The prognostic value of early CA125 serum assay in epithelial ovarian carcinoma.

We examined the prognostic value of early serum CA125 assay in 58 patients with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer together with residual disease, age, tumour grade, performance status, and the presence of ascites or adhesions at primary surgery. CA125 was a highly significant predictor of both progression free and overall survival after the first cycle and throughout primary chemotherapy. After the first cycle, CA125 was by far the most significant predictor of progression free survival (P < 0.0005). At this time, CA125 was a highly significant predictor of survival (P < 0.005), but did not add to performance status (P < 0.001) in multivariate analysis. We were able to identify three statistically-distinct prognostic groups. Patients in the upper quartile, with CA125 levels greater than 450 U ml-1, had a very poor median survival of 7 months. Patients in the lower quartile, with CA125 levels less than 55 U ml-1 had a good median survival of 23 months. Those in the two interquartile groups, who had CA125 levels ranging from 58-221 U ml-1 and 228-434 U ml-1, had relatively intermediate median survival times of 16 months and 15 months respectively. Although CA125 levels provided significant prognostic information, in the majority of patients CA125 merely confirmed overall clinical impression.