%; p = 0.04). Using multivariate analysis however, the number of previous episodes of rejection was found to be the only significant predictor for allograft nephrectomy. None of the other variables considered in the multivariate analysis, including the type of immunosuppressive therapy, was identified as a significant predictor for the need to perform allograft nephrectomy. In summary, the need for late allograft nephrectomy was correlated with the number of previous episodes of acute rejection. Patients with a history of numerous rejection episodes should thus be considered more likely to require allograft nephrectomy once immunosuppression is withdrawn. Possible interventions to reduce or prevent the need for nephrectomy include more gradual tapering of immunosuppression at the time of graft failure or indefinite low-dose immunosuppressive therapy.