Lymphocytopenia as an unfavorable prognostic factor in patients with cytomegalovirus infection after bone marrow transplantation.

Sixty-three recipients of an allogeneic marrow transplant were screened for the occurrence of cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection and clinical parameters possibly predicting the development of CMV disease in a retrospective study. Blood and urine samples obtained from these patients were screened weekly after bone marrow transplantation (BMT) for the presence of CMV by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and virus culture technique. Forty-six of the 63 patients studied were found to be CMV-positive by PCR technique in blood and urine samples at a median of 29 days after BMT. In 33 of these 46 patients, CMV could be cultured from urine samples and 16 of the 46 had culture-positive viremia. Twenty-eight of these 46 PCR-positive patients developed CMV disease. Whereas PCR assays showed an optimal negative predictive value and sensitivity for the development of CMV disease, their positive predictive value was 61% and could not be remarkably increased when culture-proven viruria (64%) and viremia (69%) were considered. Acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) grade 2 to 4 (P < .05), but not underlying disease, conditioning therapy, or GVHD prophylaxis, was associated with CMV infection. On day +49, a remarkable decrease (P < .001) in the lymphocyte count, as well as in the absolute number of CD4+, CD8+, and CD56+ lymphocytes, occurred only among the patients who later developed CMV disease. The decrease of all of these cell counts, but predominantly the CD4+ T cells, to less than 100/microL on day +49 after BMT showed a very high positive predictive value (100%) for the development of CMV disease in patients with PCR-proven viremia. Persisting CD4 lymphopenia after antiviral therapy was only observed in patients who finally died of CMV disease. Thus, immunophenotyping of the patients after BMT in addition to a highly sensitive virus detection assay might help to identify patients at high risk to develop CMV disease and indicate the need for additional adoptive immunotherapy.